Quantitative CT densitometry for predicting intracerebral hemorrhage growth.
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ABSTRACT: Background and purpose
Intracerebral hemorrhage growth independently predicts disability and death. We hypothesized that noncontrast quantitative CT densitometry reflects active bleeding and improves predictive models of growth.Materials and methods
We analyzed 81 of the 96 available baseline CT scans obtained <3 hours post-ICH from the placebo arm of the phase IIb trial of recombinant factor VIIa. Fifteen scans could not be analyzed for technical reasons, but baseline characteristics were not statistically significantly different. Hounsfield unit histograms for each ICH were generated. Analyzed qCTD parameters included the following: mean, SD, coefficient of variation, skewness (distribution asymmetry), and kurtosis ("peakedness" versus "flatness"). These densitometry parameters were examined in statistical models accounting for baseline volume and time-to-scan.Results
The coefficient of variation of the ICH attenuation was the most significant individual predictor of hematoma growth (adjusted R(2) = 0.107, P = .002), superior to BV (adjusted R(2) = 0.08, P = .006) or TTS (adjusted R(2) = 0.03, P = .05). The most significant combined model incorporated coefficient of variation, BV, and TTS (adjusted R(2) = 0.202, P = .009 for coefficient of variation) compared with BV and TTS alone (adjusted R(2) = 0.115, P < .05). qCTD increased the number of growth predictions within ±1 mL of actual 24-hour growth by up to 47%.Conclusions
Heterogeneous ICH attenuation on hyperacute (<3 hours) CT imaging is predictive of subsequent hematoma expansion and may reflect an active bleeding process. Further studies are required to determine whether qCTD can be incorporated into standard imaging protocols for predicting ICH growth.
SUBMITTER: Barras CD
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7964597 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Many clinical trials focus on restricting hematoma expansion following acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), but selecting those patients at highest risk of hematoma expansion is challenging.To develop a prediction score for hematoma expansion in patients with primary ICH.Prospective cohort study at 2 urban academic medical centers among patients having primary ICH with available baseline and follow-up computed tomography for volumetric analysis (817 patients in the development cohort and 195 patients in the independent validation cohort).Hematoma expansion was assessed using semiautomated software and was defined as more than 6 mL or 33% growth. Covariates were tested for association with hematoma expansion using univariate and multivariable logistic regression. A 9-point prediction score was derived based on the regression estimates and was subsequently tested in the independent validation cohort.Hematoma expansion occurred in 156 patients (19.1%). In multivariable analysis, predictors of expansion were as follows: warfarin sodium use, the computed tomography angiography spot sign, and shorter time to computed tomography (? 6 vs >6 hours) (P <?.001 for all), as well as baseline ICH volume (<30 [reference], 30-60 [P =?.03], and >60 [P =?.005] mL). The incidence of hematoma expansion steadily increased with higher scores. In the independent validation cohort (n = 195), our prediction score performed well and showed strong association with hematoma expansion (odds ratio, 4.59; P <?.001 for a high vs low score). The C statistics for the score were 0.72 for the development cohort and 0.77 for the independent validation cohort.A 9-point prediction score for hematoma expansion was developed and independently validated. The results open a path for individualized treatment and trial design in ICH aimed at patients at highest risk of hematoma expansion with maximum potential for therapeutic benefit.
