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The potential global distribution of the papaya mealybug, Paracoccus marginatus, a polyphagous pest.


ABSTRACT:

Background

The papaya mealybug, Paracoccus marginatus, is a highly polyphagous invasive pest that affects more than 200 plants, many of which are of economic importance. We modelled the potential distribution of P. marginatus using CLIMEX, a process-oriented, climate-based niche model. We combined this model with spatial data on irrigation and cropping patterns to increase the real-world applicability of the model.

Results

The resulting model agreed with known distribution points for this pest and with broad areas where P. marginatus has been reported, but for which no GPS data were available. Our model highlights the potential expansion of P. marginatus into novel areas in Central and East Africa, as well as further expansion in Central America and Asia, as these areas are highly climatically suitable, and have large expanses of suitable crop hosts. It also highlights areas, such as the central and eastern states of the USA as well as the western provinces of China, that are suitable for seasonal invasions of P. marginatus.

Conclusion

Our results offer refined resolution on areas with high potential for invasion by P. marginatus. © 2020 Society of Chemical Industry.

SUBMITTER: Finch EA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7894313 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The potential global distribution of the papaya mealybug, Paracoccus marginatus, a polyphagous pest.

Finch Elizabeth A EA   Beale Tim T   Chellappan Mani M   Goergen Georg G   Gadratagi Basana Gowda BG   Khan Mohammed Abul Monjur MAM   Rehman Abdul A   Rwomushana Ivan I   Sarma Arup Kumar AK   Wyckhuys Kris Ag KA   Kriticos Darren J DJ  

Pest management science 20201104 3


<h4>Background</h4>The papaya mealybug, Paracoccus marginatus, is a highly polyphagous invasive pest that affects more than 200 plants, many of which are of economic importance. We modelled the potential distribution of P. marginatus using CLIMEX, a process-oriented, climate-based niche model. We combined this model with spatial data on irrigation and cropping patterns to increase the real-world applicability of the model.<h4>Results</h4>The resulting model agreed with known distribution points  ...[more]

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