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Grading system utilising the total score of Oxford classification for predicting renal prognosis in IgA nephropathy.

ABSTRACT: The Oxford classification of IgA nephropathy (IgAN) can evaluate each MEST-C score individually. We analysed a new grading system that utilised the total MEST-C score in predicting renal prognosis. Altogether, 871 IgAN patients were classified into three groups using the new Oxford classification system (O-grade) that utilised the total MEST-C score (O-grade I: 0-1, II: 2-4, and III: 5-7 points), and the 10-year renal prognosis was analysed. The clinical findings became significantly severer with increasing O-grades, and the renal survival rate by the Kaplan-Meier method was 94.1%, 86.9%, and 74.1% for O-grades I, II, and III, respectively. The hazard ratios (HRs) for O-grades II and III with reference to O-grade I were 2.8 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.3-6.0) and 6.3 (95% CI 2.7-14.5), respectively. In the multivariate analysis, mean arterial pressure and eGFR, proteinuria at the time of biopsy, treatment of corticosteroids/immunosuppressors, and O-grade (HR 1.63; 95% CI 1.11-2.38) were the independent factors predicting renal prognosis. Among the nine groups classified using the O-grade and Japanese clinical-grade, the renal prognosis had an HR of 15.2 (95% CI 3.5-67) in the severest group. The O-grade classified by the total score of the Oxford classification was associated with renal prognosis.

SUBMITTER: Miyabe Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7878747 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Grading system utilising the total score of Oxford classification for predicting renal prognosis in IgA nephropathy.

Miyabe Yoei Y Karasawa Kazunori K Akiyama Kenichi K Ogura Shota S Takabe Tomo T Sugiura Naoko N Seki Momoko M Iwabuchi Yuko Y Hanafusa Norio N Uchida Keiko K Nitta Kosaku K Moriyama Takahito T

Scientific reports 20210211 1

The Oxford classification of IgA nephropathy (IgAN) can evaluate each MEST-C score individually. We analysed a new grading system that utilised the total MEST-C score in predicting renal prognosis. Altogether, 871 IgAN patients were classified into three groups using the new Oxford classification system (O-grade) that utilised the total MEST-C score (O-grade I: 0-1, II: 2-4, and III: 5-7 points), and the 10-year renal prognosis was analysed. The clinical findings became significantly severer wit ...[more]

PMID: 33574388

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Project description:BackgroundThe Oxford classification of IgA nephropathy (IgAN) was revised in 2016 which lacked sufficient evidence for prognostic value of subclassification of focal segmental glomerular sclerosis (S lesion), and the proper proportion of S lesion for subclassification remains undetermined.AimThis study aimed to explore the predictive value of the new subclassification of S score on renal outcomes of IgAN patients.Methods348 patients with IgAN-associated S lesion were enrolled. According to the optimal cut-off of 25% established by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, we divided S1 patients into two groups: S1a group (S lesion < 25%) and S1b group (S lesion ≥ 25%). IgAN patients with mild lesion (M0E0S0T0C0) were set as the control group. The clinical features at renal biopsy, pathological findings, and follow-up parameters (follow-up time ranged from 1 to 5 years) were collected. We used univariate and multivariate analyses to assess whether the subclassification of S score could refine risk prediction and clinical utility.ResultsWe demonstrated that S lesion ≥ 25% was associated with a more rapid GFR loss and a lower rate of complete remission of proteinuria even adjusted for multiple clinic pathological variables, compared to S1a group (All p values <.05). And the ratio of glomeruli with T lesion and crescents were higher in patients with S lesion ≥ 25%. Data showed that IgAN patients with S lesion ≥ 25% were at an increased risk of poor renal outcomes even with immunosuppression.ConclusionThis study might recommend new subclassification of S scores (S0 (no S lesion), S1 (S lesion <25% of glomeruli), and S2 (S lesion ≥ 25% of glomeruli)) for the Oxford classification. This model may also help to evaluate pros and cons of immunosuppressive therapy in IgAN patients with different level of S lesion.KEY MESSAGESS lesion ≥ 25% is an independent risk factor for poor renal outcome in IgAN patients.This new subclassification of S scores may help to evaluate pros and cons of immunotherapy in IgAN patients with different level of S lesion.

Project description:Background and objectivesThe risk assessment for developing ESRD remains limited in patients with IgA nephropathy (IgAN). The aim of this study was to develop and validate a prediction rule for estimating the individual risk of ESRD in patients with IgAN.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsA total of 698 patients with IgAN diagnosed by renal biopsy at Kyushu University Hospital (derivation cohort) between 1982 and 2010 were retrospectively followed. The Oxford classification was used to evaluate the pathologic lesions. The risk factors for developing ESRD were evaluated using a Cox proportional hazard model with a stepwise backward elimination method. The prediction rule was verified using data from 702 patients diagnosed at Japanese Red Cross Fukuoka Hospital (validation cohort) between 1979 and 2002.ResultsIn the derivation cohort, 73 patients developed ESRD during the median 4.7-year follow-up. The final prediction model included proteinuria (hazard ratio [HR], 1.30; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.16 to 1.45, every 1 g/24 hours), estimated GFR (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74 to 0.96, every 10 ml/min per 1.73 m(2)), mesangial proliferation (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.10 to 3.11), segmental sclerosis (HR, 3.21; 95% CI, 1.37 to 7.51), and interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy (T1: HR, 5.30; 95% CI, 2.63 to 10.7; T2: HR, 20.5; 95% CI, 9.05 to 46.5) as independent risk factors for developing ESRD. To create a prediction rule, the score for each variable was weighted by the regression coefficients calculated using the relevant Cox model. The incidence of ESRD increased linearly with increases in the total risk scores (P for trend <0.001). Furthermore, the prediction rule demonstrated good discrimination (c-statistic=0.89) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P=0.78) in the validation cohort.ConclusionsThis study developed and validated a new prediction rule using clinical measures and the Oxford classification for developing ESRD in patients with IgAN.

Dataset Information

Grading system utilising the total score of Oxford classification for predicting renal prognosis in IgA nephropathy.

Publications

Grading system utilising the total score of Oxford classification for predicting renal prognosis in IgA nephropathy.

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