Identifying multiple sclerosis subtypes using unsupervised machine learning and MRI data.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Eshaghi A
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8024377 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Apr
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Identifying multiple sclerosis subtypes using unsupervised machine learning and MRI data.
Eshaghi Arman A Young Alexandra L AL Wijeratne Peter A PA Prados Ferran F Arnold Douglas L DL Narayanan Sridar S Guttmann Charles R G CRG Barkhof Frederik F Alexander Daniel C DC Thompson Alan J AJ Chard Declan D Ciccarelli Olga O
Nature communications 20210406 1
Multiple sclerosis (MS) can be divided into four phenotypes based on clinical evolution. The pathophysiological boundaries of these phenotypes are unclear, limiting treatment stratification. Machine learning can identify groups with similar features using multidimensional data. Here, to classify MS subtypes based on pathological features, we apply unsupervised machine learning to brain MRI scans acquired in previously published studies. We use a training dataset from 6322 MS patients to define M ...[more]
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Project description:ObjectivesTo stratify patients with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) based on brain MRI-derived volumetric features using unsupervised machine learning.MethodsThe 3-T brain MRIs of relapsing-remitting pwMS including 3D-T1w and FLAIR-T2w sequences were retrospectively collected, along with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores and long-term (10 ± 2 years) clinical outcomes (EDSS, cognition, and progressive course). From the MRIs, volumes of demyelinating lesions and 116 atlas-defined gray matter regions were automatically segmented and expressed as z-scores referenced to external populations. Following feature selection, baseline MRI-derived biomarkers entered the Subtype and Stage Inference (SuStaIn) algorithm, which estimates subgroups characterized by distinct patterns of biomarker evolution and stages within subgroups. The trained model was then applied to longitudinal MRIs. Stability of subtypes and stage change over time were assessed via Krippendorf's α and multilevel linear regression models, respectively. The prognostic relevance of SuStaIn classification was assessed with ordinal/logistic regression analyses.ResultsWe selected 425 pwMS (35.9 ± 9.9 years; F/M: 301/124), corresponding to 1129 MRI scans, along with healthy controls (N = 148; 35.9 ± 13.0 years; F/M: 77/71) and external pwMS (N = 80; 40.4 ± 11.9 years; F/M: 56/24) as reference populations. Based on 11 biomarkers surviving feature selection, two subtypes were identified, designated as "deep gray matter (DGM)-first" subtype (N = 238) and "cortex-first" subtype (N = 187) according to the atrophy pattern. Subtypes were consistent over time (α = 0.806), with significant annual stage increase (b = 0.20; p < 0.001). EDSS was associated with stage and DGM-first subtype (p ≤ 0.02). Baseline stage predicted long-term disability, transition to progressive course, and cognitive impairment (p ≤ 0.03), with the latter also associated with DGM-first subtype (p = 0.005).ConclusionsUnsupervised learning modelling of brain MRI-derived volumetric features provides a biologically reliable and prognostically meaningful stratification of pwMS.Key points• The unsupervised modelling of brain MRI-derived volumetric features can provide a single-visit stratification of multiple sclerosis patients. • The so-obtained classification tends to be consistent over time and captures disease-related brain damage progression, supporting the biological reliability of the model. • Baseline stratification predicts long-term clinical disability, cognition, and transition to secondary progressive course.
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Project description:BackgroundIdentifying active lesions in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is crucial for the diagnosis and treatment planning of multiple sclerosis (MS). Active lesions on MRI are identified following the administration of Gadolinium-based contrast agents (GBCAs). However, recent studies have reported that repeated administration of GBCA results in the accumulation of Gd in tissues. In addition, GBCA administration increases health care costs. Thus, reducing or eliminating GBCA administration for active lesion detection is important for improved patient safety and reduced healthcare costs. Current state-of-the-art methods for identifying active lesions in brain MRI without GBCA administration utilize data-intensive deep learning methods.ObjectiveTo implement nonlinear dimensionality reduction (NLDR) methods, locally linear embedding (LLE) and isometric feature mapping (Isomap), which are less data-intensive, for automatically identifying active lesions on brain MRI in MS patients, without the administration of contrast agents.Materials and methodsFluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR), T2-weighted, proton density-weighted, and pre- and post-contrast T1-weighted images were included in the multiparametric MRI dataset used in this study. Subtracted pre- and post-contrast T1-weighted images were labeled by experts as active lesions (ground truth). Unsupervised methods, LLE and Isomap, were used to reconstruct multiparametric brain MR images into a single embedded image. Active lesions were identified on the embedded images and compared with ground truth lesions. The performance of NLDR methods was evaluated by calculating the Dice similarity (DS) index between the observed and identified active lesions in embedded images.ResultsLLE and Isomap, were applied to 40 MS patients, achieving median DS scores of 0.74 ± 0.1 and 0.78 ± 0.09, respectively, outperforming current state-of-the-art methods.ConclusionsNLDR methods, Isomap and LLE, are viable options for the identification of active MS lesions on non-contrast images, and potentially could be used as a clinical decision tool.
