Project description:Multimorbidity is highly prevalent in older adults and can lead to hospitalisation. We investigate the prevalence, associated factors, and multimorbidity pattern associated to hospitalisation, readmission, and length of stay in the population aged 50 years and older. We analysed baseline data (2015-2016) from the ELSI-Brazil cohort, a representative sample of non-institutionalised Brazilians aged ≥ 50 years. In total, 8807 individuals aged ≥ 50 years were included. Poisson regression with robust variance adjusted for confounders was used to verify the associations with hospitalisation. Multiple linear regression was used to analyse the associations with readmission and length of stay. Network analysis was conducted using 19 morbidities and the outcome variables. In 8807 participants, the prevalence of hospitalisation was 10.0% (95% CI 9.1, 11), mean readmissions was 1.55 ± 1.191, and mean length of stay was 6.43 ± 10.46 days. Hospitalisation was positively associated with male gender, not living with a partner, not having ingested alcoholic beverages in the last month, and multimorbidity. For hospital readmission, only multimorbidity ≥ 3 chronic conditions showed a statistically significant association. Regarding the length of stay, the risk was positive for males and negative for living in rural areas. Five disease groups connected to hospitalisation, readmission and length of stay were identified. To conclude, sociodemographic variables, such as gender, age group, and living in urban areas, and multimorbidity increased the risk of hospitalisation, mean number of readmissions, and mean length of stay. Through network analysis, we identified the groups of diseases that increased the risk of hospitalisation, readmissions, and length of stay.
Project description:AimLower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS) result in morbidities; however, their association with the occurrence of hip fracture is relatively unknown in the context of Asian studies. The purpose of the study was to investigate this link with the hip fracture risk in Taiwanese men and women aged 50 years and above.Materials and methodsFrom 2000 through 2012, a population-based retrospective cohort study was conducted; claims data of 18,976 patients diagnosed with LUTS (dysuria, urinary retention, incontinence, and increased urinary frequency and urgency) were retrieved from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. The patients were compared with 1:2 age, sex, and index year-matched controls (comparison group, n = 37,952). The incidence and hazard ratios of the hip fracture risk were calculated by the Cox proportional hazard regression models.ResultsThe mean age was 66.2 ± 9.7 years, and the proportion of men was 58.1% in both study groups. Fractures occurred in 772 patients and 1,156 control subjects. The corresponding incidences were 7.0 and 5.0/1000 person-years. Compared to the control subjects, the patients with LUTS had an increased hip fracture risk [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.29; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.17-1.42]. LUTS was independently associated with an increased hip fracture risk in both men (aHR = 1.24; 95% CI: 1.08-1.42) and women (aHR = 1.34; 95% CI: 1.18-1.53) (p for interaction = 0.557). Similarly, the subgroup effect of age on hip fracture risks was not found (p for interaction = 0.665).ConclusionThe study found LUTS was associated with an increased risk of hip fracture. Large-scale prospective studies in diverse populations are required to investigate causalities.
Project description:BackgroundLoneliness is experienced by a third of older adults in the UK and is a modifiable potential risk factor for depressive symptoms. It is unclear how the association between loneliness and depressive symptoms persists over time, and whether it is independent of related social constructs and genetic confounders. We aimed to investigate the association between loneliness and depressive symptoms, assessed on multiple occasions during 12 years of follow-up, in a large, nationally representative cohort of adults aged 50 years and older in England.MethodsWe did a longitudinal study using seven waves of data that were collected once every 2 years between 2004 and 2017, from adults aged 50 years and older in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA). The exposure was loneliness at baseline (wave two), measured with the short 1980 revision of the University of California, Los Angeles Loneliness Scale (R-UCLA). The primary outcome was a score indicating severity of depression measured at six subsequent timepoints (waves three to eight), using the eight-item version of the Centre for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D). Analyses were linear multilevel regressions, before and after adjusting for social isolation, social support, polygenic risk scores, and other sociodemographic and health-related confounders. The secondary outcome was depression diagnosis, measured using a binary version of the CES-D.Findings4211 (46%) of 9171 eligible participants had complete data on exposure, outcome, and confounders, and were included in our complete case sample. After all adjustments, a 1-point increase in loneliness score was associated with a 0·16 (95% CI 0·13-0·19) increase in depressive symptom severity score (averaged across all follow-ups). We estimated a population attributable fraction for depression associated with loneliness of 18% (95% CI 12-24) at 1 year of follow-up and 11% (3-19) at the final follow-up (wave eight), suggesting that 11-18% of cases of depression could potentially be prevented if loneliness were eliminated. Associations between loneliness and depressive symptoms remained after 12 years of follow-up, although effect sizes were smaller with longer follow-up.InterpretationIrrespective of other social experiences, higher loneliness scores at baseline were associated with higher depression symptom severity scores during 12 years of follow-up among adults aged 50 years and older. Interventions that reduce loneliness could prevent or reduce depression in older adults, which presents a growing public health problem worldwide.FundingNational Institute on Aging and a consortium of UK Government departments coordinated by the National Institute for Health Research.
