Evaluating the effects of socioeconomic status on stroke and bleeding risk scores and clinical events in patients on oral anticoagulant for new onset atrial fibrillation.
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ABSTRACT: Background
The risk of thromboembolism and bleeding before initiation of oral anticoagulant (OAC) in atrial fibrillation patients is estimated by CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scoring system, respectively. Patients' socioeconomic status (SES) could influence these risks, but its impact on the two risk scores' predictive performance with respect to clinical events remains unknown. Our objective was to determine if patient SES defined by area deprivation index (ADI), in conjunction with CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores, could guide oral anticoagulation therapy.Methods and findings
The study cohort included newly diagnosed patients with AF who were treated with warfarin. The cohort was stratified by the time in therapeutic range of INR (TTR), ADI, CHA2DS2-VASc, and HAS-BLED risk scores. TTR and ischemic and bleeding events during the first year of therapy were compared across subpopulations. Among 7274 patients, those living in the two most deprived quintiles (ADI ≥60%) had a significantly higher risk of ischemic events and those in the most deprived quintile (ADI≥80%) had a significantly increased risk of bleeding events. ADI significantly improved the predictive performance of CHA2DS2-VASc but not HAS-BLED risk scores.Conclusion
ADI can predict increased risk for ischemic and bleeding events in the first year of warfarin therapy in patients with incident AF.
SUBMITTER: Ravvaz K
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7971564 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Much of the clinical epidemiology and treatment patterns for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are derived from Western populations. Limited data are available on antithrombotic therapy use over time and its impact on the stroke or bleeding events in newly diagnosed Chinese patients with AF. The present study investigates time trends in warfarin and aspirin use in China in relation to stroke and bleeding events in a Chinese population.We used a medical insurance database involving > 10 million individuals for the years 2001 to 2012 in Yunnan, a southwestern province of China, and performed time-trend analysis on those with newly diagnosed AF. Cox proportional hazards time-varying exposures were used to determine the risk of stroke or bleeding events associated with antithrombotic therapy among patients with AF.Among the randomly sampled 471,446 participants, there were 1,237 patients with AF, including 921 newly diagnosed with AF, thus providing 4,859 person-years of experience (62% men; mean attained age, 70 years). The overall rate of antithrombotic therapy was 37.7% (347 of 921 patients), with 4.1% (38 of 921) on warfarin and 32.3% (298 of 921) on aspirin. Antithrombotic therapy was not related to stroke/bleeding risk scores (CHADS2 [congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ? 75 years, diabetes, stroke (doubled)] score, P = .522; CHA2DS2-VASc [congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ? 75 years (doubled), diabetes mellitus, stroke or transient ischemic attack (doubled), vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, and female sex] score, P = .957; HAS-BLED [hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding history or predisposition, labile international normalized ratio, elderly (> 65 years), drugs/alcohol concomitantly] score, P = .095). The use of antithrombotic drugs (mainly aspirin) increased in both women and men over time, with the rate of aspirin increasing from 4.0% in 2007 to 46.1% in 2012 in the former, and from 7.7% in 2007 to 61.9% in 2012 in the latter (P for trend for both, < .005). In the overall cohort, the annual stroke rate was approximately 6% and the annual major bleeding rate was about 1%. Compared with nonantithrombotic therapy, the hazard ratio for ischemic stroke was 0.68 (95% CI, 0.39-1.18) for aspirin and 1.39 (0.54-3.59) for warfarin.Aspirin use increased among Chinese patients newly diagnosed with AF, with no relationship to the patient's stroke or bleeding risk. Warfarin use was very low. Given the health-care burden of AF and its complications, our study has major implications for health-care systems in non-Western countries, given the global burden of this common arrhythmia.