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Project description:BackgroundEarly hematoma growth is associated with poor functional outcomes in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We aimed to explore whether quantitative hematoma heterogeneity in non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) can predict early hematoma growth.MethodsWe used data from the Risk Stratification and Minimally Invasive Surgery in Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage (Risa-MIS-ICH) trial. Our study included patients with ICH with a time to baseline NCCT <12 h and a follow-up CT duration <72 h. To get a Hounsfield unit histogram and the coefficient of variation (CV) of Hounsfield units (HUs), the hematoma was segmented by software using the auto-segmentation function. Quantitative hematoma heterogeneity is represented by the CV of hematoma HUs. Multivariate logistic regression was utilized to determine hematoma growth parameters. The discriminant score predictive value was assessed using the area under the ROC curve (AUC). The best cutoff was determined using ROC curves. Hematoma growth was defined as a follow-up CT hematoma volume increase of >6 mL or a hematoma volume increase of 33% compared with the baseline NCCT.ResultsA total of 158 patients were enrolled in the study, of which 31 (19.6%) had hematoma growth. The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that time to initial baseline CT (P = 0.040, odds ratio [OR]: 0.824, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.686-0.991), "heterogeneous" in the density category (P = 0.027, odds ratio [OR]: 5.950, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.228-28.828), and CV of hematoma HUs (P = 0.018, OR: 1.301, 95 % CI: 1.047-1.617) were independent predictors of hematoma growth. By evaluating the receiver operating characteristic curve, the CV of hematoma HUs (AUC = 0.750) has a superior predictive value for hematoma growth than for heterogeneous density (AUC = 0.638). The CV of hematoma HUs had an 18% cutoff, with a specificity of 81.9 % and a sensitivity of 58.1 %.ConclusionThe CV of hematoma HUs can serve as a quantitative hematoma heterogeneity index that predicts hematoma growth in patients with early ICH independently.
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Project description:BackgroundDelirium symptoms are associated with later worse functional outcomes and long-term cognitive impairments, but the neuroanatomical basis for delirium symptoms in patients with acute brain injury is currently uncertain. We tested the hypothesis that hematoma location is predictive of delirium symptoms in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage, a model disease where patients are typically not sedated or bacteremic.MethodsWe prospectively identified 90 patients with intracerebral hemorrhage who underwent routine twice-daily screening for delirium symptoms with a validated examination. Voxel-based lesion-symptom mapping with acute computed tomography was used to identify hematoma locations associated with delirium symptoms (N = 89).ResultsAcute delirium symptoms were predicted by hematoma of right-hemisphere subcortical white matter (superior longitudinal fasciculus) and parahippocampal gyrus. Hematoma including these locations had an odds ratio for delirium of 13 (95 % CI 3.9-43.3, P < 0.001). Disruption of large-scale brain networks that normally support attention and conscious awareness was thus associated with acute delirium symptoms.ConclusionsHigher odds ratio for delirium was increased due to hematoma location. The location of neurological injury could be of high prognostic value for predicting delirium symptoms.
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Project description:Background and purposeThe intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) score is the most widely used and validated prognostic model for estimating 30-day mortality in ICH. However, the score was developed and validated in an ICH population probably not using oral anticoagulants (OACs). The aim of this study was to determine the performance of the ICH score for predicting the 30-day mortality rate in the full range of ICH scores in patients using OACs.MethodsData from admitted patients with ICH were collected retrospectively in two Dutch comprehensive stroke centers. The validity of the ICH score was evaluated by assessing both discrimination and calibration in OAC and OAC-naive patient groups.ResultsA total of 1752 patients were included of which 462 (26%) patients were on OAC. The 30-day mortality was 54% for the OAC cohort and 34% for the OAC-naive cohort. The 30-day mortality was higher in the OAC cohort for ICH score 1 (33% vs. 12.5%; odds ratio, 3.4; 95% confidence intervals, 1.1-10.4) and ICH score 2 (53% vs. 26%; odds ratio, 3.2; 95% confidence intervals, 1.2-8.2) compared with the predicted mortality rate of the original ICH score. Overall, the discriminative ability of the ICH score was equally good in both cohorts (area under the curve 0.83 vs. 0.87, respectively).ConclusionsThe ICH score underestimated the 30-day mortality rate for lower ICH scores in OAC-ICH. When estimating the prognosis of ICH in patients using OAC, this underestimation of mortality must be taken into account.
