Dataset Information

Risk factors for major adverse kidney events in the first year after acute kidney injury.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Acute kidney injury (AKI) survivors are at increased risk of major adverse kidney events (MAKEs), including chronic kidney disease (CKD), end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and death. High-risk AKI patients may benefit from specialist follow-up, but factors associated with increased risk have not been reported.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study of AKI patients admitted to a single centre between 2012 and 2016 who had a baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) >30?mL/min/1.73?m² and were alive and independent of renal replacement therapy (RRT) at 30?days following discharge. AKI was identified using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes and staged according to the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes criteria. Patients were excluded if they were kidney transplant recipients or if AKI was attributed to intrinsic kidney disease. We performed Cox regression models to examine MAKEs in the first year, defined as the composite of CKD (sustained 25% drop in eGFR), ESKD (requirement for chronic RRT or sustained eGFR <15?mL/min/1.73?m²) or death. We examined secondary outcomes (CKD, ESKD and death) using Cox and competing risk regression analyses.

Results

We studied 2101 patients (mean?±?SD age 69?±?15?years, baseline eGFR 72?±?23?mL/min/1.73?m²). Of these, 767 patients (37%) developed at least one MAKE (429 patients developed CKD, 21 patients developed ESKD, 375 patients died). MAKEs occurred more frequently with older age [hazard ratio (HR) 1.16 per decade, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-1.24], greater severity of AKI (Stage 2 HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.16-1.64; Stage 3 HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.31-2.01), higher serum creatinine at discharge (HR 1.04 per 10?µmol/L, 95% CI 1.03-1.06), chronic heart failure (HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.19-1.67), liver disease (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.39-2.03) and malignancy (non-metastatic HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.14-1.82; metastatic HR 2.26, 95% CI 1.80-2.83). Traditional risk factors (e.g. diabetes and cardiovascular disease) had limited predictive value.

Conclusions

More than a third of AKI patients develop MAKEs within the first year. Clinical variables available at the time of discharge can help identify patients at increased risk of such events.

SUBMITTER: See EJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7886537 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Risk factors for major adverse kidney events in the first year after acute kidney injury.

See Emily J EJ Toussaint Nigel D ND Bailey Michael M Johnson David W DW Polkinghorne Kevan R KR Robbins Raymond R Bellomo Rinaldo R

Clinical kidney journal 20191220 2

<h4>Background</h4>Acute kidney injury (AKI) survivors are at increased risk of major adverse kidney events (MAKEs), including chronic kidney disease (CKD), end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and death. High-risk AKI patients may benefit from specialist follow-up, but factors associated with increased risk have not been reported.<h4>Methods</h4>We conducted a retrospective study of AKI patients admitted to a single centre between 2012 and 2016 who had a baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate ...[more]

PMID: 33623679

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Project description:ObjectivesTo investigate the prognosis including major adverse kidney events within 30 days (MAKE30) and 90-day and 1-year adverse outcome in hospitalized patients with post-contrast acute kidney injury (PC-AKI) to identify high-risk factors.MethodsThis retrospective observational study included 288 PC-AKI patients selected from 277,898 patients admitted to hospitals from January 2015 to December 2015. PC-AKI was defined according to the 2018 guideline of European Society of Urogenital Radiology. Multivariable Cox regression and logistic regression analyses were used to analyze main outcome and risk factors.ResultsPC-AKI patients with AKI stage ≥ 2 had much higher incidence of MAKE30 than those with AKI stage 1 (RR = 7.027, 95% CI 4.918-10.039). Persistent renal dysfunction, heart failure, central nervous system failure, baseline eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, oliguria or anuria, blood urea nitrogen ≥ 7.14 mmol/L, respiratory failure, and shock were independent risk factors of 90-day or 1-year adverse prognosis (p < 0.05). Compared with transient renal dysfunction, PC-AKI patients with persistent renal dysfunction had a higher all-cause mortality rate (RR = 3.768, 95% CI 1.612-8.810; RR = 4.106, 95% CI 1.765-9.551) as well as combined endpoints of death, chronic kidney disease, or end-stage renal disease (OR = 3.685, 95% CI 1.628-8.340; OR = 5.209, 95% CI 1.730-15.681) within 90 days or 1 year.ConclusionsPC-AKI is not always a transient, benign creatininopathy, but can result in adverse outcome. AKI stage is independently correlated to MAKE30 and persistent renal dysfunction may exaggerate the risk of long-term adverse events.Key points• PC-AKI can result in adverse outcome such as persistent renal dysfunction, dialysis, chronic kidney disease (CKD), end-stage renal disease (ESRD), or death. • AKI stage is independently correlated to MAKE30. • Persistent renal dysfunction may exaggerate the risk of long-term adverse events.

