A five-gene signature for predicting overall survival of esophagus adenocarcinoma.
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ABSTRACT: Abstract
Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is common and aggressive with increasing trend of incidence. Urgent need for an effective signature to assess EAC prognosis and facilitate tailored treatment is required.Differentially expressed mRNAs (DEMs) were identified by analyzing EAC tissues and adjacent normal samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Then univariate regression analyses were performed to confirm prognostic DEMs. We used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) to build a prognostic mRNA signature whose performance was assessed by Kaplan-Meier curve, receiver operating characteristic (ROC). GSE72874 were used as an external test set. The performances of the signature were also validated in internal TCGA and external test sets. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and tumor immunity analysis were performed to decipher the biological mechanisms of the signature.A 5-mRNA signature consisted of SLC26A9, SINHCAF, MICB, KRT19, and MT1X was developed to predict prognosis of EAC. The 5-mRNA signature was promising as a biomarker for predicting 3-year survival rate of EAC in the internal test set, the entire TCGA set, and the external test set with areas under the curve (AUC) = 0.849, 0.924, and 0.747, respectively. Patients were divided into low- and high-risk groups based on risk scores of the signature. The high-risk group was mainly associated with cancer-related pathways and low levels of B cell infiltration.The 5-mRNA prognostic signature we identified can reliably predict prognosis and facilitate individualized treatment decisions for EAC patients.
SUBMITTER: Lan T
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8036055 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BackgroundThe high case-fatality rate of patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) emphasizes the importance of identifying a robust and reliable prognostic signature for LUAD patients. Endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress results from protein misfolding imbalance and has been shown to participate in the development of cancer. We aimed to develop and validation a reliable and robust ER stress-related prognostic signature to accurately predict prognosis for patients with LUAD.MethodsThe mRNA expressions data and the clinical information were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) as training set. The data of external validation sets were downloaded from GEO database with the accession number GSE 30219, GSE 31210, GSE 50081 and GSE 37745. Univariate Cox regression analyses was performed to identify mRNAs associated with overall survival (OS) in LUAD. ER-associated genes were retrieved using GeneCards database. Next, we construct the best risk score model by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression with tenfold cross-validation. Subsequently, predictive models and risk scores were developed in the TCGA training dataset. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used for univariate and multivariate analysis of risk score and clinicopathologic characteristics. As a validation set GSE30219, GSE31210 and (GSE50081+GSE37745) were used to validate the predictive performance of the model in TCGA. Finally, functional enrichment analysis, including the gene ontology (GO) enrichment analysis, the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) signaling pathways and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) were performed to further explore function and mechanisms.ResultsA prognostic prediction model based on eight genes was developed in the TCGA training dataset. As expected, in validation sets, patients with higher risk scores were found to have worse prognosis. Time-dependent ROC curve analyses demonstrated that the risk score model was reliable. The nomograms showed excellent predictive ability. Multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that the risk score was an independent prognostic factor for LUAD. Additionally, functional enrichment analysis showed that the relevant biomarkers were enriched in cell cycle and glycolysis related signaling pathways.ConclusionsThe 8-gene signature may enable improved the prediction of clinical events and decisions about management of LUAD.
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Project description:Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common public health challenges, worldwide. Because of molecular complexity and tumor heterogeneity, there are no effective predictive models for prognosis of HCC. This underlines the unmet need for accurate prognostic models for HCC. Analysis of GSE14520 data from gene omnibus (GEO) database identified multiple differentially expressed mRNAs (DEMs) between HCC and normal tissues. After randomly stratifying the patients into the training and testing groups, we performed univariate, lasso, and multivariable Cox regression analyses to delineate the prognostic gene signature in training set. We then used Kaplan-Meier plot, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), multivariable Cox regression analysis of clinical information, nomogram, and decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate the predictive and overall survival value of a novel five-gene signature (CNIH4, SOX4, SPP1, SORBS2, and CCL19) within and across sets, separately and combined. We also validated the prognostic value of the five-gene signature using The Cancer Genome Atlas-Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma (TCGA-LIHC), GSE54236 and International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) sets. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that the five-gene signature and tumor node metastasis (TNM) stage were independent prognostic factors for overall survival of HCC patients in GSE14520 and TCGA-LIHC. Combining TNM stage clinical pathological parameters and nomogram greatly improved the prognosis prediction of HCC. Further gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) revealed enrichment of KEGG pathways related to cell cycle in the high-risk group and histidine metabolism in the low-risk group. Finally, all these five mRNAs are overexpressed between 12 pairs of HCC and adjacent normal tissues by quantitative real-time PCR validation. In brief, a five-gene prognostic signature and a nomogram were identified and constructed, respectively, and further validated for their HCC prognostic value. The five-gene risk score together with TNM stage models could aid in rationalizing customized therapies in HCC patients.
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Project description:BackgroundHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a major challenge for public health worldwide. Considering the great heterogeneity of HCC, more accurate prognostic models are urgently needed. To identify a robust prognostic gene signature, we conduct this study.Materials and methodsLevel 3 mRNA expression profiles and clinicopathological data were obtained in The Cancer Genome Atlas Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma (TCGA-LIHC). GSE14520 dataset from the gene expression omnibus (GEO) database was downloaded to further validate the results in TCGA. Differentially expressed mRNAs between HCC and normal tissue were investigated. Univariate Cox regression analysis and lasso Cox regression model were performed to identify and construct the prognostic gene signature. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), Kaplan-Meier curve, multivariate Cox regression analysis, nomogram, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the prognostic capacity of the six-gene signature. The prognostic value of the gene signature was further validated in independent GSE14520 cohort. Gene Set Enrichment Analyses (GSEA) was performed to further understand the underlying molecular mechanisms. The performance of the prognostic signature in differentiating between normal liver tissues and HCC were also investigated.ResultsA novel six-gene signature (including CSE1L, CSTB, MTHFR, DAGLA, MMP10, and GYS2) was established for HCC prognosis prediction. The ROC curve showed good performance in survival prediction in both the TCGA HCC cohort and the GSE14520 validation cohort. The six-gene signature could stratify patients into a high- and low-risk group which had significantly different survival. Cox regression analysis showed that the six-gene signature could independently predict OS. Nomogram including the six-gene signature was established and shown some clinical net benefit. Furthermore, GSEA revealed several significantly enriched oncological signatures and various metabolic process, which might help explain the underlying molecular mechanisms. Besides, the prognostic signature showed a strong ability for differentiating HCC from normal tissues.ConclusionsOur study established a novel six-gene signature and nomogram to predict overall survival of HCC, which may help in clinical decision making for individual treatment.
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Project description:Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a malignant tumor of the digestive system characterized by mortality rate and poor prognosis. To indicate the prognosis of HCC patients, lots of genes have been screened as prognostic indicators. However, the predictive efficiency of single gene is not enough. Therefore, it is essential to identify a risk-score model based on gene signature to elevate predictive efficiency. Lasso regression analysis followed by univariate Cox regression was employed to establish a risk-score model for HCC prognosis prediction based on The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) dataset and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) dataset GSE14520. R package 'clusterProfiler' was used to conduct function and pathway enrichment analysis. The infiltration level of various immune and stromal cells in the tumor microenvironment (TME) were evaluated by single-sample GSEA (ssGSEA) of R package 'GSVA'. This prognostic model is an independent prognostic factor for predicting the prognosis of HCC patients and can be more effective by combining with clinical data through the construction of nomogram model. Further analysis showed patients in high-risk group possess more complex TME and immune cell composition. Taken together, our research suggests the thirteen-gene signature to possess potential prognostic value for HCC patients and provide new information for immunological research and treatment in HCC.
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