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A Risk Prediction Model by LASSO for Radiation-Induced Xerostomia in Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Treated With Comprehensive Salivary Gland-Sparing Helical Tomotherapy Technique.


ABSTRACT:

Objective

This study aimed to develop a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-based multivariable normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model to predict radiation-induced xerostomia in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with comprehensive salivary gland-sparing helical tomotherapy technique.

Methods and materials

LASSO with the extended bootstrapping technique was used to build multivariable NTCP models to predict factors of patient-reported xerostomia relieved by 50% and 80% compared with the level at the end of radiation therapy within 1 year and 2 years, R50-1year and R80-2years, in 203 patients with NPC. The model assessment was based on 10-fold cross-validation and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

Results

The prediction model by LASSO with 10-fold cross-validation showed that radiation-induced xerostomia recovery could be predicted by prognostic factors of R50-1year (age, gender, T stage, UICC/AJCC stage, parotid Dmean, oral cavity Dmean, and treatment options) and R80-2years (age, gender, T stage, UICC/AJCC stage, oral cavity Dmean, N stage, and treatment options). These prediction models also demonstrated a good performance by the AUC.

Conclusion

The prediction models of R50-1year and R80-2years by LASSO with 10-fold cross-validation were recommended to validate the NTCP model before comprehensive salivary gland-sparing radiation therapy in patients with NPC.

SUBMITTER: Teng F 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7953987 | biostudies-literature | 2021

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

A Risk Prediction Model by LASSO for Radiation-Induced Xerostomia in Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Treated With Comprehensive Salivary Gland-Sparing Helical Tomotherapy Technique.

Teng Feng F   Fan Wenjun W   Luo Yanrong Y   Xu Shouping S   Gong Hanshun H   Ge Ruigang R   Zhang Xinxin X   Wang Xiaoning X   Ma Lin L  

Frontiers in oncology 20210226


<h4>Objective</h4>This study aimed to develop a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-based multivariable normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model to predict radiation-induced xerostomia in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with comprehensive salivary gland-sparing helical tomotherapy technique.<h4>Methods and materials</h4>LASSO with the extended bootstrapping technique was used to build multivariable NTCP models to predict factors of patient-repo  ...[more]

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