Dataset Information

Prognostic model for risk stratification of de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients treated with chemotherapy followed by locoregional radiotherapy.

ABSTRACT:

Background

There is no clinically applicable prognostic model designed for patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC) treated with chemotherapy followed by locoregional radiotherapy (LRRT). We sought to develop a predictive tool of overall survival for individualized prediction and risk stratification in this heterogeneous patient population.

Patients and methods

A total of 244 eligible patients with de novo mNPC, who were treated with platinum-based first-line chemotherapy followed by LRRT, were included in this retrospective study. We divided patients into the training and validation sets based on the date of initial treatment, with 152 patients treated between 2008 and 2013 comprising the training set for model development and 92 patients treated at a later time (2014 to 2015) forming the validation set. We applied Cox proportional hazards model to examine factors associated with overall survival (OS). We developed and subsequently validated a prognostic model to predict OS. We assessed the performance of this prognostic model and stratified patients based on prognostic scores obtained from this proposed model.

Results

The median OS of the entire cohort was 60.9 months. C-creative protein, number of metastatic sites, liver metastasis, post-treatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA, and response of metastasis were significantly associated with OS. A prognostic model for individual survival prediction was developed and graphically represented as a nomogram. The model showed favorable discrimination (C-index: 0.759), predictive accuracy [time dependent area under the curve (tAUC) at 5 years: 0.800], and calibration, and was further validated in an independent dataset. A risk stratification derived from the model can stratify these patients into three prognostic subgroups with significantly different survival.

Conclusion

We developed and validated a prognostic model that exhibited adequate performance in individualized prediction and risk stratification for patients with de novo mNPC treated with chemotherapy followed by LRRT.

SUBMITTER: Li WZ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7807936 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Prognostic model for risk stratification of de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients treated with chemotherapy followed by locoregional radiotherapy.

Li W-Z WZ Hua X X Xie D-H DH Liang H H Liu G-Y GY Xia W-X WX Xiang Y-Q YQ

ESMO open 20210104 1

<h4>Background</h4>There is no clinically applicable prognostic model designed for patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC) treated with chemotherapy followed by locoregional radiotherapy (LRRT). We sought to develop a predictive tool of overall survival for individualized prediction and risk stratification in this heterogeneous patient population.<h4>Patients and methods</h4>A total of 244 eligible patients with de novo mNPC, who were treated with platinum-based first-li ...[more]

PMID: 33399071

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Project description:ImportanceThe role of locoregional radiotherapy in patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC) is unclear.ObjectiveTo investigate the efficacy and safety of locoregional radiotherapy in de novo mNPC.Design, setting, and participantsPatients with biopsy-proven mNPC, who demonstrated complete or partial response (RECIST v1.1) following 3 cycles of cisplatin and fluorouracil chemotherapy, were enrolled. Eligible patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either chemotherapy plus radiotherapy or chemotherapy alone. Overall, 126 of 173 patients screened were eligible to the study, and randomized to chemotherapy plus radiotherapy (n = 63) or chemotherapy alone (n = 63). Median (IQR) follow-up duration was 26.7 (17.2-33.5) months.InterventionsThe chemotherapy regimens were fluorouracil continuous intravenous infusion at 5 g/m2 over 120 hours and 100 mg/m2 intravenous cisplatin on day 1, administered every 3 weeks for 6 cycles. Patients assigned to the chemotherapy plus radiotherapy group received intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) after chemotherapy.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary end point of the study was overall survival (OS). The secondary end point was progression-free survival (PFS) and safety.ResultsOverall, 126 patients were enrolled (105 men [83.3%] and 21 women [16.7%]; median [IQR] age, 46 [39-52] years). The 24-month OS was 76.4% (95% CI, 64.4%-88.4%) in the chemotherapy plus radiotherapy group, compared with 54.5% (95% CI, 41.0%-68.0%) in the chemotherapy-alone group. The study met its primary end point of improved OS (stratified hazard ratio [HR], 0.42; 95% CI, 0.23-0.77; P = .004) in favor of chemotherapy plus radiotherapy. Progression-free survival was also improved in the chemotherapy plus radiotherapy group compared with the chemotherapy-alone group (stratified HR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.23-0.57). No significant differences in acute hematological or gastrointestinal toxic effects were observed between the treatment arms. The frequency of acute grade 3 or higher dermatitis, mucositis, and xerostomia was 8.1%, 33.9%, and 6.5%, respectively, in the chemotherapy plus radiotherapy group. The frequency of late severe grade 3 or higher hearing loss and trismus was 5.2% and 3.4%, respectively, in the chemotherapy plus radiotherapy group.Conclusions and relevanceIn this randomized clinical trial, radiotherapy added to chemotherapy significantly improved OS in chemotherapy-sensitive patients with mNPC.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02111460.

Project description:BackgroundNo standard radiotherapy regimens have been established for the treatment of de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC) with bone-only metastasis. The current study aimed to investigate the efficacy of palliative chemotherapy (PCT) plus locoregional radiotherapy (LRRT) with or without local radiotherapy (RT) for metastatic bone lesions in mNPC.MethodsWe retrospectively analysed 131 de novo patients with mNPC who had bone-only metastasis and received at least two cycles of PCT with LRRT. The difference in survival was evaluated by the log-rank test. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed by Cox regression.ResultsThe median overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were 33.0 months and 24.0 months, respectively. Patients with five or fewer metastatic bone lesions had significantly longer OS (72.0 months vs. 23.0 months, Hazard ratios (HR) = 0.45, p < 0.001) and PFS (48.0 months vs. 15.0 months, HR = 0.52, p = 0.004) than those who had more than five metastatic bone lesions. Patients who received four or more cycles of chemotherapy were associated with significantly longer OS (unreached vs. 19.0 months, HR = 0.27, p < 0.001) and PFS (66 months vs. 16.0 months, HR = 0.32, p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis confirmed that fewer bone metastases (≤ 5) and more chemotherapy cycles (≥ 4) were favourable prognostic factors for OS. Subgroup analysis revealed that RT to metastatic bone lesions tended to prolong OS (83.0 months vs. 45.0 months) and PFS (60 months vs. 36.5 months) in patients with five or fewer metastatic bone lesions than in those without RT to metastatic bone lesions (p > 0.05). Patients who received a RT dose > 30 Gy had neither better OS (63.5 months vs. 32.0 months, p = 0.299) nor PFS (48.0 months vs. 28.0 months, p = 0.615) than those who received a RT dose ≤30 Gy.ConclusionsLocal RT to bone metastases may not significantly improve survival in patients with de novo mNPC with bone-only metastasis who have already received PCT plus LRRT. Receiving four or more cycles of chemotherapy can significantly prolong survival and is a favourable independent protective factor.

Dataset Information

Prognostic model for risk stratification of de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients treated with chemotherapy followed by locoregional radiotherapy.

Background

Patients and methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Prognostic model for risk stratification of de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients treated with chemotherapy followed by locoregional radiotherapy.

Similar Datasets

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