Dataset Information

Machine-learning analysis of contrast-enhanced computed tomography radiomics predicts patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who are unsuitable for initial transarterial chemoembolization monotherapy: A multicenter study.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Due to the high heterogeneity of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), patients with non-advanced disease who are unsuitable for initial transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) monotherapy may have the potential to develop extrahepatic spread or vascular invasion. We aimed to develop and independently validate a radiomics-based model for predicting which patients will develop extrahepatic spread or vascular invasion after initial TACE monotherapy (EVIT).

Materials and methods

This retrospective study included 256 HCC patients (training set: n?=?136; testing set: n?=?120) who underwent TACE as initial therapy between April 2007 and June 2018. Clinicoradiological predictors were selected using multivariate logistic regression and a clinicoradiological model was constructed. The radiomic features were extracted from contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) images and a radiomics signature was constructed based on a machine learning algorithm. A combined model integrated clinicoradiological predictor and radiomics signature was developed. The predictive performance of the two models was evaluated and compared based on its discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness.

Results

In the training set, 34 (25.0%) patients were confirmed to have EVIT, whereas 26 (21.7%) patients in the testing set had EVIT. When the radiomics signature was added, the combined model showed improved discrimination performance compared to the clinicoradiological model (area under the curves [AUCs] 0.911 vs. 0.772 in the training set; AUCs 0.847 vs. 0.746 in the testing set) and could divide HCC patients into three strata of low, intermediate, or high risk in the two sets. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the two models were clinically useful, and the combined model provided greater benefits for discriminating patients than the clinicoradiological model.

Conclusions

This study presents a model that integrates clinicoradiological predictors and CT-based radiomics signature that could provide a preoperative individualized prediction of EVIT in patients with HCC.

SUBMITTER: Jin Z

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7873378 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Machine-learning analysis of contrast-enhanced computed tomography radiomics predicts patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who are unsuitable for initial transarterial chemoembolization monotherapy: A multicenter study.

Jin Zhicheng Z Chen Li L Zhong Binyan B Zhou Haifeng H Zhu Haidong H Zhou Hai H Song Jingjing J Guo Jinhe J Zhu Xiaoli X Ji Jiansong J Ni Caifang C Teng Gaojun G

Translational oncology 20210207 4

<h4>Introduction</h4>Due to the high heterogeneity of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), patients with non-advanced disease who are unsuitable for initial transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) monotherapy may have the potential to develop extrahepatic spread or vascular invasion. We aimed to develop and independently validate a radiomics-based model for predicting which patients will develop extrahepatic spread or vascular invasion after initial TACE monotherapy (EVIT).<h4>Materials and methods</h ...[more]

PMID: 33567388

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Project description:PurposeTo investigate the role of contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (CE-MRI) radiomics for pretherapeutic prediction of the response to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).MethodsOne hundred and twenty-two HCC patients (objective response, n = 63; non-response, n = 59) who received CE-MRI examination before initial TACE were retrospectively recruited and randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 85) and a validation cohort (n = 37). All HCCs were manually segmented on arterial, venous and delayed phases of CE-MRI, and total 2367 radiomics features were extracted. Radiomics models were constructed based on each phase and their combination using logistic regression algorithm. A clinical-radiological model was built based on independent risk factors identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. A combined model incorporating the radiomics score and selected clinical-radiological predictors was constructed, and the combined model was presented as a nomogram. Prediction models were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis.ResultsAmong all radiomics models, the three-phase radiomics model exhibited better performance in the training cohort with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.838 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.753 - 0.922), which was verified in the validation cohort (AUC, 0.833; 95% CI, 0.691 - 0.975). The combined model that integrated the three-phase radiomics score and clinical-radiological risk factors (total bilirubin, tumor shape, and tumor encapsulation) showed excellent calibration and predictive capability in the training and validation cohorts with AUCs of 0.878 (95% CI, 0.806 - 0.950) and 0.833 (95% CI, 0.687 - 0.979), respectively, and showed better predictive ability (P = 0.003) compared with the clinical-radiological model (AUC, 0.744; 95% CI, 0.642 - 0.846) in the training cohort. A nomogram based on the combined model achieved good clinical utility in predicting the treatment efficacy of TACE.ConclusionCE-MRI radiomics analysis may serve as a promising and noninvasive tool to predict therapeutic response to TACE in HCC, which will facilitate the individualized follow-up and further therapeutic strategies guidance in HCC patients.