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Project description:Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) prognostication during the acute phase is often subjective among physicians and often affects treatment decisions. The present study explores objective imaging parameters using quantitative corticospinal tract (CST) fiber reconstruction during the acute phase of ICH and correlates these parameters with functional outcome and patient recovery. We prospectively enrolled nonsurgical spontaneous supratentorial ICH patients and obtained an MRI scan on day 5 ± 1. Q-space diffeomorphic reconstruction was performed using DSI Studio, and quantitative anisotropy (QA) was calculated. The CST was reconstructed based on QA. The dichotomized modified Rankin Scale score on day 90 (favorable outcome = 0-2) and Barthel Index (favorable recovery = 100 on day 90 or improvement between discharge and day 90 > 60%) were assessed. Thirty-three patients, median age 72 years (interquartile range (IQR) 64-83), 21 female (64%), 21 (64%) with lobar hemorrhage, median ICH volume on admission 15.0 (IQR 7.0-27.4) mL, were included. Sixteen patients (48%) had a favorable outcome and 24 (73%) had a favorable recovery. The mean number of ipsilesional reconstructed CST fiber pathways was higher in patients with favorable outcomes (153 (standard deviation (SD) 103) vs. 60 (SD 39), p = 0.003) and predicted outcome after adjustment (Exp(B) = 1.016 (95% CI = 1.002-1.030)). QA in the ipsilesional posterior limb of the internal capsule showed a trend towards an association with favorable outcome (Exp(B) = 1.194 (95% CI = 0.991-1.439 (adjusted))). The total (ipsilesional + contralesional) number of reconstructed fiber pathways was associated with favorable recovery (Exp(B) = 1.025 (95% CI = 1.003-1.047 (adjusted))). Quantitative tractography parameters assessed in the acute phase of ICH may represent a promising predictor of long-term outcome and recovery. This might facilitate prognostic evaluation and organization of rehabilitation.
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Project description:Background and purposeHematoma expansion after acute intracerebral hemorrhage is common and is associated with early deterioration and poor clinical outcome. The computed tomographic angiography (CTA) spot sign is a promising predictor of expansion; however, frequency and predictive values are variable across studies, possibly because of differences in onset-to-CTA time. We performed a patient-level meta-analysis to define the relationship between onset-to-CTA time and frequency and predictive ability of the spot sign.MethodsWe completed a systematic review for studies of CTA spot sign and hematoma expansion. We subsequently pooled patient-level data on the frequency and predictive values for significant hematoma expansion according to 5 predefined categorized onset-to-CTA times. We calculated spot-sign frequency both as raw and frequency-adjusted rates.ResultsAmong 2051 studies identified, 12 met our inclusion criteria. Baseline hematoma volume, spot-sign status, and time-to-CTA were available for 1176 patients, and 1039 patients had follow-up computed tomographies for hematoma expansion analysis. The overall spot sign frequency was 26%, decreasing from 39% within 2 hours of onset to 13% beyond 8 hours (P<0.001). There was a significant decrease in hematoma expansion in spot-positive patients as onset-to-CTA time increased (P=0.004), with positive predictive values decreasing from 53% to 33%.ConclusionsThe frequency of the CTA spot sign is inversely related to intracerebral hemorrhage onset-to-CTA time. Furthermore, the positive predictive value of the spot sign for significant hematoma expansion decreases as time-to-CTA increases. Our results offer more precise risk stratification for patients with acute intracerebral hemorrhage and will help refine clinical prediction rules for intracerebral hemorrhage expansion.
