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Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England.


ABSTRACT: In early 2020 many countries closed schools to mitigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Since then, governments have sought to relax the closures, engendering a need to understand associated risks. Using address records, we construct a network of schools in England connected through pupils who share households. We evaluate the risk of transmission between schools under different reopening scenarios. We show that whilst reopening select year-groups causes low risk of large-scale transmission, reopening secondary schools could result in outbreaks affecting up to 2.5 million households if unmitigated, highlighting the importance of careful monitoring and within-school infection control to avoid further school closures or other restrictions.

SUBMITTER: Munday JD 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8007691 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England.

Munday James D JD   Sherratt Katharine K   Meakin Sophie S   Endo Akira A   Pearson Carl A B CAB   Hellewell Joel J   Abbott Sam S   Bosse Nikos I NI   Atkins Katherine E KE   Wallinga Jacco J   Edmunds W John WJ   van Hoek Albert Jan AJ   Funk Sebastian S  

Nature communications 20210329 1


In early 2020 many countries closed schools to mitigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Since then, governments have sought to relax the closures, engendering a need to understand associated risks. Using address records, we construct a network of schools in England connected through pupils who share households. We evaluate the risk of transmission between schools under different reopening scenarios. We show that whilst reopening select year-groups causes low risk of large-scale transmission, reopening  ...[more]

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