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A machine learning approach to personalized dose adjustment of lamotrigine using noninvasive clinical parameters.

ABSTRACT: The pharmacokinetic variability of lamotrigine (LTG) plays a significant role in its dosing requirements. Our goal here was to use noninvasive clinical parameters to predict the dose-adjusted concentrations (C/D ratio) of LTG based on machine learning (ML) algorithms. A total of 1141 therapeutic drug-monitoring measurements were used, 80% of which were randomly selected as the "derivation cohort" to develop the prediction algorithm, and the remaining 20% constituted the "validation cohort" to test the finally selected model. Fifteen ML models were optimized and evaluated by tenfold cross-validation on the "derivation cohort," and were filtered by the mean absolute error (MAE). On the whole, the nonlinear models outperformed the linear models. The extra-trees' regression algorithm delivered good performance, and was chosen to establish the predictive model. The important features were then analyzed and parameters of the model adjusted to develop the best prediction model, which accurately described the C/D ratio of LTG, especially in the intermediate-to-high range (??22.1 ?g mL^-1 g^-1 day), as illustrated by a minimal bias (mean relative error (%)?=??+?3%), good precision (MAE?=?8.7 ?g mL^-1 g^-1 day), and a high percentage of predictions within?±?20% of the empirical values (60.47%). This is the first study, to the best of our knowledge, to use ML algorithms to predict the C/D ratio of LTG. The results here can help clinicians adjust doses of LTG administered to patients to minimize adverse reactions.

SUBMITTER: Zhu X

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7946912 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A machine learning approach to personalized dose adjustment of lamotrigine using noninvasive clinical parameters.

Zhu Xiuqing X Huang Wencan W Lu Haoyang H Wang Zhanzhang Z Ni Xiaojia X Hu Jinqing J Deng Shuhua S Tan Yaqian Y Li Lu L Zhang Ming M Qiu Chang C Luo Yayan Y Chen Hongzhen H Huang Shanqing S Xiao Tao T Shang Dewei D Wen Yuguan Y

Scientific reports 20210310 1

The pharmacokinetic variability of lamotrigine (LTG) plays a significant role in its dosing requirements. Our goal here was to use noninvasive clinical parameters to predict the dose-adjusted concentrations (C/D ratio) of LTG based on machine learning (ML) algorithms. A total of 1141 therapeutic drug-monitoring measurements were used, 80% of which were randomly selected as the "derivation cohort" to develop the prediction algorithm, and the remaining 20% constituted the "validation cohort" to te ...[more]

PMID: 33692435

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Project description:BackgroundMalaria is still a major global health burden, with more than 3.2 billion people in 91 countries remaining at risk of the disease. Accurately distinguishing malaria from other diseases, especially uncomplicated malaria (UM) from non-malarial infections (nMI), remains a challenge. Furthermore, the success of rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) is threatened by Pfhrp2/3 deletions and decreased sensitivity at low parasitaemia. Analysis of haematological indices can be used to support the identification of possible malaria cases for further diagnosis, especially in travellers returning from endemic areas. As a new application for precision medicine, we aimed to evaluate machine learning (ML) approaches that can accurately classify nMI, UM, and severe malaria (SM) using haematological parameters.MethodsWe obtained haematological data from 2,207 participants collected in Ghana: nMI (n = 978), SM (n = 526), and UM (n = 703). Six different ML approaches were tested, to select the best approach. An artificial neural network (ANN) with three hidden layers was used for multi-classification of UM, SM, and uMI. Binary classifiers were developed to further identify the parameters that can distinguish UM or SM from nMI. Local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME) were used to explain the binary classifiers.ResultsThe multi-classification model had greater than 85% training and testing accuracy to distinguish clinical malaria from nMI. To distinguish UM from nMI, our approach identified platelet counts, red blood cell (RBC) counts, lymphocyte counts, and percentages as the top classifiers of UM with 0.801 test accuracy (AUC = 0.866 and F1 score = 0.747). To distinguish SM from nMI, the classifier had a test accuracy of 0.96 (AUC = 0.983 and F1 score = 0.944) with mean platelet volume and mean cell volume being the unique classifiers of SM. Random forest was used to confirm the classifications, and it showed that platelet and RBC counts were the major classifiers of UM, regardless of possible confounders such as patient age and sampling location.ConclusionThe study provides proof of concept methods that classify UM and SM from nMI, showing that the ML approach is a feasible tool for clinical decision support. In the future, ML approaches could be incorporated into clinical decision-support algorithms for the diagnosis of acute febrile illness and monitoring response to acute SM treatment particularly in endemic settings.

Dataset Information

A machine learning approach to personalized dose adjustment of lamotrigine using noninvasive clinical parameters.

Publications

A machine learning approach to personalized dose adjustment of lamotrigine using noninvasive clinical parameters.

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