Dataset Information

Ambient Particulate Air Pollution and Daily Mortality in 652 Cities.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The systematic evaluation of the results of time-series studies of air pollution is challenged by differences in model specification and publication bias.

Methods

We evaluated the associations of inhalable particulate matter (PM) with an aerodynamic diameter of 10 ?m or less (PM₁₀) and fine PM with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 ?m or less (PM_2.5) with daily all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality across multiple countries or regions. Daily data on mortality and air pollution were collected from 652 cities in 24 countries or regions. We used overdispersed generalized additive models with random-effects meta-analysis to investigate the associations. Two-pollutant models were fitted to test the robustness of the associations. Concentration-response curves from each city were pooled to allow global estimates to be derived.

Results

On average, an increase of 10 ?g per cubic meter in the 2-day moving average of PM₁₀ concentration, which represents the average over the current and previous day, was associated with increases of 0.44% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.39 to 0.50) in daily all-cause mortality, 0.36% (95% CI, 0.30 to 0.43) in daily cardiovascular mortality, and 0.47% (95% CI, 0.35 to 0.58) in daily respiratory mortality. The corresponding increases in daily mortality for the same change in PM_2.5 concentration were 0.68% (95% CI, 0.59 to 0.77), 0.55% (95% CI, 0.45 to 0.66), and 0.74% (95% CI, 0.53 to 0.95). These associations remained significant after adjustment for gaseous pollutants. Associations were stronger in locations with lower annual mean PM concentrations and higher annual mean temperatures. The pooled concentration-response curves showed a consistent increase in daily mortality with increasing PM concentration, with steeper slopes at lower PM concentrations.

Conclusions

Our data show independent associations between short-term exposure to PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 and daily all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality in more than 600 cities across the globe. These data reinforce the evidence of a link between mortality and PM concentration established in regional and local studies. (Funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and others.).

SUBMITTER: Liu C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7891185 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Ambient Particulate Air Pollution and Daily Mortality in 652 Cities.

Liu Cong C Chen Renjie R Sera Francesco F Vicedo-Cabrera Ana M AM Guo Yuming Y Tong Shilu S Coelho Micheline S Z S MSZS Saldiva Paulo H N PHN Lavigne Eric E Matus Patricia P Valdes Ortega Nicolas N Osorio Garcia Samuel S Pascal Mathilde M Stafoggia Massimo M Scortichini Matteo M Hashizume Masahiro M Honda Yasushi Y Hurtado-Díaz Magali M Cruz Julio J Nunes Baltazar B Teixeira João P JP Kim Ho H Tobias Aurelio A Íñiguez Carmen C Forsberg Bertil B Åström Christofer C Ragettli Martina S MS Guo Yue-Leon YL Chen Bing-Yu BY Bell Michelle L ML Wright Caradee Y CY Scovronick Noah N Garland Rebecca M RM Milojevic Ai A Kyselý Jan J Urban Aleš A Orru Hans H Indermitte Ene E Jaakkola Jouni J K JJK Ryti Niilo R I NRI Katsouyanni Klea K Analitis Antonis A Zanobetti Antonella A Schwartz Joel J Chen Jianmin J Wu Tangchun T Cohen Aaron A Gasparrini Antonio A Kan Haidong H

The New England journal of medicine 20190801 8

<h4>Background</h4>The systematic evaluation of the results of time-series studies of air pollution is challenged by differences in model specification and publication bias.<h4>Methods</h4>We evaluated the associations of inhalable particulate matter (PM) with an aerodynamic diameter of 10 μm or less (PM<sub>10</sub>) and fine PM with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 μm or less (PM<sub>2.5</sub>) with daily all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality across multiple countries or regions. ...[more]

PMID: 31433918

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Project description:Objectives To estimate the short term effect of particulate air pollution (particle diameter <10 ?m, or PM10) on mortality and explore the heterogeneity of particulate air pollution effects in major cities in China.Design Generalised linear models with different lag structures using time series data.Setting 38 of the largest cities in 27 provinces of China (combined population >200 million).Participants 350?638 deaths (200?912 in males, 149?726 in females) recorded in 38 city districts by the Disease Surveillance Point System of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention from 1 January 2010 to 29 June 2013.Main outcome measure Daily numbers of deaths from all causes, cardiorespiratory diseases, and non-cardiorespiratory diseases and among different demographic groups were used to estimate the associations between particulate air pollution and mortality.Results A 10 µg/m3 change in concurrent day PM10 concentrations was associated with a 0.44% (95% confidence interval 0.30% to 0.58%) increase in daily number of deaths. Previous day and two day lagged PM10 levels decreased in magnitude by one third and two thirds but remained statistically significantly associated with increased mortality. The estimate for the effect of PM10 on deaths from cardiorespiratory diseases was 0.62% (0.43% to 0.81%) per 10 µg/m3 compared with 0.26% (0.09% to 0.42%) for other cause mortality. Exposure to PM10 had a greater impact on females than on males. Adults aged 60 and over were more vulnerable to particulate air pollution at high levels than those aged less than 60. The PM10 effect varied across different cities and marginally decreased in cities with higher PM10 concentrations.Conclusion Particulate air pollution has a greater impact on deaths from cardiorespiratory diseases than it does on other cause mortality. People aged 60 or more have a higher risk of death from particulate air pollution than people aged less than 60. The estimates of the effect varied across cities and covered a wide range of domain.