| S-EPMC4493879 | biostudies-other
Project description:BackgroundThe use of oral anticoagulants (OACs) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and low stroke risk might cause more harm than benefit. Little attention has been given to address its prevalence and associated consequences. This study aimed to investigate the prescription rate of OACs, identify associated factors, and describe incident bleeding events in low-risk patients.MethodsWe included patients with a new diagnosis of AF between 1 January 2011 and 31 December 2018 having a low risk of stroke (CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0 for males and 1 for females) from Australian general practice data (MedicineInsight). Patients were classified as OAC users if there was a recorded prescription of an OAC within 60 days of AF diagnosis, and factors associated with the prescription of an OAC were assessed using logistic regression. Recorded incident bleeding events were identified within 6 months after AF diagnosis or after OAC initiation for OAC non-users and users, respectively. The risk of bleeding was compared between the two groups by adjusting their baseline differences using propensity score matching.ResultsThe study included 2810 low-risk patients (62.3% male) with a mean age of 49.3 ± 10.8 years. Of the total, 705 (25.1%) patients had a record of OAC prescription within 60 days of diagnosis of AF. Older age (odds ratio [OR] 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-1.04) and diagnosis periods (2015-2016 [OR 1.46; 95% CI 1.10-1.94] and 2017-2018 [OR 1.65; 95% CI 1.17-2.23] vs. 2011-2012) were associated with higher odds of OAC initiation. Female sex (OR 0.71; 95% CI 0.59-0.85), higher bleeding risk (ORBIT score; OR 0.80; 95% CI 0.68-0.94), and higher socioeconomic index for areas (SEIFA) quintiles (SEIFA quintiles; 2 [OR 0.65; 95% CI 0.48-0.88], 3 [OR 0.74; 95% CI 0.56-0.98], 4 [OR 0.70; 95% CI 0.52-0.94], 5 [OR 0.69; 95% CI 0.52-0.91] compared with quintile 1) were associated with lower odds of OAC prescription. A total of 52 (in 1.8% of patients) incident bleeds were identified, with 18 (2.6%) among OAC users. The rate of bleeding was not significantly different between users and non-users after matching. However, within OAC users, commencement of OAC was associated with an increased risk of bleeding compared to the period before OAC initiation (p = 0.006).ConclusionsOne in four patients at low risk of stroke received an OAC within 60 days of AF diagnosis. Older age and the period following the widespread availability of direct-acting OACs were associated with an increased likelihood of OAC prescription. Positively, using OACs was not associated with an increased rate of bleeding compared to non-users.
| S-EPMC10573191 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) treated with oral anticoagulants may be exposed to an increased risk of bleeding events. The HAS-BLED (Hypertension, Abnormal renal and liver function, Stroke, Bleeding, Labile INRs, Elderly, Drugs or alcohol) score is a simple, well-established, clinical bleeding-risk prediction score. Recently, a new algorithm-based score was proposed, the GARFIELD-AF (Global Anticoagulant in the Field-AF) bleeding score. We compared HAS-BLED and GARFIELD-AF scores in predicting adjudicated bleeding events in a clinical trial cohort of patients with AF taking anticoagulants, in the first external comparative validation of both scores. Methods and Results We analyzed patients from the SPORTIF (Stroke Prevention Using an Oral Thrombin Inhibitor in Patients With AF) III and V trials. All patients assigned to the warfarin arm with information to calculate the scores were considered. Outcomes were major, major/clinically relevant nonmajor, and any bleeding. A total of 3550 warfarin-treated patients were available for analysis. Of these patients, 2519 (71.0%) had a HAS-BLED score ≥3, whereas based on GARFIELD-AF median value, 2056 (57.9%) were categorized as "high score." Both HAS-BLED and GARFIELD-AF C-indexes showed modest predictive value (C-index [95% confidence interval] for major bleeding, 0.58 [0.56-0.60] and 0.56 [0.54-0.57], respectively); however, GARFIELD-AF was not predictive of any bleeding. The GARFIELD-AF bleeding score had a significantly lower sensitivity and a negative reclassification for any bleeding compared with HAS-BLED, assessed by integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement (both P<0.001). HAS-BLED showed a 5% net benefit for any bleeding occurrence. Conclusions The algorithm-based GARFIELD-AF bleeding score did not show any significant improvement in major and major/clinically relevant nonmajor prediction compared with the simple HAS-BLED score. For clinical usefulness in prediction of any bleeding, the HAS-BLED score showed a significant net benefit compared with the GARFIELD-AF.
| S-EPMC6222935 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundLow socioeconomic status has been associated with higher risk of ischemic stroke and death in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, whether socioeconomic status affects risk of bleeding events is unknown. We assessed the hypothesis that low income and educational attainment are associated with higher risk of bleeding in patients with AF.MethodsThe registry-based FinACAF study covers all patients with AF in Finland during 2007-2018. Patients were divided into income quartiles and three categories based on their educational attainment. Outcomes of interest were the first-ever gastrointestinal (GI), intracranial (IC) and any bleeding.ResultsWe identified 205 019 patients (50.9 % female; mean age 72.3 (SD 13.4) years) with incident AF without prior bleeding. Mean follow-up time was 4.0 (SD 3.2) years, during which 25 013 (12.2 %) patients experienced first-ever any bleeding (incidence rate 3.07 (95 % CI 3.03-3.10) /100 patient-years). Low income was independently associated with hazard of any bleeding as well as GI and IC bleeding (adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) comparing lowest vs highest income quartile: 1.13 (1.08-1.17), 1.32 (1.23-1.41) and 1.15 (1.06-1.24), respectively). Income-related bleeding disparities were larger among younger patients under 65 years and among men. Education-related bleeding disparities were smaller than income related-disparities (adjusted HRs comparing lowest vs highest educational category: any bleeding 1.06 (1.02-1.11), GI bleeding 1.16 (1.08-1.24), IC bleeding 1.10 (0.93-1.09)).ConclusionsPatients with AF and low income are at higher risk of bleeding, especially GI bleeding.
