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Is there an association between intravenous immunoglobulin resistance and coronary artery lesion in Kawasaki disease?-Current evidence based on a meta-analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Coronary artery lesion (CAL) caused by Kawasaki disease (KD) is a leading cause of acquired heart disease in children. Initial treatment of intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) can reduce the incidence of CAL. Although most of the current studies have shown a certain correlation between CAL and IVIG resistance, the conclusions are not completely consistent. Thus, we performed this meta-analysis to evaluate the association between IVIG resistance and CAL in KD.

Methods

PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure through April 21, 2020 were searched to detect relevant studies. Data analysis was performed with STATA 15.1.

Results

A total of 53 relevant studies were eligible to this analysis, including 30312 KD patients, of which 4750 were IVIG resistance and 25562 were responders. There was a significant difference found between IVIG resistance and IVIG response groups in the incidence of CAL (P < 0.001, odds ratio (OR), 3.89; 95% confidence interval (CI) (3.18, 4.75)). The heterogeneity test results showed that the I2 value was 74.8%. The meta-regression analysis showed that the study regions might be the sources of heterogeneity. The subgroup analysis suggested that the incidence of CAL in the IVIG resistance group was still higher than that in the IVIG response group under different regions, IVIG resistance diagnostic criteria, CAL diagnostic criteria, and study types. Meanwhile, the sensitivity analysis did not find any significant impact from every single study.

Conclusions

This is the first meta-analysis to reveal the incidence of CAL was associated with IVIG resistance in KD patients. Further well-designed studies with uniform criteria are needed to evaluate the incidence of CAL in IVIG resistant patients.

SUBMITTER: Zheng X

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7993784 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:ObjectivesWe aimed to evaluate the clinical and laboratory characteristics of patients with Kawasaki disease (KD) before and after therapy.MethodsPatients with KD were divided into different groups according to their responsiveness to initial intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) treatment and coronary status. The clinical and laboratory parameters before and after therapy were compared. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify the independent risk factors, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was applied to assess and compare the prediction ability of risk factors and their fluctuations.ResultsOf the 153 patients included in the study, 41 (26.8%) had IVIG resistance and 37 (24.2%) had developed CAA. After stratifying by therapy response, the two groups differed in the levels of total bilirubin (TSB), albumin, and sodium, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte count ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte count ratio (PLR), TSB-to-albumin (B/A) ratio, and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) before IVIG, and in the white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count, levels of hemoglobin, C-reactive protein (CRP), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and albumin, NLR, PNI, capillary leakage index (CLI), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) after IVIG. Multivariate analysis revealed that the B/A ratio before IVIG and CLI and SII after IVIG were significantly and positively associated with IVIG resistance and that there was a larger decline in the B/A ratio and smaller decline in CLI and SII pre- and post-treatment in the IVIG-resistant group than in the IVIG-responsive group. However, no statistical differences in the fluctuations of the B/A ratio, CLI, and SII as well as all parameters before and after therapy were observed in patients with and without CAA. ROC curve analyses found a greater AUC value of post-treatment parameters (0.751 and 0.706 for CLI and SII, respectively) compared with pre-treatment parameters (0.654 for B/A ratio) in predicting IVIG resistance; however, the predictive ability of the fluctuations in risk factors before and after therapy was not superior to that of baseline values.ConclusionsThe B/A ratio before IVIG and CLI and SII after IVIG were risk factors for IVIG resistance in patients with KD, independent of CAA development. Key Points • A high total bilirubin-to-albumin ratio before IVIG and high capillary leakage and systemic immune-inflammation indices after IVIG may indicate an increased risk of intravenous immunoglobulin resistance in patients with Kawasaki disease. • Post-treatment parameters were superior to pre-treatment parameters in terms of prediction; therefore, rapid and repeated assessment of risk factors before and after treatment must be considered in children in whom the vital signs and symptoms do not improve after treatment.

Project description:BackgroundEarly identification and treatment are paramount for intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance and coronary artery lesions (CALs) in patients with Kawasaki disease (KD). Unfortunately, there is no single crucial biomarker to identify these patients in a timely manner, which makes KD the most common cause of acquired heart disease in children in developed countries. Recently, many studies have focused on the association between serum ferritin (SF), IVIG resistance, and CALs in KD. We thus performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to ascertain the diagnostic and prognostic values of SF in predicting IVIG resistance and CALs in KD in the acute phase.MethodsThe pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were extracted from the data to evaluate the SF levels in KD. The hazard ratios (HRs) of related risk factors and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were applied to compute the pooled assessments of the outcomes.ResultsA total of 11 eligible articles were included in this meta-analysis, including twenty studies for diagnosis and five studies for prognosis. In terms of diagnostic values, SF could identify KD patients in the overall studies with a relatively high pooled sensitivity, specificity, PLR, NLR, DOR, and AUC of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.69-0.82), 0.82 (95% CI: 0.76-0.88), 4.33 (95% CI: 3.07-6.11), 0.29 (95% CI: 0.22-0.38), 15.0 (95% CI: 9.00-25.00), and 0.86 (95% CI: 0.83-0.89), respectively. In studies comparing KD patients and controls, there were a relatively high pooled sensitivity, specificity, PLR, NLR, DOR, and AUC of 0.79 (95% CI: 0.72-0.84), 0.84 (95% CI: 0.79-0.91), 4.61 (95% CI: 3.27-6.51), 0.26 (95% CI: 0.20-0.34), 20.82 (95% CI: 11.83-36.64), and 0.89 (95% CI: 0.86-0.91), respectively. For the prognostic values, we found poor survival outcomes based on KD patients (HR = 1.31, 95% CI: 1.07-1.59, P = 0.008).ConclusionOur meta-analysis suggests that SF may be used as a workable and critical biomarker for the diagnosis and prognosis of IVIG resistance and CALs in patients with KD. We also propose that maintaining the dynamic balance between iron, SF, and ferroptosis will be an important therapeutic strategy to reduce the morbidity of CALs.Systematic review registration[https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/], identifier [CRD42022279157].

