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Model-Based Meta-Analysis Compares DAS28 Rheumatoid Arthritis Treatment Effects and Suggests an Expedited Trial Design for Early Clinical Development.

ABSTRACT: A nonlinear mixed effects modeling approach was used to conduct a model-based meta-analysis (MBMA) of longitudinal, summary-level, baseline-corrected 28-joint Disease Activity Score (?DAS28) clinical trial data from seven approved rheumatoid arthritis (RA) drugs (abatacept, adalimumab, certolizumab, etanercept, rituximab, tocilizumab, and tofacitinib), representing 130 randomized clinical trials in 27,355 patients. All of the drugs except tocilizumab were found to have relatively similar ?DAS28 time courses and efficacy (baseline-corrected and placebo-corrected) at 24 weeks and beyond of approximately 0.87-1.3 units in the typical RA patient population. Tocilizumab was estimated to have a differentially greater response of 1.99 at 24 weeks, likely due to its disproportionate effect on the acute-phase cytokine interleukin-6. Baseline DAS28, disease duration, percentage of male participants, and the year of conduct of the trial were found to have statistically significant effects on the timing and/or magnitude of ?DAS28 in the control arms. Clinical trial simulations using the present MBMA indicated that abatacept, certolizumab, etanercept, tocilizumab, and tofacitinib would be expected to have a greater than 70% probability of showing a statistically significant difference vs. control at Week 6 with a sample size of ~ 30 patients per arm. In future RA clinical trials, an interim analysis conducted as early as 6 weeks after treatment initiation, with relatively small sample sizes, should be sufficient to detect the ?DAS28 treatment effect vs. placebo.

SUBMITTER: Leil TA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7894503 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Model-Based Meta-Analysis Compares DAS28 Rheumatoid Arthritis Treatment Effects and Suggests an Expedited Trial Design for Early Clinical Development.

Leil Tarek A TA Lu Yasong Y Bouillon-Pichault Marion M Wong Robert R Nowak Miroslawa M

Clinical pharmacology and therapeutics 20201021 2

A nonlinear mixed effects modeling approach was used to conduct a model-based meta-analysis (MBMA) of longitudinal, summary-level, baseline-corrected 28-joint Disease Activity Score (ΔDAS28) clinical trial data from seven approved rheumatoid arthritis (RA) drugs (abatacept, adalimumab, certolizumab, etanercept, rituximab, tocilizumab, and tofacitinib), representing 130 randomized clinical trials in 27,355 patients. All of the drugs except tocilizumab were found to have relatively similar ΔDAS28 ...[more]

PMID: 32860421

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Project description:Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the CRP gene are implicated in the regulation of the constitutional C-reactive protein (CRP) expression and its response to proinflammatory stimuli. Previous reports suggest that these effects may have an impact on clinical decision-making tools based on CRP, such as the Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (DAS28). We aimed to investigate the possible association between seven CRP SNPs, their haplotypes and the serum levels of CRP, as well as DAS28 scores, in two cohorts of untreated active early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients followed during their initial treatment.Overall, 315 patients with RA from two randomized controlled trials (the CIMESTRA and OPERA trials) who were naïve to disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs and steroids with disease durations less than 6 months were included. Seven CRP SNPs were investigated: rs11265257, rs1130864, rs1205, rs1800947, rs2808632, rs3093077 and rs876538. The genotype and haplotype associations with CRP and DAS28 levels were evaluated using linear regression analysis adjusted for age, sex and treatment.The minor allele of rs1205 C > T was associated with decreased CRP levels at baseline (P = 0.03), with the TT genotype having a 50% reduction in CRP from 16.7 to 8.4 mg/L (P = 0.005) compared to homozygosity of the major allele, but no association was observed at year 1 (P = 0.38). The common H2 haplotype, characterized by the T allele of rs1205, was associated with a 26% reduction in CRP at baseline (P = 0.043), although no effect was observed at year 1 (P = 0.466). No other SNP or haplotype was associated with CRP at baseline or at year 1 (P ? 0.09). We observed no associations between SNPs or haplotypes and DAS28 scores at baseline or at year 1 (P ? 0.10).CRP genotype and haplotype were only marginally associated with serum CRP levels and had no association with the DAS28 score. This study shows that DAS28, the core parameter for inflammatory activity in RA, can be used for clinical decision-making without adjustment for CRP gene variants.The OPERA study is registered at Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT00660647). The CIMESTRA study is not listed in a clinical trials registry, because patients were included between October 1999 and October 2002.

Dataset Information

Model-Based Meta-Analysis Compares DAS28 Rheumatoid Arthritis Treatment Effects and Suggests an Expedited Trial Design for Early Clinical Development.

Publications

Model-Based Meta-Analysis Compares DAS28 Rheumatoid Arthritis Treatment Effects and Suggests an Expedited Trial Design for Early Clinical Development.

Similar Datasets

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