| S-EPMC9556928 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundPolygenic scores incorporating varying numbers of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) have been demonstrated to exert a prominent role in atrial fibrillation (AF). We sought to compare the relative discriminatory capacities of 2 previously validated polygenic scores in "lone" AF.MethodsA total of 186 lone AF cases of European ancestry underwent SNP genotyping. A genome-wide polygenic score (GPS) and polygenic risk score (PRS) involving 6,730,541 and 1168 SNPs, respectively, were calculated for 186 cases and 423 controls of European ancestry from the 1000 Genomes (1KG) Project. The distribution of the polygenic scores was compared between the cases and controls and their discriminatory capacities were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.ResultsA total of 34.4% of patients with lone AF had GPS scores greater than the top 10th percentile of 1KG controls, corresponding to a 4.64-fold increased odds (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.99-7.18; P < 0.001) for AF. A PRS score in the top 10th percentile of 1KG controls was observed in 26.3% of cases, which equated to a 3.16-fold increased odds (95% CI, 2.01-4.98; P < 0.001) for AF. Comparison of C-statistics from ROC curves indicated improved discriminatory capacity of the GPS (0.76) relative to the PRS (0.70) (P = 0.002).ConclusionsOur study evaluating 2 polygenic scores for AF suggests that the GPS, containing more than 6.7 million SNPs, exhibits an improved discriminatory capacity in lone AF compared with a PRS possessing 1168 SNPs. Our findings suggest that genetic risk scores for AF that maximally leverage genomic data may provide improved predictive power.
| S-EPMC8209371 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for cardioembolic stroke. Anticoagulant drugs are effective in preventing AF-related stroke. However, the high frequency of anticoagulant-associated major bleeding is a major concern particularly when antiplatelet treatment is simultaneously administered. Here, microarray analysis in peripheral blood cells in eight patients with AF and stroke and eight AF subjects without stroke identified a stroke related gene expression pattern. HSPA1B, which encodes for heat-shock protein 70 kDa (Hsp70), was the most differentially expressed gene. This gene was downregulated in stroke subjects, a finding confirmed further in an independent AF cohort of 200 individuals. Hsp70 knock-out (KO) mice subjected to different thrombotic challenges developed thrombosis significantly earlier than their wild-type (WT) counterparts. In WT mice, Hsp70 inducers (TRC051384, or tubastatin A) delayed thrombus formation. Remarkably, Hsp70 inducers did not increase the bleeding risk even when aspirin was concomitantly administered. Hsp70 induction was associated with an increased vascular thrombomodulin expression, higher circulating levels of activated protein C (APC) upon thrombotic stimulus and increased protection against endothelial apoptosis. Thus, Hsp70 induction is a novel approach to delay thrombus formation with minimal bleeding risk, being especially promising in situations where there is a major bleeding hazard. Microarray analysis in peripheral blood cells includes eight patients with AF and stroke and eight AF subjects without stroke
2016-04-01 | E-GEOD-66724 | biostudies-arrayexpress
Project description:Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia in the developed world and is associated with a fivefold increase in the risk of stroke, accounting for up to 15% of strokes in the general population. The European Society of Cardiology now recommends direct oral anticoagulants, such as rivaroxaban, apixaban, and dabigatran, in preference to vitamin K antagonist therapy for the prevention of stroke in patients with A F. This review focuses on the direct Factor Xa inhibitor rivaroxaban, summarizing the properties that make rivaroxaban appropriate for anticoagulant therapy in this indication (including its predictable pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic profile and once-daily dosing regimen) and describing data from the Phase III ROCKET AF trial, which showed once-daily rivaroxaban to be noninferior to warfarin for the prevention of stroke in patients with nonvalvular AF. In this trial, similar rates of major and nonmajor clinically relevant bleeding were observed; however, when compared with warfarin, rivaroxaban was associated with clinically significant reductions in intracranial and fatal bleeding. On the basis of these results, rivaroxaban was approved in both the United States and the European Union for the prevention of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with nonvalvular AF. Subanalyses of ROCKET AF data showed rivaroxaban to have consistent efficacy and safety across a wide range of patients, and studies to confirm these results in real-world settings are underway. This review also describes practical considerations for treatment with rivaroxaban in clinical practice (including dose reductions in specific high-risk patients, eg, those with renal impairment), recommendations for the transition from vitamin K antagonists to rivaroxaban, the management of bleeding events, and the measurement of rivaroxaban exposure.