Project description:Risk factors for major adverse events late after Fontan palliation are unknown. Prior studies have suggested ventricular function and morphology as important risk factors. The aim of this study is to (1) characterize the late major adverse event profile in adult Fontan patients and (2) identify additional risk factors that may contribute to adverse outcomes.A retrospective review of all adult patients >15 years post-Fontan seen at a tertiary academic center was conducted. Clinical, laboratory, cardiac data, and abdominal imaging were collected via chart review. Major adverse events (death, cardiac transplantation, or listing) were identified, and timing of events was plotted using Kaplan-Meier methods. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was used to determine independent predictors of late-term events.A total of 123 adult Fontan patients were identified (mean time post-Fontan 22.4 years [±4.4]). Major adverse events occurred in 19/123 patients (15%). In this 15-year survivor cohort, transplant-free survival rates were 94.6%, 82.9%, and 59.8% at 20, 25, and 30 years postoperation, respectively. Modes of death were Fontan failure with preserved function (4), congestive heart failure with decreased function (2), sudden death (2), thromboembolic event (1), post-Fontan conversion (2), and posttransplant (2). No differences in adverse outcomes were found based on morphology of the systemic ventricle, Fontan type, or systolic ventricular function. On the other hand, features of portal hypertension (OR 19.0, CI 4.7-77.3, P?<?.0001), presence of a pacemaker (OR 13.4, CI 2.6-69.8, P?=?.002), and systemic oxygen desaturation (OR 0.86, CI 0.75-0.98, P?=?.02) were risk factors for major adverse events in the multivariate analysis.In adult Fontan patients surviving >15 years post-Fontan, portal hypertension, oxygen desaturation, and need for pacemaker were predictive of adverse events. Traditional measures may not predict late-term outcomes in adult survivors; further study of the liver's role in late outcomes is warranted.

Project description:Klotho and Fibroblast Growth Factor (FGF)-23 were recently postulated as candidate biomarkers and/or therapeutic targets in acute kidney injury (AKI). We examined whether urine Klotho and serum intact FGF23 levels were differentially and independently associated with major adverse kidney events (MAKE) in critically ill patients with and without AKI. Single-center, prospective, case-control study. ICU in a tertiary medical center. 54 AKI patients and 52 controls without AKI admitted to the ICU. None. AKI was defined by KDIGO criteria and included only AKI stage ≥2. Controls were matched by age, gender, and baseline eGFR. Paired serum and urine samples were obtained 24-48h after AKI diagnosis (cases) or ICU admission (controls). The primary outcome was 90-day MAKE, which was the composite of all-cause death, dependence on renal replacement therapy or a 50% or higher decrease in eGFR from baseline. Forty-four (41.5%) patients developed MAKE-90. Patients who developed MAKE-90 had more comorbidity, higher acuity of illness scores and more prevalent AKI. Levels of urine Klotho adjusted by creatinine (Cr) were lower and serum intact FGF23 levels were higher in AKI patients vs. ICU controls. In adjusted models, the highest vs. lowest tertile of urine Klotho/Cr was independently associated with an overall 95% lower risk of MAKE-90 (81% lower risk in patients with AKI). The highest vs. lowest tertile of serum intact FGF23 was associated with >300% higher risk of MAKE-90. Urine Klotho/Cr levels were significantly lower and serum intact FGF23 levels significantly higher in critically ill patients with AKI vs. matched-controls without AKI. When measured in the first 48h of ICU admission or AKI diagnosis, urine Klotho/Cr independently associated with major adverse kidney events, particularly in patients with AKI. These results show promise for testing these biomarkers -individually or in combination- as part of novel risk-prediction models of renal outcomes in the ICU.

Project description:Background and objectivesMajor adverse kidney events, a composite of death, new kidney replacement therapy, or persistent kidney dysfunction, is a potential patient-centered outcome for clinical trials in sepsis-associated kidney injury. We sought to determine the incidence of major adverse kidney events within 30 days and validate this end point in pediatric sepsis.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsWe conducted a retrospective observational study using the Pediatric Health Information Systems Plus database of patients >6 months to <18 years old with a diagnosis of severe sepsis/septic shock; orders for bacterial blood culture, antibiotics, and at least one fluid bolus on hospital day 0/1; and known hospital disposition between January 2007 and December 2011. The primary outcome was incidence of major adverse kidney events within 30 days. Major adverse kidney events within 30 days were validated against all-cause mortality at hospital discharge, hospital length of stay, total hospital costs, hospital readmission within 30 days and 1 year, and lowest eGFR between 3 months and 1 year after discharge. We reported incidence of major adverse kidney events within 30 days with 95% confidence intervals using robust SEM and used multivariable logistic regression to test the association of major adverse kidney events within 30 days with hospital costs and mortality.ResultsOf 1685 admissions, incidence of major adverse kidney events within 30 days was 9.6% (95% confidence interval, 8.1% to 11.0%), including 4.5% (95% confidence interval, 3.5% to 5.4%) death, 1.7% (95% confidence interval, 1.1% to 2.3%) kidney replacement therapy, and 5.8% (95% confidence interval, 4.7% to 6.9%) persistent kidney dysfunction. Patients with versus without major adverse kidney events within 30 days had higher all-cause mortality at hospital discharge (28% versus 1%; P<0.001), higher total hospital costs ($61,188; interquartile range, $21,272-140,356 versus $28,107; interquartile range, $13,056-72,697; P<0.001), and higher proportion with eGFR<60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 between 3 months and 1 year after discharge (19% versus 4%; P=0.001). Major adverse kidney events within 30 days was not associated with length of stay or readmissions.ConclusionsIn children with sepsis, major adverse kidney events within 30 days are common, feasible to measure, and a promising end point for future clinical trials.