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Project description:BackgroundAlzheimer's disease (AD) is a highly heterogeneous disease with diverse trajectories and outcomes observed in clinical populations. Understanding this heterogeneity can enable better treatment, prognosis and disease management. Studies to date have mainly used imaging or cognition data and have been limited in terms of data breadth and sample size. Here we examine the clinical heterogeneity of Alzheimer's disease patients using electronic health records (EHR) to identify and characterise disease subgroups using multiple clustering methods, identifying clusters which are clinically actionable.MethodsWe identified AD patients in primary care EHR from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) using a previously validated rule-based phenotyping algorithm. We extracted and included a range of comorbidities, symptoms and demographic features as patient features. We evaluated four different clustering methods (k-means, kernel k-means, affinity propagation and latent class analysis) to cluster Alzheimer's disease patients. We compared clusters on clinically relevant outcomes and evaluated each method using measures of cluster structure, stability, efficiency of outcome prediction and replicability in external data sets.ResultsWe identified 7,913 AD patients, with a mean age of 82 and 66.2% female. We included 21 features in our analysis. We observed 5, 2, 5 and 6 clusters in k-means, kernel k-means, affinity propagation and latent class analysis respectively. K-means was found to produce the most consistent results based on four evaluative measures. We discovered a consistent cluster found in three of the four methods composed of predominantly female, younger disease onset (43% between ages 42-73) diagnosed with depression and anxiety, with a quicker rate of progression compared to the average across other clusters.ConclusionEach clustering approach produced substantially different clusters and K-Means performed the best out of the four methods based on the four evaluative criteria. However, the consistent appearance of one particular cluster across three of the four methods potentially suggests the presence of a distinct disease subtype that merits further exploration. Our study underlines the variability of the results obtained from different clustering approaches and the importance of systematically evaluating different approaches for identifying disease subtypes in complex EHR.
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Project description:ObjectivesThis study evaluated an unsupervised machine learning method, latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA), as a method for identifying subtypes of depression within symptom data.MethodsData from 18,314 depressed patients were used to create LDA models. The outcomes included future emergency presentations, crisis events, and behavioral problems. One model was chosen for further analysis based upon its potential as a clinically meaningful construct. The associations between patient groups created with the final LDA model and outcomes were tested. These steps were repeated with a commonly-used latent variable model to provide additional context to the LDA results.ResultsFive subtypes were identified using the final LDA model. Prior to the outcome analysis, the subtypes were labeled based upon the symptom distributions they produced: psychotic, severe, mild, agitated, and anergic-apathetic. The patient groups largely aligned with the outcome data. For example, the psychotic and severe subgroups were more likely to have emergency presentations (odds ratio [OR] = 1.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.17-1.43 and OR = 1.16; 95% CI, 1.05-1.29, respectively), whereas these outcomes were less likely in the mild subgroup (OR = 0.86; 95% CI, 0.78-0.94). We found that the LDA subtypes were characterized by clusters of unique symptoms. This contrasted with the latent variable model subtypes, which were largely stratified by severity.ConclusionsThis study suggests that LDA can surface clinically meaningful, qualitative subtypes. Future work could be incorporated into studies concerning the biological bases of depression, thereby contributing to the development of new psychiatric therapeutics.
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Project description:BackgroundMultiple sclerosis patients would benefit from machine learning algorithms that integrates clinical, imaging and multimodal biomarkers to define the risk of disease activity.MethodsWe have analysed a prospective multi-centric cohort of 322 MS patients and 98 healthy controls from four MS centres, collecting disability scales at baseline and 2 years later. Imaging data included brain MRI and optical coherence tomography, and omics included genotyping, cytomics and phosphoproteomic data from peripheral blood mononuclear cells. Predictors of clinical outcomes were searched using Random Forest algorithms. Assessment of the algorithm performance was conducted in an independent prospective cohort of 271 MS patients from a single centre.ResultsWe found algorithms for predicting confirmed disability accumulation for the different scales, no evidence of disease activity (NEDA), onset of immunotherapy and the escalation from low- to high-efficacy therapy with intermediate to high-accuracy. This accuracy was achieved for most of the predictors using clinical data alone or in combination with imaging data. Still, in some cases, the addition of omics data slightly increased algorithm performance. Accuracies were comparable in both cohorts.ConclusionCombining clinical, imaging and omics data with machine learning helps identify MS patients at risk of disability worsening.
