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A prognostic model for colorectal cancer based on CEA and a 48-multiplex serum biomarker panel.

ABSTRACT: Mortality in colorectal cancer (CRC) remains high, resulting in 860,000 deaths annually. Carcinoembryonic antigen is widely used in clinics for CRC patient follow-up, despite carrying a limited prognostic value. Thus, an obvious need exists for multivariate prognostic models. We analyzed 48 biomarkers using a multiplex immunoassay panel in preoperative serum samples from 328 CRC patients who underwent surgery at Helsinki University Hospital between 1998 and 2003. We performed a multivariate prognostic forward-stepping background model based on basic clinicopathological data, and a multivariate machine-learned prognostic model based on clinicopathological data and biomarker variables, calculating the disease-free survival using the value of importance score. From the 48 analyzed biomarkers, only IL-8 emerged as a significant prognostic factor for CRC patients in univariate analysis (HR 4.88; 95% CI 2.00-11.92; p?=?0.024) after correcting for multiple comparisons. We also developed a multivariate model based on all 48 biomarkers using a random survival forest analysis. Variable selection based on a minimal depth and the value of importance yielded two tentative candidate CRC prognostic markers: IL-2Ra and IL-8. A multivariate prognostic model using machine-learning technologies improves the prognostic assessment of survival among surgically treated CRC patients.

SUBMITTER: Bjorkman K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7900104 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A prognostic model for colorectal cancer based on CEA and a 48-multiplex serum biomarker panel.

Björkman Kajsa K Jalkanen Sirpa S Salmi Marko M Mustonen Harri H Kaprio Tuomas T Kekki Henna H Pettersson Kim K Böckelman Camilla C Haglund Caj C

Scientific reports 20210222 1

Mortality in colorectal cancer (CRC) remains high, resulting in 860,000 deaths annually. Carcinoembryonic antigen is widely used in clinics for CRC patient follow-up, despite carrying a limited prognostic value. Thus, an obvious need exists for multivariate prognostic models. We analyzed 48 biomarkers using a multiplex immunoassay panel in preoperative serum samples from 328 CRC patients who underwent surgery at Helsinki University Hospital between 1998 and 2003. We performed a multivariate prog ...[more]

PMID: 33619304

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Project description:IntroductionSerum profiling using proteomic techniques has great potential to detect biomarkers that might improve diagnosis and predict outcome for breast cancer patients (BC). This study used surface-enhanced laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight (SELDI-TOF) mass spectrometry (MS) to identify differentially expressed proteins in sera from BC and healthy volunteers (HV), with the goal of developing a new prognostic biomarker panel.MethodsTraining set serum samples from 99 BC and 51 HV subjects were applied to four adsorptive chip surfaces (anion-exchange, cation-exchange, hydrophobic, and metal affinity) and analyzed by time-of-flight MS. For validation, 100 independent BC serum samples and 70 HV samples were analyzed similarly. Cluster analysis of protein spectra was performed to identify protein patterns related to BC and HV groups. Univariate and multivariate statistical analyses were used to develop a protein panel to distinguish breast cancer sera from healthy sera, and its prognostic potential was evaluated.ResultsFrom 51 protein peaks that were significantly up- or downregulated in BC patients by univariate analysis, binary logistic regression yielded five protein peaks that together classified BC and HV with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area-under-the-curve value of 0.961. Validation on an independent patient cohort confirmed the five-protein parameter (ROC value 0.939). The five-protein parameter showed positive association with large tumor size (P = 0.018) and lymph node involvement (P = 0.016). By matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight (MALDI-TOF) MS, immunoprecipitation and western blotting the proteins were identified as a fragment of apolipoprotein H (ApoH), ApoCI, complement C3a, transthyretin, and ApoAI. Kaplan-Meier analysis on 181 subjects after median follow-up of >5 years demonstrated that the panel significantly predicted disease-free survival (P = 0.005), its efficacy apparently greater in women with estrogen receptor (ER)-negative tumors (n = 50, P = 0.003) compared to ER-positive (n = 131, P = 0.161), although the influence of ER status needs to be confirmed after longer follow-up.ConclusionsProtein mass profiling by MS has revealed five serum proteins which, in combination, can distinguish between serum from women with breast cancer and healthy control subjects with high sensitivity and specificity. The five-protein panel significantly predicts recurrence-free survival in women with ER-negative tumors and may have value in the management of these patients.

Project description:IntroductionColorectal cancer (CRC) testing programs reduce mortality; however, approximately 40% of the recommended population who should undergo CRC testing does not. Early colon cancer detection in patient populations ineligible for testing, such as the elderly or those with significant comorbidities, could have clinical benefit. Despite many attempts to identify individual protein markers of this disease, little progress has been made. Targeted mass spectrometry, using multiple reaction monitoring (MRM) technology, enables the simultaneous assessment of groups of candidates for improved detection performance.Materials and methodsA multiplex assay was developed for 187 candidate marker proteins, using 337 peptides monitored through 674 simultaneously measured MRM transitions in a 30-minute liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry analysis of immunodepleted blood plasma. To evaluate the combined candidate marker performance, the present study used 274 individual patient blood plasma samples, 137 with biopsy-confirmed colorectal cancer and 137 age- and gender-matched controls. Using 2 well-matched platforms running 5 days each week, all 274 samples were analyzed in 52 days.ResultsUsing one half of the data as a discovery set (69 disease cases and 69 control cases), the elastic net feature selection and random forest classifier assembly were used in cross-validation to identify a 15-transition classifier. The mean training receiver operating characteristic area under the curve was 0.82. After final classifier assembly using the entire discovery set, the 136-sample (68 disease cases and 68 control cases) validation set was evaluated. The validation area under the curve was 0.91. At the point of maximum accuracy (84%), the sensitivity was 87% and the specificity was 81%.ConclusionThese results have demonstrated the ability of simultaneous assessment of candidate marker proteins using high-multiplex, targeted-mass spectrometry to identify a subset group of CRC markers with significant and meaningful performance.

Dataset Information

A prognostic model for colorectal cancer based on CEA and a 48-multiplex serum biomarker panel.

Publications

A prognostic model for colorectal cancer based on CEA and a 48-multiplex serum biomarker panel.

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