Dataset Information

Network structure and rapid HIV transmission among people who inject drugs: A simulation-based analysis.

ABSTRACT: As HIV incidence among people who inject drugs grows in the context of an escalating drug overdose epidemic in North America, investigating how network structure may affect vulnerability to rapid HIV transmission is necessary for preventing outbreaks. We compared the characteristics of the observed contact tracing network from the 2015 outbreak in rural Indiana with 1000 networks generated by an agent-based network model with approximately the same number of individuals (n?=?420) and ties between them (n?=?913). We introduced an initial HIV infection into the simulated networks and compared the subsequent epidemic behavior (e.g., cumulative HIV infections over 5 years). The model was able to produce networks with largely comparable characteristics and total numbers of incident HIV infections. Although the model was unable to produce networks with comparable cohesiveness (where the observed network had a transitivity value 35.7 standard deviations from the mean of the simulated networks), the structural variability of the simulated networks allowed for investigation into their potential facilitation of HIV transmission. These findings emphasize the need for continued development of injection network simulation studies in tandem with empirical data collection to further investigate how network characteristics played a role in this and future outbreaks.

SUBMITTER: Singleton AL

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7940592 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Network structure and rapid HIV transmission among people who inject drugs: A simulation-based analysis.

Singleton Alyson L AL Marshall Brandon D L BDL Bessey S S Harrison Matthew T MT Galvani Alison P AP Yedinak Jesse L JL Jacka Brendan P BP Goodreau Steven M SM Goedel William C WC

Epidemics 20201214

As HIV incidence among people who inject drugs grows in the context of an escalating drug overdose epidemic in North America, investigating how network structure may affect vulnerability to rapid HIV transmission is necessary for preventing outbreaks. We compared the characteristics of the observed contact tracing network from the 2015 outbreak in rural Indiana with 1000 networks generated by an agent-based network model with approximately the same number of individuals (n = 420) and ties betwee ...[more]

PMID: 33341667

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Project description:IntroductionHIV testing programmes have struggled to reach the most marginalized populations at risk for HIV. Social network methods such as respondent-driven sampling (RDS) and peer-based active case-finding (ACF) may be effective in overcoming barriers to reaching these populations. We compared the client characteristics, proportion testing HIV positive (yield), and number of new cases found through two RDS strategies and an ACF approach to HIV case-finding among people who inject drugs (PWID) in Tajikistan.MethodsRoutine programme data from adult PWID recruited to testing under the HIV Flagship Project in Tajikistan were analysed to compare client demographic and clinical characteristics across the three approaches. We also compared the number of previously untested clients, the number of new HIV cases found, and the yield across the case-finding strategies, and evaluated predictors of new HIV diagnosis using fixed-effects logistic regression.ResultsFrom 24 October 2016 to 30 June 2017, Flagship tested 10,300 PWID for HIV, including 2143 under RDS with unrestricted waves (RDS1, yield: 1.5%), 3517 under restricted RDS (RDS2, yield: 2.6%), and 4640 under ACF (yield: 1.5%). Clients recruited under ACF were similar in age (35.8 vs. 36.8) and gender (91% vs. 90% male) to those recruited through RDS, though ACF clients were more likely to report being a first-time tester (85.1% vs. 68.3%, p < 0.001). After controlling for age, sex, previous testing history and accounting for clustering at the site level, we found that clients tested under both RDS1 (aOR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.04 to 2.90) and RDS2 (aOR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.11 to 2.15) had higher odds of testing newly positive for HIV relative to clients recruited through ACF. We did not find significant differences in the odds of new HIV infection between those recruited from RDS1 versus RDS2 (aOR: 1.12, 95% CI: 0.67 to 1.86).ConclusionsRDS-based interventions resulted in higher yields and overall case-finding, especially when recruitment was restricted. However, ACF identified a higher proportion of first-time testers. To find at least 90% of PWID living with HIV in Tajikistan, it may be necessary to implement multiple case-finding approaches concurrently to maximize testing coverage.

Project description:ObjectiveTo quantify the effect of opiate substitution treatment in relation to HIV transmission among people who inject drugs.DesignSystematic review and meta-analysis of prospective published and unpublished observational studies.Data sourcesSearch of Medline, Embase, PsychINFO, and the Cochrane Library from the earliest year to 2011 without language restriction.Review methodsWe selected studies that directly assessed the impact of opiate substitution treatment in relation to incidence of HIV and studies that assessed incidence of HIV in people who inject drugs and that might have collected data regarding exposure to opiate substitution treatment but not have reported it. Authors of these studies were contacted. Data were extracted by two reviewers and pooled in a meta-analysis with a random effects model.ResultsTwelve published studies that examined the impact of opiate substitution treatment on HIV transmission met criteria for inclusion, and unpublished data were obtained from three additional studies. All included studies examined methadone maintenance treatment. Data from nine of these studies could be pooled, including 819 incident HIV infections over 23,608 person years of follow-up. Opiate substitution treatment was associated with a 54% reduction in risk of HIV infection among people who inject drugs (rate ratio 0.46, 95% confidence interval 0.32 to 0.67; P<0.001). There was evidence of heterogeneity between studies (I(2)=60%, χ(2)=20.12, P=0.010), which could not be explained by geographical region, site of recruitment, or the provision of incentives. There was weak evidence for greater benefit associated with longer duration of exposure to opiate substitution treatment.ConclusionOpiate substitution treatment provided as maintenance therapy is associated with a reduction in the risk of HIV infection among people who inject drugs. These findings, however, could reflect comparatively high levels of motivation to change behaviour and reduce injecting risk behaviour among people who inject drugs who are receiving opiate substitution treatment.

Dataset Information

Network structure and rapid HIV transmission among people who inject drugs: A simulation-based analysis.

Publications

Network structure and rapid HIV transmission among people who inject drugs: A simulation-based analysis.

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