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Project description:We focused on building models that incorporated transcription factor (TF)-DNA interaction data for 12 members of the Auxin Response Factor (ARF) family from soybean as assessed by DNA Affinity Purification and sequencing (DAP-seq).
2023-06-01 | GSE193400 | GEO
Project description:Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a multifaceted neurological condition characterized by challenges in timely diagnosis and personalized patient management. The application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to MS holds promises for early detection, accurate diagnosis, and predictive modeling. The objectives of this study are: 1) to propose new MS trajectory descriptors that could be employed in Machine Learning (ML) regressors and classifiers to predict patient evolution; 2) to explore the contribution of ML models in discerning MS trajectory descriptors using only baseline Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) studies. This study involved 446 MS patients who had a baseline MRI, at least two measurements of Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), and a 1-year follow-up. Patients were divided into two groups: 1) for model development and 2) for evaluation. Three descriptors: β1, β2, and EDSS(t), were related to baseline MRI parameters using regression and classification XGBoost models. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) analysis enhanced model transparency by identifying influential features. The results of this study demonstrate the potential of AI in predicting MS progression using the proposed patient trajectories and baseline MRI scans, outperforming classic Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) methods. In conclusion, MS trajectory descriptors are crucial; incorporating AI analysis into MRI assessments presents promising opportunities to advance predictive capabilities. SHAP analysis enhances model interpretation, revealing feature importance for clinical decisions.
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Project description:BackgroundPhenotyping analysis that includes time course is useful for understanding the mechanisms and clinical management of postoperative delirium. However, postoperative delirium has not been fully phenotyped. Hypothesis-free categorization of heterogeneous symptoms may be useful for understanding the mechanisms underlying delirium, although evidence is currently lacking. Therefore, we aimed to explore the phenotypes of postoperative delirium following invasive cancer surgery using a data-driven approach with minimal prior knowledge.MethodsWe recruited patients who underwent elective invasive cancer resection. After surgery, participants completed 5 consecutive days of delirium assessments using the Delirium Rating Scale-Revised-98 (DRS-R-98) severity scale. We categorized 65 (13 questionnaire items/day × 5 days) dimensional DRS-R-98 scores using unsupervised machine learning (K-means clustering) to derive a small set of grouped features representing distinct symptoms across all participants. We then reapplied K-means clustering to this set of grouped features to delineate multiple clusters of delirium symptoms.ResultsParticipants were 286 patients, of whom 91 developed delirium defined according to Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition, criteria. Following the first K-means clustering, we derived four grouped symptom features: (1) mixed motor, (2) cognitive and higher-order thinking domain with perceptual disturbance and thought content abnormalities, (3) acute and temporal response, and (4) sleep-wake cycle disturbance. Subsequent K-means clustering permitted classification of participants into seven subgroups: (i) cognitive and higher-order thinking domain dominant delirium, (ii) prolonged delirium, (iii) acute and brief delirium, (iv) subsyndromal delirium-enriched, (v) subsyndromal delirium-enriched with insomnia, (vi) insomnia, and (vii) fit.ConclusionWe found that patients who have undergone invasive cancer resection can be delineated using unsupervised machine learning into three delirium clusters, two subsyndromal delirium clusters, and an insomnia cluster. Validation of clusters and research into the pathophysiology underlying each cluster will help to elucidate the mechanisms of postoperative delirium after invasive cancer surgery.
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Project description:Pathologists use visual classification to assess patient kidney biopsy samples when diagnosing the underlying cause of kidney disease. However, the assessment is qualitative, or semi-quantitative at best, and reproducibility is challenging. To discover previously unknown features which predict patient outcomes and overcome substantial interobserver variability, we developed an unsupervised bag-of-words model. Our study applied to the C-PROBE cohort of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). 107,471 histopathology images were obtained from 161 biopsy cores and identified important morphological features in biopsy tissue that are highly predictive of the presence of CKD both at the time of biopsy and in one year. To evaluate the performance of our model, we estimated the AUC and its 95% confidence interval. We show that this method is reliable and reproducible and can achieve 0.93 AUC at predicting glomerular filtration rate at the time of biopsy as well as predicting a loss of function at one year. Additionally, with this method, we ranked the identified morphological features according to their importance as diagnostic markers for chronic kidney disease. In this study, we have demonstrated the feasibility of using an unsupervised machine learning method without human input in order to predict the level of kidney function in CKD. The results from our study indicate that the visual dictionary, or visual image pattern, obtained from unsupervised machine learning can predict outcomes using machine-derived values that correspond to both known and unknown clinically relevant features.
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