Project description:BackgroundAbout 10-20% of Kawasaki disease (KD) patients are resistant to the initial infusion of intravenous immunoglobin (IVIG). The aim of this study was to assess whether IVIG resistance in KD patients could be predicted using standard clinical and laboratory features.MethodsData were from two cohorts: a Korean cohort of 7101 KD patients from 2015 to 2017 and a cohort of 649 KD patients from San Diego enrolled from 1998 to 2021. Features included laboratory values, the worst Z-score from the initial echocardiogram or during hospitalization, and the five clinical KD signs at presentation.ResultsFive machine learning models achieved a maximum median AUC of 0.711 [IQR: 0.706-0.72] in the Korean cohort and 0.696 [IQR: 0.609-0.722] in the San Diego cohort during stratified 10-fold cross-validation using significant laboratory features identified from univariate analysis. Adding the Z-score, KD clinical signs, or both did not considerably improve the median AUC in either cohort.ConclusionsUsing commonly measured clinical laboratory data alone or in conjunction with echocardiographic findings and clinical features is not sufficient to predict IVIG resistance. Further attempts to predict IVIG resistance will need to incorporate additional data such as transcriptomics, proteomics, and genetics to achieve meaningful predictive utility.ImpactWe demonstrated that laboratory, echocardiographic, and clinical findings cannot predict intravenous immunoglobin (IVIG) resistance to a clinically meaningful extent using machine learning in a homogenous Asian or ethnically diverse population of patients with Kawasaki disease (KD). Visualizing these features using uniform manifold approximation and projection (UMAP) is an important step to evaluate predictive utility in a qualitative manner. Further attempts to predict IVIG resistance in KD patients will need to incorporate novel biomarkers or other specialized features such as genetic differences or transcriptomics to be clinically useful.

Project description:ImportanceInitial intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG)-refractory status and prolonged fever are established risk factors for the development of coronary artery abnormalities (CAAs) among patients with acute-phase Kawasaki disease (KD). However, whether different risk factors exist for initial unresponsiveness to IVIG and CAA development remains unclear.ObjectiveTo evaluate whether different risk factors exist for initial unresponsiveness to IVIG and CAA development among patients with KD (stratified by age at disease onset).Design, setting, and participantsThis retrospective cohort study included a consecutive sample of 2414 patients from a database of patients with KD from October 1, 1999, to September 30, 2019. The data were based on annual surveys (response rate, 100%) using hospital medical records across Wakayama Prefecture, Japan. Data were analyzed from March 6 to March 26, 2022.ExposuresThe patient's age and diagnosis of KD by board-certified pediatricians using the criteria established by the Japan KD Research Committee.Main outcomes and measuresInitial unresponsiveness to IVIG, defined as treatment with optional or advanced therapies, and development of CAAs. Echocardiograms performed 1 month after KD onset using the Japanese Ministry of Health criteria evaluated the presence or absence of CAAs. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs of patient age at KD onset for unresponsiveness to IVIG and developing CAAs were calculated using multivariable logistic regression models.ResultsA total of 2414 patients (1403 male patients [58.1%]; median age at onset of KD, 25 months [range, 1-212 months]) were included in the study: 550 younger than 12 months, 1342 aged 12 to 47 months, and 522 older than 47 months. A total of 535 patients (22.2%) received optional or advanced treatment and 68 patients (2.8%) developed CAAs 1 month after disease onset. The sex-adjusted OR among patients younger than 12 months for unresponsiveness to IVIG was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.59-0.99) and for development of CAAs was 1.94 (95% CI, 1.07-3.52); among those older than 47 months, the OR for unresponsiveness to IVIG was 1.32 (95% CI, 1.05-1.67) and for development of CAAs was 2.47 (95% CI, 1.39-4.39). After adjusting for IVIG administration, ORs among boys older than 47 months for unresponsiveness to IVIG was 1.14 (95% CI, 0.84-1.56) and for development of CAAs was 2.15 (95% CI, 1.08-4.30); among girls younger than 12 months, the OR for unresponsiveness to IVIG was 1.02 (95% CI, 0.65-1.60) and for development of CAAs was 3.79 (95% CI, 1.21-11.90).Conclusions and relevanceThe results of this study suggest that risks of unresponsiveness to IVIG and the development of CAAs differ between infants with KD and older patients with KD. Residual risk factors for KD-related CAAs other than initial unresponsiveness to IVIG should be addressed, particularly in infants.