Project description:Patients with HCC receiving TACE have various clinical outcomes. Several prognostic models have been proposed to predict clinical outcomes for patients with hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), but establishing an accurate prognostic model remains necessary. We aimed to develop a radiomics signature from pretreatment CT to establish a combined radiomics-clinic (CRC) model to predict survival for these patients. We compared this CRC model to the existing prognostic models in predicting patient survival. This retrospective study included multicenter data from 162 treatment-naïve patients with unresectable HCC undergoing TACE as an initial treatment from January 2007 and March 2017. We randomly allocated patients to a training cohort (n = 108) and a testing cohort (n = 54). Radiomics features were extracted from intra- and peritumoral regions on both the arterial phase and portal venous phase CT images. A radiomics signature (Rad-signature) for survival was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method in the training cohort. We used univariate and multivariate Cox regressions to identify associations between the Rad- signature and clinical factors of survival. From these, a CRC model was developed, validated, and further compared with previously published prognostic models including four-and-seven criteria, six-and-twelve score, hepatoma arterial-embolization prognostic scores, and albumin-bilirubin grade. The CRC model incorporated two variables: The Rad-signature (composed of features extracted from intra- and peritumoral regions on the arterial phase and portal venous phase) and tumor number. The CRC model performed better than the other seven well-recognized prognostic models, with concordance indices of 0.73 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.68-0.79] and 0.70 [95% CI 0.62-0.82] in the training and testing cohorts, respectively. Among the seven models tested, the six-and-12 score and four-and-seven criteria performed better than the other models, with C-indices of 0.64 [95% CI 0.58-0.70] and 0.65 [95% CI 0.55-0.75] in the testing cohort, respectively. The CT radiomics signature represents an independent biomarker of survival in patients with HCC undergoing TACE, and the CRC model displayed improved predictive performance.

Project description:BackgroundOptimal administration of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), the standard approach for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), requires clinical and technical expertise. We sought to evaluate whether TACE retains its effectiveness when administered across a broad range of health care settings. Furthermore, as the use of yttrium(90) (Y(90)) radioembolization has been increasing, we explored the comparative effectiveness of Y(90) as an alternative to TACE.MethodsPatients with HCC diagnosed from 2004 through 2009 treated initially with TACE or Y(90) were identified from the SEER-Medicare linkage. Key covariates included prediagnosis α-fetoprotein (AFP) screening, complications of cirrhosis, and tumor extent. Effect of treatment, patient, and health care system factors on overall survival (OS) was evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards. Stratified OS estimates are provided. Propensity score (PS) weighting was used to compare effectiveness of Y(90) with TACE.ResultsOf 1528 patients who underwent intra-arterial embolization, 577 received concurrent chemotherapy (eg, TACE). Median OS was 21 months (95% CI, 18-23) following TACE and 9 months (95% CI, 1-41) following Y(90). Refined survival estimates stratified by stage, AFP screening, and liver comorbidity are presented. The 90-day mortality rate after TACE was 21% to 25% in patients with extrahepatic spread or vascular invasion. In the PS-weighted analysis, Y(90) was associated with inferior survival, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.39 (95% CI, 1.02-1.90).ConclusionsThe effectiveness of TACE is generalizable to Medicare patients receiving care in a variety of treatment settings. However, early posttreatment mortality is high in patients with advanced disease. We found no evidence of improved outcomes with Y(90) compared with TACE. Survival estimates from this large cohort can be used to provide prognostic information to patients considering palliative TACE.

Dataset Information

Machine-learning analysis of contrast-enhanced computed tomography radiomics predicts patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who are unsuitable for initial transarterial chemoembolization monotherapy: A multicenter study.

Introduction

Materials and methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Machine-learning analysis of contrast-enhanced computed tomography radiomics predicts patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who are unsuitable for initial transarterial chemoembolization monotherapy: A multicenter study.

Similar Datasets

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