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Predictors of severe sepsis-related in-hospital mortality based on a multicenter cohort study: The Focused Outcomes Research in Emergency Care in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Sepsis, and Trauma study.

ABSTRACT:

Abstract

This study aimed to identify prognostic factors for severe sepsis-related in-hospital mortality using the structural equation model (SEM) analysis with statistical causality. Sepsis data from the Focused Outcomes Research in Emergency Care in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Sepsis, and Trauma study (FORECAST), a multicenter cohort study, was used. Forty seven observed variables from the database were used to construct 4 latent variables. SEM analysis was performed on these latent variables to analyze the statistical causality among these data. This study evaluated whether the variables had an effect on in-hospital mortality. Overall, 1148 patients were enrolled. The SEM analysis showed that the 72-hour physical condition was the strongest latent variable affecting mortality, followed by physical condition before treatment. Furthermore, the 72-hour physical condition and the physical condition before treatment strongly influenced the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score with path coefficients of 0.954 and 0.845, respectively. The SOFA score was the strongest variable that affected mortality after the onset of severe sepsis. The score remains the most robust prognostic factor and can facilitate appropriate policy development on care.

SUBMITTER: Hagiwara A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7909210 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predictors of severe sepsis-related in-hospital mortality based on a multicenter cohort study: The Focused Outcomes Research in Emergency Care in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Sepsis, and Trauma study.

Hagiwara Akiyoshi A Tanaka Noriko N Inaba Yosuke Y Gando Satoshi S Shiraishi Atsushi A Saitoh Daizoh D Otomo Yasuhiro Y Ikeda Hiroto H Ogura Hiroshi H Kushimoto Shigeki S Kotani Joji J Sakamoto Yuichiro Y Shiino Yasukazu Y Shiraishi Shin-Ichiro SI Takuma Kiyotsugu K Tarui Takehiko T Tsuruta Ryosuke R Nakada Taka-Aki TA Hifumi Toru T Yamakawa Kazuma K Takeyama Naoshi N Yamashita Norio N Abe Toshikazu T Ueyama Masashi M Okamoto Kohji K Sasaki Junichi J Masuno Tomohiko T Mayumi Toshihiko T Fujishima Seitaro S Umemura Yutaka Y Fujimi Satoshi S

Medicine 20210201 8

<h4>Abstract</h4>This study aimed to identify prognostic factors for severe sepsis-related in-hospital mortality using the structural equation model (SEM) analysis with statistical causality. Sepsis data from the Focused Outcomes Research in Emergency Care in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Sepsis, and Trauma study (FORECAST), a multicenter cohort study, was used. Forty seven observed variables from the database were used to construct 4 latent variables. SEM analysis was performed on these ...[more]

PMID: 33663106

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Project description:OBJECTIVES:To determine risk factors identifiable at hospital arrival associated with acute respiratory distress syndrome development among critically injured children. DESIGN:Retrospective cohort study. SETTING:Level I or II adult or pediatric trauma centers contributing to the National Trauma Data Bank from 2007 to 2016. PATIENTS:Patients less than 18 years admitted to an ICU with traumatic injury. INTERVENTIONS:None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS:We determined associations between patient, injury, and clinical characteristics present at hospital arrival with development of acute respiratory distress syndrome recorded as a hospital complication. Acute respiratory distress syndrome occurred in 1.8% of 146,058 critically injured children (n = 2,590). The only demographic factor associated with higher risk of developing acute respiratory distress syndrome on multivariable analysis was African American race (relative risk, 1.42 vs white; 95% CI, 1.13-1.78). Injury characteristics included firearm injuries (relative risk 1.93; 1.50-2.48) and motor vehicle crashes (relative risk, 1.91; 1.57-2.31) relative to falls; spine (relative risk, 1.39; 1.20-1.60), chest (relative risk, 1.36; 1.22-1.52), or lower extremity injuries (relative risk, 1.26; 1.10-1.44); amputations (relative risk, 2.10; 1.51-2.91); and more severe injury (relative risk, 3.69 for Injury Severity Score 40-75 vs 1-8; 2.50-5.44). Clinical variables included abnormal respiratory status (intubated relative risk, 1.67; 1.23-2.26 and hypopnea relative risk, 1.23; 1.05-1.45 and tachypnea relative risk, 1.26; 1.10-1.44) and lower Glasgow Coma Scale score (relative risk, 5.61 for Glasgow Coma Scale score 3 vs 15; 4.44-7.07). CONCLUSIONS:We provide the first description of the incidence of and risk factors for acute respiratory distress syndrome among pediatric trauma patients. Improved understanding of the risk factors associated with acute respiratory distress syndrome following pediatric trauma may help providers anticipate its development and intervene early to improve outcomes for severely injured children.

Project description:BackgroundIn the acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), inflammation in the lungs and other organs can cause life-threatening organ failure. Inhibitors of 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase (statins) can modulate inflammatory responses. Previous observational studies suggested that statins improved clinical outcomes in patients with sepsis. We hypothesized that rosuvastatin therapy would improve clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with sepsis-associated ARDS.MethodsWe conducted a multicenter trial in which patients with sepsis-associated ARDS were randomly assigned to receive either enteral rosuvastatin or placebo in a double-blind manner. The primary outcome was mortality before hospital discharge home or until study day 60 if the patient was still in a health care facility. Secondary outcomes included the number of ventilator-free days (days that patients were alive and breathing spontaneously) to day 28 and organ-failure-free days to day 14.ResultsThe study was stopped because of futility after 745 of an estimated 1000 patients had been enrolled. There was no significant difference between study groups in 60-day in-hospital mortality (28.5% with rosuvastatin and 24.9% with placebo, P=0.21) or in mean (±SD) ventilator-free days (15.1±10.8 with rosuvastatin and 15.1±11.0 with placebo, P=0.96). The groups were well matched with respect to demographic and key physiological variables. Rosuvastatin therapy, as compared with placebo, was associated with fewer days free of renal failure to day 14 (10.1±5.3 vs. 11.0±4.7, P=0.01) and fewer days free of hepatic failure to day 14 (10.8±5.0 vs. 11.8±4.3, P=0.003). Rosuvastatin was not associated with an increased incidence of serum creatine kinase levels that were more than 10 times the upper limit of the normal range.ConclusionsRosuvastatin therapy did not improve clinical outcomes in patients with sepsis-associated ARDS and may have contributed to hepatic and renal organ dysfunction. (Funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and the Investigator-Sponsored Study Program of AstraZeneca; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00979121.).

Dataset Information

Predictors of severe sepsis-related in-hospital mortality based on a multicenter cohort study: The Focused Outcomes Research in Emergency Care in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Sepsis, and Trauma study.

Abstract

Publications

Predictors of severe sepsis-related in-hospital mortality based on a multicenter cohort study: The Focused Outcomes Research in Emergency Care in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Sepsis, and Trauma study.

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