Project description:Ambient particulate matter (PM) has been associated with mortality and morbidity for cardiovascular disease. MicroRNAs control gene expression at a posttranscriptional level. Altered microRNA expression has been reported in processes related to cardiovascular disease and PM exposure, such as systemic inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, and atherosclerosis. Polymorphisms in microRNA-related genes could influence response to PM.We investigated the association of exposure to ambient particles in several time windows (4-hour to 28-day moving averages) and blood leukocyte expression changes in 14 candidate microRNAs in 153 elderly males from the Normative Aging Study (examined 2005-2009). Potential effect modification by six single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in three microRNA-related genes was investigated. Fine PM (PM2.5), black carbon, organic carbon, and sulfates were measured at a stationary ambient monitoring site. Linear regression models, adjusted for potential confounders, were used to assess effects of particles and SNP-by-pollutant interaction. An in silico pathway analysis was performed on target genes of microRNAs associated with the pollutants.We found a negative association for pollutants in all moving averages and miR-1, -126, -135a, -146a, -155, -21, -222, and -9. The strongest associations were observed with the 7-day moving averages for PM2.5 and black carbon and with the 48-hour moving averages for organic carbon. The association with sulfates was stable across the moving averages. The in silico pathway analysis identified 18 pathways related to immune response shared by at least two microRNAs; in particular, the "high-mobility group protein B1/advanced glycosylation end product-specific receptor signaling pathway" was shared by miR-126, -146a, -155, -21, and -222. No important associations were observed for miR-125a-5p, -125b, -128, -147, -218, and -96. We found significant SNP-by-pollutant interactions for rs7813, rs910925, and rs1062923 in GEMIN4 and black carbon and PM2.5 for miR-1, -126, -146a, -222, and -9, and for rs1640299 in DGCR8 and SO4 for miR-1 and -135a.Exposure to ambient particles could cause a downregulation of microRNAs involved in processes related to PM exposure. Polymorphisms in GEMIN4 and DGCR8 could modify these associations.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Coarse particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter between 2.5 and [Formula: see text] ([Formula: see text]) air pollution is a severe environmental problem in developing countries, but its challenges to public health were rarely evaluated. OBJECTIVE:We aimed to investigate the associations between day-to-day changes in [Formula: see text] and cause-specific mortality in China. METHODS:We conducted a nationwide daily time-series analysis in 272 main Chinese cities from 2013 to 2015. The associations between [Formula: see text] concentrations and mortality were analyzed in each city using overdispersed generalized additive models. Two-stage Bayesian hierarchical models were used to estimate national and regional average associations, and random-effect models were used to pool city-specific concentration-response curves. Two-pollutant models were adjusted for fine particles with aerodynamic diameter [Formula: see text] ([Formula: see text]) or gaseous pollutants. RESULTS:Overall, we observed positive and approximately linear concentration-response associations between [Formula: see text] and daily mortality. A [Formula: see text] increase in [Formula: see text] was associated with higher mortality due to nonaccidental causes [0.23%; 95% posterior interval (PI): 0.13, 0.33], cardiovascular diseases (CVDs; 0.25%; 95% PI: 0.13, 0.37), coronary heart disease (CHD; 0.21%; 95% PI: 0.05, 0.36), stroke (0.21%; 95% PI: 0.08, 0.35), respiratory diseases (0.26%; 95% PI: 0.07, 0.46), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD; 0.34%; 95% PI: 0.12, 0.57). Associations were stronger for cities in southern vs. northern China, with significant differences for total and cardiovascular mortality. Associations with [Formula: see text] were of similar magnitude to those for [Formula: see text] in both single- and two-pollutant models with mutual adjustment. Associations were robust to adjustment for gaseous pollutants other than nitrogen dioxide and sulfur dioxide. Meta-regression indicated that a larger positive correlation between [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] predicted stronger city-specific associations between [Formula: see text] and total mortality. CONCLUSIONS:This analysis showed significant associations between short-term [Formula: see text] exposure and daily nonaccidental and cardiopulmonary mortality based on data from 272 cities located throughout China. Associations appeared to be independent of exposure to [Formula: see text], carbon monoxide, and ozone. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP2711.

Dataset Information

Ambient Particulate Air Pollution and Daily Mortality in 652 Cities.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Ambient Particulate Air Pollution and Daily Mortality in 652 Cities.

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