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Rotavirus vaccine effectiveness and impact in Uzbekistan, the first country to introduce in central Asia.

ABSTRACT: Uzbekistan, the most populous country in central Asia, was the first in the region to introduce rotavirus vaccine into its national immunization program. Rotarix (GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals, RV1) was introduced in June 2014, with doses recommended at age 2 and 3 months. To evaluate vaccine impact, active surveillance for rotavirus diarrhea was reestablished in 2014 at 2 hospitals in Tashkent and Bukhara which had also performed surveillance during the pre-vaccine period 2005-2009. Children aged <5 y admitted with acute diarrhea had stool specimens collected and tested for rotavirus by enzyme immunoassay. Proportions testing rotavirus-positive in post-vaccine years were compared with the pre-vaccine period. Vaccine records were obtained and effectiveness of 2 RV1 doses vs 0 doses was estimated using rotavirus-case and test-negative design among children enrolled from Bukhara city. In 2015 and 2016, 8%-15% of infants and 10%-16% of children aged<5 y hospitalized with acute diarrhea at the sites tested rotavirus-positive, compared with 26% of infants and 27% of children aged<5 y in pre-vaccine period (reductions in proportion positive of 42%-68%, p <.001). Vaccine effectiveness of 2 RV1 doses vs 0 doses in protecting against hospitalization for rotavirus disease among those aged ≥6 months was 51% (95% CI 2-75) and is based on cases predominantly of genotype G2P[4]. Vaccine effectiveness point estimates tended to be higher against cases with higher illness severity (e.g., clinical severity based on modified Vesikari score ≥11). Our data demonstrate that the monovalent rotavirus vaccine is effective in reducing the likelihood of hospitalization for rotavirus disease in young children in Uzbekistan.

SUBMITTER: Eraliev U

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7899686 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:IntroductionThe rotavirus (RV) vaccine Belgium Impact Study (RotaBIS) evaluated the vaccine effect on RV-related hospital care in children up to 5 years old over a period of 13 years. Different forces were identified that influence the reduction in hospital care. Our analysis aims to report on the current RotaBIS dataset and explore through model simulation whether, how, and when the results could have been improved.MethodsAs performed in previous assessments, this analysis evaluated RV-related events per year, per age group, RV nosocomial infections, hospitalization duration, and herd effect. It subsequently identified results that were surprising or unexpected. To know whether those data could have been improved through specific interventions, we developed a model with the forces acting on the disease transmission and the vaccine effect on RV-related hospital care. Scenario analysis of the forces should explain the current findings and identify ways to optimize the results.ResultsThe RotaBIS data show that annual RV-related hospital cases (n = 1345 pre-vaccination) dropped by 70% (95% confidence interval [CI] 66-74%) by year 5 (n = 395) after vaccine introduction, and by 84% (95% CI 79-89%) by year 10 (n = 217). The herd effect during the first year was limited to 14% extra gain. During the last 5 years, small disease increases were seen biennially. The simulation model indicates that higher vaccine coverage of the major transmitters during the peak season of the first year of vaccination could have reduced RV-related hospital care by nearly 90% at 5 and 10 years after vaccine introduction owing to a higher herd effect. The smaller peaks observed in recent years would have been dramatically reduced.ConclusionThe current RotaBIS data show a maintained reduction, around 76%, in RV hospitalization cases. Simulations show that these results could have been improved to an important extent with a more optimal initiation of the vaccination program.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT01563146 and NCT01563159.

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Rotavirus vaccine effectiveness and impact in Uzbekistan, the first country to introduce in central Asia.

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