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Project description:Background and purposeRecent studies of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) treatments have highlighted the need to identify reliable predictors of hematoma expansion. The goal of this study was to determine whether contrast extravasation on multisection CT angiography (CTA) and/or contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) of the brain is associated with hematoma expansion and increased mortality in patients with primary ICH.Materials and methodsAll patients with primary ICH who underwent CTA and CECT, as well as follow-up noncontrast CT (NCCT) before discharge/death from January 1, 2003, to September 30, 2005, were retrospectively identified. One neuroradiologist reviewed admission and follow-up NCCT for hematoma size and growth. A second neuroradiologist independently reviewed CTA and CECT for active contrast extravasation. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the significance of clinical and radiologic variables in predicting 30-day mortality, designated as the primary outcome. Hematoma growth was considered as a secondary outcome.ResultsOf 56 patients, contrast extravasation was seen in 17.9% of patients on initial CTA and in 23.2% of patients on initial CECT following CTA. Univariate analysis showed that the presence of extravasation on CT, large initial hematoma size (>30 mL), the presence of "swirl sign" on NCCT, the Glasgow Coma Scale and ICH scores, and international normalized ratio were associated with increased mortality. On multivariate analysis, only contrast extravasation on CT (P = .017) independently predicted mortality. Contrast extravasation on CT (P < .001) was also an independent predictor of hematoma growth on multivariate analysis.ConclusionActive contrast extravasation on CT in patients with primary ICH independently predicts mortality and hematoma growth.
| S-EPMC8118895 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Few studies have examined the risk of computed tomography angiography (CTA) during the acute phase of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), while the benefits of CTA in ICH have been well-documented. The present study investigated both the benefits of identifying spot signs, which are supposed to indicate hematoma enlargement after admission, and risks of CTA performed during the acute phase of ICH.We retrospectively assessed 323 consecutive patients with spontaneous ICHs admitted to our hospital between April 2009 and March 2012 and who underwent CTA on admission.In 80 patients (24.7 %), spot signs were demonstrated on CTA source images. Multivariate analysis revealed two independent factors correlated with presence of the spot sign: age and hematoma volume (p?<?0.05 each). The presence of spot sign was associated with unfavorable outcomes at discharge and hematoma growth after admission (p?<?0.05 each). Adverse events related to CTA occurred in 17 patients (5.2 %), including transient renal dysfunction in 16 patients and allergy to contrast medium in one patient. All adverse events completely resolved within 1 week.Presence of the spot sign indicated the possibility of hematoma growth and unfavorable outcomes. A small number of adverse events occurred in association with CTA, but without any permanent deficits. Given the potential benefits and risks, we believe that CTA performed at admission in all patients with ICH is beneficial to improve the outcomes.
| S-EPMC3988523 | biostudies-other
Project description:ObjectiveTo determine the association of ultraearly hematoma growth (uHG) with the CT angiography (CTA) spot sign, hematoma expansion, and clinical outcomes in patients with acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).MethodsWe analyzed data from 231 patients enrolled in the multicenter Predicting Haematoma Growth and Outcome in Intracerebral Haemorrhage Using Contrast Bolus CT study. uHG was defined as baseline ICH volume/onset-to-CT time (mL/h). The spot sign was used as marker of active hemorrhage. Outcome parameters included significant hematoma expansion (>33% or >6 mL, primary outcome), rate of hematoma expansion, early neurologic deterioration, 90-day mortality, and poor outcome.ResultsuHG was higher in spot sign patients (p < 0.001) and in patients scanned earlier (p < 0.001). Both uHG >4.7 mL/h (p = 0.002) and the CTA spot sign (p = 0.030) showed effects on rate of hematoma expansion but not its interaction (2-way analysis of variance, p = 0.477). uHG >4.7 mL/h improved the sensitivity of the spot sign in the prediction of significant hematoma expansion (73.9% vs 46.4%), early neurologic deterioration (67.6% vs 35.3%), 90-day mortality (81.6% vs 44.9%), and poor outcome (72.8% vs 29.8%), respectively. uHG was independently related to significant hematoma expansion (odds ratio 1.06, 95% confidence interval 1.03-1.10) and clinical outcomes.ConclusionsuHG is a useful predictor of hematoma expansion and poor clinical outcomes in patients with acute ICH. The combination of high uHG and the spot sign is associated with a higher rate of hematoma expansion, highlighting the need for very fast treatment in ICH patients.
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