Dataset Information

Development and Validation of Clinical Scoring Tool to Predict Outcomes of Treatment With Vedolizumab in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis.

ABSTRACT:

Background & aims

We created and validated a clinical decision support tool (CDST) to predict outcomes of vedolizumab therapy for ulcerative colitis (UC).

Methods

We performed logistic regression analyses of data from the GEMINI 1 trial, from 620 patients with UC who received vedolizumab induction and maintenance therapy (derivation cohort), to identify factors associated with corticosteroid-free remission (full Mayo score of 2 or less, no subscore above 1). We used these factors to develop a model to predict outcomes of treatment, which we called the vedolizumab CDST. We evaluated the correlation between exposure and efficacy. We validated the CDST in using data from 199 patients treated with vedolizumab in routine practice in the United States from May 2014 through December 2017.

Results

Absence of exposure to a tumor necrosis factor (TNF) antagonist (+3 points), disease duration of 2 y or more (+3 points), baseline endoscopic activity (moderate vs severe) (+2 points), and baseline albumin concentration (+0.65 points per 1 g/L) were independently associated with corticosteroid-free remission during vedolizumab therapy. Patients in the derivation and validation cohorts were assigned to groups of low (CDST score, 26 points or less), intermediate (CDST score, 27-32 points), or high (CDST score, 33 points or more) probability of vedolizumab response. We observed a statistically significant linear relationship between probability group and efficacy (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.65), as well as drug exposure (P < .001) in the derivation cohort. In the validation cohort, a cutoff value of 26 points identified patients who did not respond to vedolizumab with high sensitivity (93%); only the low and intermediate probability groups benefited from reducing intervals of vedolizumab administration due to lack of response (P = .02). The vedolizumab CDST did not identify patients with corticosteroid-free remission during TNF antagonist therapy.

Conclusions

We used data from a trial of patients with UC to develop a scoring system, called the CDST, which identified patients most likely to enter corticosteroid-free remission during vedolizumab therapy, but not anti-TNF therapy. We validated the vedolizumab CDST in a separate cohort of patients in clinical practice. The CDST identified patients most likely to benefited from reducing intervals of vedolizumab administration due to lack of initial response. ClinicalTrials.gov no: NCT00783718.

SUBMITTER: Dulai PS

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7899124 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Development and Validation of Clinical Scoring Tool to Predict Outcomes of Treatment With Vedolizumab in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis.

Dulai Parambir S PS Singh Siddharth S Vande Casteele Niels N Meserve Joseph J Winters Adam A Chablaney Shreya S Aniwan Satimai S Shashi Preeti P Kochhar Gursimran G Weiss Aaron A Koliani-Pace Jenna L JL Gao Youran Y Boland Brigid S BS Chang John T JT Faleck David D Hirten Robert R Ungaro Ryan R Lukin Dana D Sultan Keith K Hudesman David D Chang Shannon S Bohm Matthew M Varma Sashidhar S Fischer Monika M Shmidt Eugenia E Swaminath Arun A Gupta Nitin N Rosario Maria M Jairath Vipul V Guizzetti Leonardo L Feagan Brian G BG Siegel Corey A CA Shen Bo B Kane Sunanda S Loftus Edward V EV Sandborn William J WJ Sands Bruce E BE Colombel Jean-Frederic JF Lasch Karen K Cao Charlie C

Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association 20200213 13

<h4>Background & aims</h4>We created and validated a clinical decision support tool (CDST) to predict outcomes of vedolizumab therapy for ulcerative colitis (UC).<h4>Methods</h4>We performed logistic regression analyses of data from the GEMINI 1 trial, from 620 patients with UC who received vedolizumab induction and maintenance therapy (derivation cohort), to identify factors associated with corticosteroid-free remission (full Mayo score of 2 or less, no subscore above 1). We used these factors ...[more]

PMID: 32062041

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Project description:Background & aimsAs more treatment options for inflammatory bowel diseases become available, it is important to identify patients most likely to respond to different therapies. We created and validated a scoring system to identify patients with Crohn's disease (CD) who respond to vedolizumab.MethodsWe collected data from the GEMINI 2 phase 3 trial of patients with active CD treated with vedolizumab for 26 weeks (n = 814) and performed logistic regression analysis to identify factors associated with clinical, steroid-free, and durable remission (derivation set). We used these data to develop a clinical decision support tool, which we validated using data from 366 participants in a separate clinical practice observational cohort of patients with active CD treated with vedolizumab for 26 weeks (the VICTORY cohort). We evaluated the ability of this tool to identify patients in clinical remission or corticosteroid-free remission, or those with mucosal healing (MH), clinical remission with MH, or corticosteroid-free remission with MH after vedolizumab therapy using receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC) analyses. The primary outcome was to develop and validate a list of factors associated with achieving remission by vedolizumab in patients with active CD.ResultsIn the derivation analysis, we identified absence of previous treatment with a tumor necrosis factor antagonist (+3 points), absence of prior bowel surgery (+2 points), absence of prior fistulizing disease (+2 points), baseline level of albumin (+0.4 points per g/L), and baseline concentration of C-reactive protein (reduction of 0.5 points for values between 3.0 and 10.0 mg/L and 3.0 points for values >10.0 mg/L) as factors associated with remission. In the validation set, our model identified patients in clinical remission with an AUC of 0.67, patients in corticosteroid-free remission with an AUC of 0.66, patients with MH with an AUC of 0.72, patients in clinical remission with MH with an AUC of 0.73, and patients in corticosteroid-free clinical remission with MH with an AUC of 0.75. A cutoff value of 13 points identified patients in clinical remission after vedolizumab therapy with 92% sensitivity, patients in corticosteroid-free remission with 94% sensitivity, patients with MH with 98% sensitivity, patients with clinical remission and MH with 100% sensitivity, and patients with corticosteroid-free clinical remission with MH with 100% sensitivity.ConclusionsWe developed and validated a scoring system to identify patients with CD most likely to respond to 26 weeks of vedolizumab therapy. Further studies are needed to optimize its accuracy in select populations and determine its cost-effectiveness.