Project description:Streptococcus pneumoniae causes a high disease burden including pneumonia, meningitis and septicemia. Both a polysaccharide vaccine targeting 23 serotypes (PPV23) and a 13-valent conjugate vaccine (PCV13) are indicated for persons aged over 50 years. We developed and parameterized a static multi-cohort model to estimate the incremental cost-effectiveness and budget-impact of these vaccines at different uptake levels. Using three different vaccine efficacy scenarios regarding non-invasive pneumococcal pneumonia and extensive uni- and multivariate sensitivity analyses, we found a strong preference for PPV23 over PCV13 in all age groups at willingness to pay levels below €300 000 per quality adjusted life year (QALY). PPV23 vaccination would cost on average about €83 000, €60 000 and €52 000 per QALY gained in 50-64, 65-74 and 75-84 year olds, whereas for PCV13 this is about €171 000, €201 000 and €338 000, respectively. Strategies combining PPV23 and PCV13 vaccines were most effective but generally less cost-effective. When assuming a combination of increased duration of PCV13 protection, increased disease burden preventable by PCV13 and a 75% reduction of the PCV13 price, PCV13 could become more attractive in <75 year olds, but would remain less attractive than PPV23 from age 75 years onwards. These observations are independent of the assumption that PPV23 has 0% efficacy against non-invasive pneumococcal pneumonia. Pneumococcal vaccination would be most cost-effective in Belgium, when achieving high uptake with PPV23 in 75-84 year olds, as well as by negotiating a lower market-conform PPV23 price to improve uptake and cost-effectiveness.
Project description:Diagnostic testing is recommended in women with "ovarian cancer symptoms." However, these symptoms are nonspecific. The ongoing Diagnosing Ovarian Cancer Early (DOVE) Study in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, provides diagnostic testing to women aged 50 years or older with symptoms lasting for more than 2 weeks and less than 1 year. The prevalence of ovarian cancer in DOVE is 10 times that of large screening trials, prompting us to estimate the prevalence of these symptoms in this population. We sent a questionnaire to 3,000 randomly sampled women in 2014-2015. Overall, 833 women responded; 81.5% reported at least 1 symptom, and 59.7% reported at least 1 symptom within the duration window specified in DOVE. We explored whether such high prevalence resulted from low survey response by applying inverse probability weighting to correct the estimates. Older women and those from deprived areas were less likely to respond, but only age was associated with symptom reporting. Prevalence was similar in early and late responders. Inverse probability weighting had a minimal impact on estimates, suggesting little evidence of nonresponse bias. This is the first study investigating symptoms that have proven to identify a subset of women with a high prevalence of ovarian cancer. However, the high frequency of symptoms warrants further refinements before symptom-triggered diagnostic testing can be implemented.
Project description:BackgroundThe incidence of testicular cancer in the United States (US) has substantially increased in recent decades. The majority of testicular cancers are germ cell tumors (TGCT), which are the most commonly occurring malignancies among men aged 15-44 years in the US. To date, few studies have focused on testicular cancer among men aged ≥ 50 years. Thus, we sought to examine detailed descriptive features, including incidence rates and age patterns, of tumors that arise in the testes among men aged ≥ 50 years.MethodsData from forty-one US cancer registries were included for the years 1999-2014. Incidence rates per 100,000 person-years and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated by race/ethnicity, histology, and age at diagnosis. Estimates of annual percent change (APC) were also calculated.ResultsAge-specific incidence rates of spermatocytic tumors, sex cord stromal tumors and lymphomas rose with age, while age-specific incidence rates of seminomas and nonseminomas declined. Between 1999 and 2014, the incidence of nonseminoma (APC = 3.26, 95% CI: 2.27-4.25) increased more than any other tumor type. The incidence of seminoma (APC: 1.15, 95% CI: 0.59-1.71) also increased, while rates of testicular lymphoma (APC: -0.66, 95% CI: -1.16 to -0.16), spermatocytic tumors (APC: 0.42, 95% CI: -1.42 to 2.29), and sex cord stromal tumors (APC: 0.60, 95% CI: -3.21 to 4.55) remained relatively unchanged.ConclusionGiven the distinct time-trends and age-specific patterns of testicular cancer in men aged ≥50 years, additional investigation of risk factors for these tumors is warranted.
Project description:BACKGROUND:Epidemiological studies demonstrate an association between diabetes and low neuromuscular strength (NMS). However, none have grouped participants into nondiabetics (ND), undiagnosed diabetics (UDD), controlled diabetics (CD), and uncontrolled diabetics (UCD) or investigated what glycated hemoglobin levels (HbA1c) are associated with low NMS (dynapenia) by sex. METHODS:We analyzed the association between UDD, CD, and UCD and dynapenia, the extent to which the different groupings of these individuals modifies this association and the association between HbA1c levels and NMS, by sex, in a cross-sectional study involving 5,290 participants ?50 years from the ELSA study. In the first two analyses, logistic regression models were used with dynapenia (grip strength <26 kg in men and <16 kg in women) as outcome and diabetes (ND, UDD, CD, and UCD) as exposure. Next, linear regression was performed with grip strength as the outcome, and the participants were classified based on HbA1c level as exposure. The models were adjusted by sociodemographic, behavioral, and clinical characteristics. RESULTS:Compared to ND, only UCD was associated with dynapenia (men OR = 2.37 95% CI 1.36-4.14; women OR = 1.67 95% CI 1.01-2.79). This association was less clear, particularly in women, when CD and UCD groups were merged. HbA1c ?6.5% in men and ?8.0% in women were associated with lower NMS. CONCLUSIONS:UCD increases the chance of dynapenia in both sexes. The different groupings based on diabetes status modify the association between UCD and dynapenia. The threshold of HbA1c associated with reduced NMS is lower in men compared to women.