| S-EPMC3968084 | biostudies-other
Project description:Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for cardioembolic stroke. Anticoagulant drugs are effective in preventing AF-related stroke. However, the high frequency of anticoagulant-associated major bleeding is a major concern particularly when antiplatelet treatment is simultaneously administered. Here, microarray analysis in peripheral blood cells in eight patients with AF and stroke and eight AF subjects without stroke identified a stroke related gene expression pattern. HSPA1B, which encodes for heat-shock protein 70 kDa (Hsp70), was the most differentially expressed gene. This gene was downregulated in stroke subjects, a finding confirmed further in an independent AF cohort of 200 individuals. Hsp70 knock-out (KO) mice subjected to different thrombotic challenges developed thrombosis significantly earlier than their wild-type (WT) counterparts. In WT mice, Hsp70 inducers (TRC051384, or tubastatin A) delayed thrombus formation. Remarkably, Hsp70 inducers did not increase the bleeding risk even when aspirin was concomitantly administered. Hsp70 induction was associated with an increased vascular thrombomodulin expression, higher circulating levels of activated protein C (APC) upon thrombotic stimulus and increased protection against endothelial apoptosis. Thus, Hsp70 induction is a novel approach to delay thrombus formation with minimal bleeding risk, being especially promising in situations where there is a major bleeding hazard.
2016-04-01 | GSE66724 | GEO
Project description:BackgroundAtrial fibrillation detected after stroke (AFDAS) has a lower risk of ischemic stroke recurrence than known atrial fibrillation (KAF). While the benefit of oral anticoagulants (OAC) for preventing ischemic stroke recurrence in KAF is well established, their role in patients with AFDAS is more controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the association between OAC use and the risk of recurrent ischemic stroke in patients with AFDAS in a real-world setting.MethodsThis nationwide retrospective cohort study was conducted using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. Patients hospitalized with a first-ever ischemic stroke and AFDAS confirmed within 30 days after hospitalization were assigned to OAC and non-OAC cohorts. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was applied to balance the baseline characteristics of the cohorts. The primary outcome was ischemic stroke recurrence. Secondary outcomes were intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), death, and the composite outcome of "ischemic stroke recurrence, ICH, or death." Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).ResultsA total of 4,508 hospitalized patients with stroke and AFDAS were identified. Based on OAC use, 2,856 and 1,652 patients were assigned to the OAC and non-OAC groups, respectively. During the follow-up period (median duration, 2.76 years), the OAC cohort exhibited a lower risk of ischemic stroke recurrence (aHR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.70-0.99), death (aHR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.58-0.73), and composite outcome (aHR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.63-0.78) than did the non-OAC cohort. The risk of ICH (aHR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.62-1.50) was not significantly different between the two cohorts.ConclusionOAC use in patients with AFDAS was associated with reduced risk of ischemic stroke recurrence, without an increased risk of ICH. This supports current guidelines recommending OACs for secondary stroke prevention in patients with AF, regardless of the time of diagnosis.
| S-EPMC9354040 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background and purposeTo evaluate the outcome events and bleeding complications of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guideline-matched oral anticoagulant therapy for patients with acute ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation (AF).MethodsPatients with acute ischemic stroke and AF from a nationwide multicenter registry (Korean ATrial fibrillaTion EvaluatioN regisTry in Ischemic strOke patieNts [K-ATTENTION]) between January 2013 and December 2015 were included in the study. Patients were divided into the ESC guideline-matched and the non-matched groups. The primary outcome was recurrence of any stroke during the 90-day follow-up period. Secondary outcomes were major adverse cerebrovascular and cardiovascular events, ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, acute coronary syndrome, allcause mortality, and major hemorrhage. Propensity score matching and logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the effect of the treatments administered.ResultsAmong 2,321 eligible patients, 1,126 patients were 1:1 matched to the ESC guidelinematched and the non-matched groups. As compared with the non-matched group, the ESC guideline-matched group had a lower risk of any recurrent stroke (1.4% vs. 3.4%; odds ratio [OR], 0.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.18 to 0.95). The risk of recurrent ischemic stroke was lower in the ESC guideline-matched group than in the non-matched group (0.9% vs. 2.7%; OR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.11 to 0.88). There was no significant difference in the other secondary outcomes between the two groups.ConclusionsESC guideline-matched oral anticoagulant therapy was associated with reduced risks of any stroke and ischemic stroke as compared with the non-matched therapy.
| S-EPMC7900398 | biostudies-literature