Evaluating the Impact of Intervention Strategies on the First Wave and Predicting the Second Wave of COVID-19 in Thailand: A Mathematical Modeling Study.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Mahikul W
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7911628 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jan
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Evaluating the Impact of Intervention Strategies on the First Wave and Predicting the Second Wave of COVID-19 in Thailand: A Mathematical Modeling Study.
Mahikul Wiriya W Chotsiri Palang P Ploddi Kritchavat K Pan-Ngum Wirichada W
Biology 20210122 2
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread rapidly worldwide. This study aimed to assess and predict the incidence of COVID-19 in Thailand, including the preparation and evaluation of intervention strategies. An SEIR (susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered) model was implemented with model parameters estimated using the Bayesian approach. The model's projections showed that the highest daily reported incidence of COVID-19 would be approximately 140 cases (95% credible interval, CrI: 83-17 ...[more]
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