Project description:BackgroundSeveral biomarkers of AKI have been examined for their ability to predict AKI before serum creatinine. Few studies have focused on using kidney biomarkers to better predict major adverse kidney events (MAKE), an increasingly used composite outcome in critical care nephrology research.MethodsSingle-center prospective study collecting blood and urine samples from critically ill patients with AKI Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes stage 2 or above, and matched controls from a single, tertiary care intensive care unit (ICU). Samples were collected at 24-48 hours after AKI diagnosis (patients) or ICU admission (controls), 5-7 days later, and 4-6 weeks after discharge for patients with AKI. The primary outcome of interest was MAKE at hospital discharge (MAKE-DC), consisting of the composite end point of death, RRT dependence, or a decrease in estimated glomerular filtration to <75% of baseline.ResultsSerum/urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), serum/urinary cystatin C, and urinary kidney injury molecule-1 early in the AKI or ICU course were all significantly higher in patients with MAKE-DC compared with those not experiencing MAKE-DC. Additionally, serum/urinary NGAL and serum cystatin C measurements at the first time point remained significantly associated with MAKE events at 3, 6, and 12 months. Serum cystatin C, and to a lesser extent serum NGAL, significantly improved upon a logistic regression clinical prediction model of MAKE-DC (AUROC 0.94 and 0.87 versus 0.83; P=0.001 and P=0.02, respectively). Patients without MAKE-DC experienced a greater decline in serum NGAL from first to second measurement than those patients experiencing MAKE-DC.ConclusionsEarly measures of kidney biomarkers in patients who are critically ill are associated with MAKE-DC. This relationship appears to be greatest with serum NGAL and cystatin C, which display additive utility to a clinical prediction model. Trending serum NGAL may also have utility in predicting MAKE-DC.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common problem in critically ill patients and associated with high rates of morbidity and mortality. Recently, Major Adverse Kidney Events (MAKE) were introduced as important kidney endpoints. If these endpoints can be predicted, then it may help the physicians to identify high-risk patients and provide the opportunity to have targeted preventive therapy. The objective of this study was to create a simplified scoring system to predict MAKE within 28 days among AKI patients in ICU. METHODS:This is a prospective web-based multicenter cohort study that was conducted in adults who were admitted to the ICU in 17 centers across Thailand from 2013 to 2015. A predicting score was derived from the regression equation with Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis to evaluate the diagnostic test and produce predictive models. Internal validation was obtained using the bootstrapping method. RESULTS:From 5071 cases, 2856 (56%) had AKI. Among those with AKI, 1749 (61%) had MAKE. Among those that have MAKE, there were 1175 (41.4%) deaths, 414 (14.4%) were on dialysis and 1154 (40.7%) had non-recovery renal function. The simplified score points of low Glasgow coma scale was 3, tachypnea was 1, vasopressor use was 1, on mechanical ventilation was 2, oliguria was 2, serum creatinine rising ≥ 3 times was 5, high blood urea nitrogen was 3, low hematocrit was 2, and thrombocytopenia was 1. The area under ROC curve for optimism corrected performance was 0.80 (0.78, 0.81). When the cut-off value was 7, the sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, and positive predictive values were 0.75, 0.76, 3.10, and 0.84, respectively. When the scoring system was calibrated, the α intercept and β slope were 1.001 and 0, respectively. CONCLUSIONS:SEA-MAKE scoring system is a new simplified clinical tool that can be used to predict major adverse kidney events in AKI patients. The simplicity of the scoring system is highly likely to be used in resource-limited settings. However, external validation is necessary before widespread use.

Dataset Information

Risk factors for major adverse kidney events in the first year after acute kidney injury.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Risk factors for major adverse kidney events in the first year after acute kidney injury.

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