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The Limited Utility of Ranking Hospitals Based on Their Colon Surgery Infection Rates.


ABSTRACT:

Background

The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) use colon surgical site infection (SSI) rates to rank hospitals and apply financial penalties. The CMS' risk-adjustment model omits potentially impactful variables that might disadvantage hospitals with complex surgical populations.

Methods

We analyzed adult patients who underwent colon surgery within facilities associated with HCA Healthcare from 2014 to 2016. SSIs were identified from National Health Safety Network (NHSN) reporting. We trained and validated 3 SSI prediction models, using (1) current CMS model variables, including hospital-specific random effects (HCA-adapted CMS model); (2) demographics and claims-based comorbidities (expanded-claims model); and (3) demographics, claims-based comorbidities, and NHSN variables (claims-plus-electronic health record [EHR] model). Discrimination, calibration, and resulting rankings were compared among all models and the current CMS model with published coefficient values.

Results

We identified 39 468 colon surgeries in 149 hospitals, resulting in 1216 (3.1%) SSIs. Compared to the HCA-adapted CMS model, the expanded-claims model had similar performance (c-statistic, 0.65 vs 0.67, respectively), while the claims-plus-EHR model was more accurate (c-statistic, 0.70; 95% confidence interval, .67-.73; P?=?.004). The sampling variation, due to the low surgical volume and small number of infections, contributed 74% of the total variation in observed SSI rates between hospitals. When CMS model rankings were compared to those from the expanded-claims and claims-plus-EHR models, 18 (15%) and 26 (22%) hospitals changed quartiles, respectively, and 10 (8.3%) and 12 (10%) hospitals changed into or out of the lowest-performing quartile, respectively.

Conclusions

An expanded set of variables improved colon SSI risk predictions and quartile assignments, but low procedure volumes and SSI events remain a barrier to effectively comparing hospitals.

SUBMITTER: Caroff DA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7823072 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

The Limited Utility of Ranking Hospitals Based on Their Colon Surgery Infection Rates.

Caroff Daniel A DA   Wang Rui R   Zhang Zilu Z   Wolf Robert R   Septimus Ed E   Harris Anthony D AD   Jackson Sarah S SS   Poland Russell E RE   Hickok Jason J   Huang Susan S SS   Platt Richard R  

Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America 20210101 1


<h4>Background</h4>The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) use colon surgical site infection (SSI) rates to rank hospitals and apply financial penalties. The CMS' risk-adjustment model omits potentially impactful variables that might disadvantage hospitals with complex surgical populations.<h4>Methods</h4>We analyzed adult patients who underwent colon surgery within facilities associated with HCA Healthcare from 2014 to 2016. SSIs were identified from National Health Safety Network  ...[more]

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