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Graphical analysis for phenome-wide causal discovery in genotyped population-scale biobanks.

ABSTRACT: Causal inference via Mendelian randomization requires making strong assumptions about horizontal pleiotropy, where genetic instruments are connected to the outcome not only through the exposure. Here, we present causal Graphical Analysis Using Genetics (cGAUGE), a pipeline that overcomes these limitations using instrument filters with provable properties. This is achievable by identifying conditional independencies while examining multiple traits. cGAUGE also uses ExSep (Exposure-based Separation), a novel test for the existence of causal pathways that does not require selecting instruments. In simulated data we illustrate how cGAUGE can reduce the empirical false discovery rate by up to 30%, while retaining the majority of true discoveries. On 96 complex traits from 337,198 subjects from the UK Biobank, our results cover expected causal links and many new ones that were previously suggested by correlation-based observational studies. Notably, we identify multiple risk factors for cardiovascular disease, including red blood cell distribution width.

SUBMITTER: Amar D

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7806647 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Graphical analysis for phenome-wide causal discovery in genotyped population-scale biobanks.

Amar David D Sinnott-Armstrong Nasa N Ashley Euan A EA Rivas Manuel A MA

Nature communications 20210113 1

Causal inference via Mendelian randomization requires making strong assumptions about horizontal pleiotropy, where genetic instruments are connected to the outcome not only through the exposure. Here, we present causal Graphical Analysis Using Genetics (cGAUGE), a pipeline that overcomes these limitations using instrument filters with provable properties. This is achievable by identifying conditional independencies while examining multiple traits. cGAUGE also uses ExSep (Exposure-based Separatio ...[more]

PMID: 33441555

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Project description:BackgroundAge at menarche has been associated with various health outcomes. We aimed to identify potential causal effects of age at menarche on health-related traits in a hypothesis-free manner.MethodsWe conducted a Mendelian randomization phenome-wide association study (MR-pheWAS) of age at menarche with 17,893 health-related traits in UK Biobank (n = 181,318) using PHESANT. The exposure of interest was the genetic risk score for age at menarche. We conducted a second MR-pheWAS after excluding SNPs associated with BMI from the genetic risk score, to examine whether results might be due to the genetic overlap between age at menarche and BMI. We followed up a subset of health-related traits to investigate MR assumptions and seek replication in independent study populations.ResultsOf the 17,893 tests performed in our MR-pheWAS, we identified 619 associations with the genetic risk score for age at menarche at a 5% false discovery rate threshold, of which 295 were below a Bonferroni-corrected P value threshold. These included potential effects of younger age at menarche on lower lung function, higher heel bone-mineral density, greater burden of psychosocial/mental health problems, younger age at first birth, higher risk of childhood sexual abuse, poorer cardiometabolic health, and lower physical activity. After exclusion of variants associated with BMI, the genetic risk score for age at menarche was related to 37 traits at a 5% false discovery rate, of which 29 were below a Bonferroni-corrected P value threshold. We attempted to replicate findings for bone-mineral density, lung function, neuroticism, and childhood sexual abuse using 5 independent cohorts/consortia. While estimates for lung function, higher bone-mineral density, neuroticism, and childhood sexual abuse in replication cohorts were consistent with UK Biobank estimates, confidence intervals were wide and often included the null.ConclusionsThe genetic risk score for age at menarche was related to a broad range of health-related traits. Follow-up analyses indicated imprecise evidence of an effect of younger age at menarche on greater bone-mineral density, lower lung function, higher neuroticism score, and greater risk of childhood sexual abuse in the smaller replication samples available; hence, these findings need further exploration when larger independent samples become available.

Dataset Information

Graphical analysis for phenome-wide causal discovery in genotyped population-scale biobanks.

Publications

Graphical analysis for phenome-wide causal discovery in genotyped population-scale biobanks.

Similar Datasets

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