Project description:Background:Vedolizumab inhibits ?4?7-mediated lymphocyte trafficking and is effective in ulcerative colitis (UC). This study evaluated drug and biomarker concentrations and patient outcomes during vedolizumab treatment in UC. Methods:Prospectively scored maintenance clinical (26.5 weeks; interquartile range [IQR], 16.3-37.0 weeks) and endoscopic (23.5 weeks; IQR, 16.8-35.6 weeks) outcomes were compared with serum vedolizumab concentrations, antivedolizumab antibodies, and serum biomarkers at baseline and weeks 2, 6, 14, and 26. A linear mixed-effects model compared biomarker trajectories over time between clinical and endoscopic remitters and nonremitters. Results:Thirty-two patients were included. Soluble (s)-tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-?, s-?4?7, s-mucosal addressin cell adhesion molecule (s-MAdCAM-1), and s-amyloid A (s-AA) significantly changed with treatment. A linear mixed-effects model demonstrated that s-?4?7 (P = 0.044) increased and s-MAdCAM-1 (P = 0.006) and s-vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (s-VCAM-1, P = 0.001) decreased more rapidly in patients achieving clinical remission in maintenance. S-MAdCAM-1 (P = 0.005), s-intracellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1; P = 0.014), s-VCAM-1 (P < 0.001), and s-TNF (P = 0.052) decreased more rapidly in endoscopic remitters. In clinical remitters, higher week 14 (20.3 ng/mL vs 6.0 ng/mL; P = 0.013) and week 26 (14.1 ng/mL vs 8.6 ng/mL; P = 0.05) s-?4?7 were observed. In endoscopic remitters, week 2 (6.7 pg/mL vs 17.8 pg/mL; P = 0.038) and week 6 (3.9 pg/mL vs 15.6 pg/mL; P = 0.005) s-TNF and week 14 s-VCAM (589.1 ng/mL vs 746.0 ng/mL; P = 0.05) were lower. Conclusion:Serum biomarkers were associated with outcomes in vedolizumab-treated UC patients. s-?4?7 increased, whereas s-MAdCAM-1, s-VCAM-1, s-ICAM-1, and s-TNF decreased more rapidly in remitters. At individual time points, induction s-TNF and maintenance s-VCAM-1 concentrations were lower, whereas maintenance s-?4?7 concentrations were higher in remitters.

Project description:Background and objectivesUlcerative colitis is highly prevalent in Canada and cost-effective ulcerative colitis therapies are warranted. Vedolizumab subcutaneous (SC) formulation was recently approved for ulcerative colitis maintenance therapy. We assessed vedolizumab SC cost effectiveness vs conventional and advanced therapeutics in patients with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis from a Canadian public healthcare payer perspective.MethodsA hybrid decision tree/Markov model was developed to evaluate vedolizumab SC costs, quality-adjusted life-years, and cost effectiveness vs conventional therapy, adalimumab SC, infliximab intravenous, golimumab SC, tofacitinib, ustekinumab SC, and vedolizumab intravenous. This model predicts the number of patients achieving clinical response and remission after treatment induction, and sustained benefit during maintenance treatment. To account for statistical uncertainties, the base-case analysis was conducted in a probabilistic manner. Scenario analyses examined the impact of previous treatment with anti-tumor necrosis factor agents, dose escalation, loss of efficacy, and treatment adherence.ResultsIn the base-case analysis, conventional therapy was the most cost-effective therapeutic option in the overall population. Vedolizumab SC was cost effective and dominant compared with other advanced therapies (adalimumab, golimumab, infliximab, tofacitinib 5 mg, ustekinumab, and vedolizumab intravenous). The annual vedolizumab SC cost per patient was reduced vs ustekinumab SC, tofacitinib 5 mg, vedolizumab intravenous, and golimumab SC by $47,024, $3251, $2120, and $2004 (Canadian dollars), respectively, and exceeded that of infliximab, adalimumab, and conventional therapy by $582, $3293, and $41,024, respectively. Among the treatments, vedolizumab SC generated the highest quality-adjusted life-years overall (14.21), which translated into the best incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-years gained over conventional therapy in the overall population ($109,374) and in anti-tumor necrosis factor-naïve and anti-tumor necrosis factor-experienced patients ($41,658/$114,287).ConclusionsConventional therapy offered the most cost-effective therapeutic option followed by vedolizumab SC. Based on a $50,000/quality-adjusted life-year threshold, vedolizumab was cost effective in anti-tumor necrosis factor-naïve patients but not the overall population also when compared to conventional therapy.

Dataset Information

Development and Validation of Clinical Scoring Tool to Predict Outcomes of Treatment With Vedolizumab in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis.

Background & aims

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Development and Validation of Clinical Scoring Tool to Predict Outcomes of Treatment With Vedolizumab in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis.

Similar Datasets

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