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Mining Complex Genetic Patterns Conferring Multiple Sclerosis Risk.

ABSTRACT: (1) Background: Complex genetic relationships, including gene-gene (G × G; epistasis), gene(n), and gene-environment (G × E) interactions, explain a substantial portion of the heritability in multiple sclerosis (MS). Machine learning and data mining methods are promising approaches for uncovering higher order genetic relationships, but their use in MS have been limited. (2) Methods: Association rule mining (ARM), a combinatorial rule-based machine learning algorithm, was applied to genetic data for non-Latinx MS cases (n = 207) and controls (n = 179). The objective was to identify patterns (rules) amongst the known MS risk variants, including HLA-DRB1*15:01 presence, HLA-A*02:01 absence, and 194 of the 200 common autosomal variants. Probabilistic measures (confidence and support) were used to mine rules. (3) Results: 114 rules met minimum requirements of 80% confidence and 5% support. The top ranking rule by confidence consisted of HLA-DRB1*15:01, SLC30A7-rs56678847 and AC093277.1-rs6880809; carriers of these variants had a significantly greater risk for MS (odds ratio = 20.2, 95% CI: 8.5, 37.5; p = 4 × 10^-9). Several variants were shared across rules, the most common was INTS8-rs78727559, which was in 32.5% of rules. (4) Conclusions: In summary, we demonstrate evidence that specific combinations of MS risk variants disproportionately confer elevated risk by applying a robust analytical framework to a modestly sized study population.

SUBMITTER: Briggs FBS

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7967327 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:ObjectiveMultiple sclerosis (MS) is a multifactorial neurologic disease characterized by modest but tractable heritability. Genome-wide association studies have identified and/or validated multiple polymorphisms in approximately 16 genes associated with susceptibility. We aimed at investigating the aggregation of genetic MS risk markers in individuals by comparing multiple- and single-case families.MethodsA weighted log-additive integrative approach termed MS genetic burden (MSGB) was used to account for the well-established genetic variants from previous association studies and meta-analyses. The corresponding genetic burden and its transmission was analyzed in 1,213 independent MS families (810 sporadic and 403 multicase families).ResultsMSGB analysis demonstrated a higher aggregation of susceptibility variants in multicase compared to sporadic MS families. In addition, the aggregation of non-major histocompatibility complex single nucleotide polymorphisms depended neither on gender nor on the presence or absence of HLA-DRB1*15:01 alleles. Interestingly, although a greater MSGB in siblings of MS patients was associated with an increased risk of MS (odds ratio, 2.1; p = 0.001), receiver operating characteristic curves of MSGB differences between probands and sibs (area under the receiver operator curves, 0.57 [95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.61]) show that case-control status prediction of MS cannot be achieved with the currently available genetic data.InterpretationThe primary interest in the MSGB concept resides in its capacity to integrate cumulative genetic contributions to MS risk. This analysis underlines the high variability of family load with known common variants. This novel approach can be extended to other genetically complex diseases. Despite the emphasis on assembling large case-control datasets, multigenerational, multiaffected families remain an invaluable resource for advancing the understanding of the genetic architecture of complex traits.

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Mining Complex Genetic Patterns Conferring Multiple Sclerosis Risk.

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