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Bone Erosions Detected by Ultrasound Are Prognostic for Clinical Arthritis Development in Patients With ACPA and Musculoskeletal Pain.

ABSTRACT: Anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) often precede onset of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) by years, and there is an urgent clinical need for predictors of arthritis development among such at-risk patients. This study assesses the prognostic value of ultrasound for arthritis development among ACPA-positive patients with musculoskeletal pain. We prospectively followed 82 ACPA-positive patients without clinical signs of arthritis at baseline. Ultrasound at baseline assessed synovial hypertrophy, inflammatory activity by power Doppler, and erosions in small joints of hands and feet. We applied Cox regression analyses to examine associations with clinical arthritis development during follow-up (median, 69 months; range, 24-90 months). We also compared the ultrasound findings among the patients to a control group of 100 blood donors without musculoskeletal pain. Clinical arthritis developed in 39/82 patients (48%) after a median of 6 months (range, 1-71 months). One or more ultrasound erosions occurred in 13/82 patients (16%), with none in control subjects (p < 0.001). Clinical arthritis development was more common among patients with baseline ultrasound erosions than those without (77 vs. 42%, p = 0.032), and remained significant in a multivariable Cox regression analysis that included previously described prognostic factors (HR 3.9, 95% CI 1.6-9.4, p = 0.003). Ultrasound-detected tenosynovitis was more frequent among the patients and associated with clinical arthritis development in a univariable analysis (HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1-5.7, p = 0.031), but did not remain statistically significant in multivariable analysis. Thus, bone erosions detected by ultrasound are independent predictors of clinical arthritis development in an ACPA-positive at-risk population. Trial Registration: Regional Ethics Committee in Linköping, Sweden, Dnr M220-09. Registered 16 December 2009, https://etikprovningsmyndigheten.se/.

SUBMITTER: Ziegelasch M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8021704 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:Objective: Radiographic joint erosions are a hallmark of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is more sensitive than radiographs in detecting erosions. It is unknown whether MRI-detected erosions are predictive for RA development in patients with clinically suspect arthralgia (CSA). Therefore, we investigated the prognostic value of MRI-detected erosions, defined as any MRI erosion, or MRI erosion characteristics that were recently identified as specific for RA in patients with evident arthritis. Method: Patients presenting with CSA (n = 490) underwent contrast-enhanced 1.5 T MRI of the wrist, metacarpophalangeal (MCP) and metatarsophalangeal (MTP) joints. MRIs were scored according to the Rheumatoid Arthritis Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scoring system (RAMRIS). Presence of any MRI erosion (present in < 5% of symptom-free controls) and RA-specific erosion characteristics as identified previously (grade ≥ 2 erosions, erosions in MTP5, erosions in MTP1 if aged < 40 years) were studied with clinically apparent inflammatory arthritis development as outcome. Analyses were corrected for age and MRI-detected subclinical inflammation. Results: Erosions were present in 20%. Presence of any MRI erosion was not associated with arthritis development [multivariable analysis hazard ratio (HR) 0.97 (95% confidence interval 0.59-1.59)]. The different RA-specific erosion characteristics were not predictive [grade ≥ 2 HR 1.05 (0.33-3.34), erosions in MTP5 HR 1.08 (0.47-2.48), and MTP1 if aged < 40 years HR 1.11 (0.26-4.70)]. Erosion scores were higher in anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA)-positive than in ACPA-negative patients (median 2.0 vs 1.0, p = 0.002), and related to more subclinical inflammation. Within both subgroups, MRI erosions were not predictive. Conclusions: MRI-detected erosions in hands and feet were not predictive for inflammatory arthritis development. Therefore, evaluating MRI for erosions in addition to subclinical inflammation does not provide added clinical value in CSA.

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Bone Erosions Detected by Ultrasound Are Prognostic for Clinical Arthritis Development in Patients With ACPA and Musculoskeletal Pain.

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