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Predictors for Rapid Progression of Coronary Calcification: An Optical Coherence Tomography Study.

ABSTRACT: Background The role of coronary calcification in cardiovascular events and plaque stabilization is still being debated, and factors involved in the progression of coronary calcification are not fully understood. This study aimed to identify the predictors for rapid progression of coronary calcification. Methods and Results Patients with serial optical coherence tomography imaging at baseline and at 6 months were selected. Changes in the calcification index and predictors for progression of calcification were studied. Calcification index was defined as the product of the mean calcification arc and calcification length. Rapid progression of calcification was defined as an increase in the calcification index above the median value. Among 187 patients who had serial optical coherence tomography imaging, 235 calcified plaques were identified in 105 patients (56.1%) at baseline. After 6 months, the calcification index increased in 95.3% of calcified plaques from 132.0 to 178.2 (P<0.001). In multivariable analysis, diabetes mellitus (odds ratio [OR], 3.911; P<0.001), chronic kidney disease (OR, 2.432; P=0.037), lipid-rich plaque (OR, 2.698; P=0.034), and macrophages (OR, 6.782; P<0.001) were found to be independent predictors for rapid progression of coronary calcification. Interestingly, rapid progression of calcification was associated with a significant reduction of inflammatory features (thin-cap fibroatheroma; from 21.2% to 11.9%, P=0.003; macrophages; from 74.6% to 61.0%, P=0.001). Conclusions Diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, lipid-rich plaque, and macrophages were independent predictors for rapid progression of coronary calcification. Baseline vascular inflammation and subsequent stabilization may be related to rapid progression of calcification. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01110538.

SUBMITTER: Nakajima A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7955445 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:PurposeAppearance of geographic atrophy (GA) on color photography (CP) is preceded by specific features on spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (SD OCT). We aimed to build SD OCT-based risk assessment models for 5-year new onset of GA and central GA on CP.DesignProspective, longitudinal study.ParticipantsAge-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Ancillary SD OCT study participants with age-related macular degeneration (AMD) with bilateral large drusen or noncentral GA and at least 1 eye without advanced disease (n = 317).MethodsFor 1 eye per participant, qualitative and quantitative SD OCT variables were derived from standardized grading and semiautomated segmentation, respectively, at baseline. Up to 7 years later, annual outcomes were extracted and analyzed to fit multivariate logistic regression models and build a risk calculator.Main outcome measuresNew onset of CP-visible GA and central GA.ResultsOver a follow-up median of 4.0 years and among 292 AMD eyes (without advanced disease at baseline) with complete outcome data, 46 (15.8%) developed central GA. Among 265 eyes without any GA on baseline CP, 70 (26.4%) developed CP-visible GA. Final multivariate models were adjusted for age. In the model for GA, the independent predicting SD OCT factors (P < 0.001-0.03) were: hyperreflective foci and retinal pigment epithelium (RPE) layer atrophy or absence, followed by choroid thickness in absence of subretinal drusenoid deposits, photoreceptor outer segment loss, RPE drusen complex volume, and RPE drusen complex abnormal thinning volume. For central GA, the factors (P < 0.001) were RPE drusen complex abnormal thinning volume, intraretinal fluid or cystoid spaces, hyperreflective foci, and RPE layer atrophy or absence. The models yielded a calculator that computes the probabilities of CP-visible, new-onset GA and central GA after 1 to 5 years.ConclusionsFor AMD eyes with large drusen and no advanced disease, we built a novel risk assessment model-based on age and SD OCT segmentation, drusen characteristics, and retinal pathology-for progression to CP-visible GA over up to 5 years. This calculator may simplify SD OCT grading and with future validation has a promising role as a clinical prognostic tool.

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Predictors for Rapid Progression of Coronary Calcification: An Optical Coherence Tomography Study.

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