Project description:Background:The herpes zoster subunit vaccine (HZ/su), consisting of varicella-zoster virus glycoprotein E (gE) and AS01B Adjuvant System, was highly efficacious in preventing herpes zoster in the ZOE-50 and ZOE-70 trials. We present immunogenicity results from those trials. Methods:Participants (ZOE-50: ?50; ZOE-70: ?70 years of age) received 2 doses of HZ/su or placebo, 2 months apart. Serum anti-gE antibodies and CD4 T cells expressing ?2 of 4 activation markers assessed (CD42+) after stimulation with gE-peptides were measured in subcohorts for humoral (n = 3293) and cell-mediated (n = 466) immunogenicity. Results:After vaccination, 97.8% of HZ/su and 2.0% of placebo recipients showed a humoral response. Geometric mean anti-gE antibody concentrations increased 39.1-fold and 8.3-fold over baseline in HZ/su recipients at 1 and 36 months post-dose 2, respectively. A gE-specific CD42+ T-cell response was shown in 93.3% of HZ/su and 0% of placebo recipients. Median CD42+ T-cell frequencies increased 24.6-fold (1 month) and 7.9-fold (36 months) over baseline in HZ/su recipients and remained ?5.6-fold above baseline in all age groups at 36 months. The proportion of CD4 T cells expressing all 4 activation markers increased over time in all age groups. Conclusions:Most HZ/su recipients developed robust immune responses persisting for 3 years following vaccination. Clinical Trials Registration:NCT01165177; NCT01165229.
Project description:BackgroundTo determine the efficacy of an adjuvanted recombinant zoster vaccine in reducing the herpes zoster (HZ) burden of illness, HZ burden of interference with activities of daily living, and HZ impact on quality of life.MethodsThe assessments were integrated in two Phase III trials, ZOE-50 (NCT01165177) and ZOE-70 (NCT01165229). HZ burden of illness and HZ burden of interference with activities of daily living were assessed by the Zoster Brief Pain Inventory (ZBPI) instrument and quality of life by the EuroQol-5 Dimension (EQ-5D) utility index and the SF-36 health survey. We report the ZOE-50 results and a pooled analysis of patients aged 70 years and older from the trials combined.ResultsThe estimated vaccine efficacy in reducing HZ burden of illness and HZ burden of interference was greater than 90% in both the ZOE-50 and the pooled ZOE-70 analysis. In confirmed HZ cases, adjuvanted recombinant zoster vaccine reduced the maximal ZBPI worst-pain score in the pooled ZOE-70 analysis (p = .032) and the maximal ZBPI average-pain scores in both the ZOE-50 (p = .049) and the pooled ZOE-70 analysis (p = .043). In breakthrough HZ cases, trends for diminished loss of quality of life compared with placebo-recipient HZ cases were observed, with differences up to 0.14 on the EQ-5D index at time points during the 4 weeks following HZ onset.ConclusionsAdjuvanted recombinant zoster vaccine reduced the HZ burden of illness significantly, particularly due to its very high vaccine efficacy in preventing HZ. For breakthrough HZ cases, the results suggest that the adjuvanted recombinant zoster vaccine mitigated severity of HZ-related pain, burden of interference with activities of daily living, and recipients' utility loss.
Project description:Previous research found a high prevalence of depression, along with chronic illnesses and disabilities, among older ED patients. This study examined the relationship between depressive symptom severity and the number of ED visits among low-income homebound older adults who participated in a randomized controlled trial of telehealth problem-solving therapy (PST).The number of and reasons for ED visits were collected from the study participants (n=121 at baseline) at all assessment points-baseline and 12- and 24-week follow-ups. Depressive symptoms were measured with the 24-item Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression (HAMD). All multivariable analyses examining the relationships between ED visits and depressive symptoms were conducted using zero-inflated Poisson regression models.Of the participants, 67.7% used the ED at least once and 61% of the visitors made at least one return visit during the approximately 12-month period. Body pain (not from fall injury and not including chest pain) was the most common reason. The ED visit frequency at baseline and at follow-up was significantly positively associated with the HAMD scores at the assessment points. The ED visit frequency at follow-up, controlling for the ED visits at baseline, was also significantly associated with the HAMD score change since baseline.The ED visit rate was much higher than those reported in other studies. Better education on self-management of chronic conditions, depression screening by primary care physicians and ED, and depression treatment that includes symptom management and problem-solving skills may be important to reduce ED visits among medically ill, low-income homebound adults.ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00903019.