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Mortality outcomes with hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine in COVID-19 from an international collaborative meta-analysis of randomized trials.


ABSTRACT: Substantial COVID-19 research investment has been allocated to randomized clinical trials (RCTs) on hydroxychloroquine/chloroquine, which currently face recruitment challenges or early discontinuation. We aim to estimate the effects of hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine on survival in COVID-19 from all currently available RCT evidence, published and unpublished. We present a rapid meta-analysis of ongoing, completed, or discontinued RCTs on hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine treatment for any COVID-19 patients (protocol: https://osf.io/QESV4/ ). We systematically identified unpublished RCTs (ClinicalTrials.gov, WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, Cochrane COVID-registry up to June 11, 2020), and published RCTs (PubMed, medRxiv and bioRxiv up to October 16, 2020). All-cause mortality has been extracted (publications/preprints) or requested from investigators and combined in random-effects meta-analyses, calculating odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), separately for hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine. Prespecified subgroup analyses include patient setting, diagnostic confirmation, control type, and publication status. Sixty-three trials were potentially eligible. We included 14 unpublished trials (1308 patients) and 14 publications/preprints (9011 patients). Results for hydroxychloroquine are dominated by RECOVERY and WHO SOLIDARITY, two highly pragmatic trials, which employed relatively high doses and included 4716 and 1853 patients, respectively (67% of the total sample size). The combined OR on all-cause mortality for hydroxychloroquine is 1.11 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.20; I² = 0%; 26 trials; 10,012 patients) and for chloroquine 1.77 (95%CI: 0.15, 21.13, I² = 0%; 4 trials; 307 patients). We identified no subgroup effects. We found that treatment with hydroxychloroquine is associated with increased mortality in COVID-19 patients, and there is no benefit of chloroquine. Findings have unclear generalizability to outpatients, children, pregnant women, and people with comorbidities.

SUBMITTER: Axfors C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8050319 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Mortality outcomes with hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine in COVID-19 from an international collaborative meta-analysis of randomized trials.

Axfors Cathrine C   Schmitt Andreas M AM   Janiaud Perrine P   Van't Hooft Janneke J   Abd-Elsalam Sherief S   Abdo Ehab F EF   Abella Benjamin S BS   Akram Javed J   Amaravadi Ravi K RK   Angus Derek C DC   Arabi Yaseen M YM   Azhar Shehnoor S   Baden Lindsey R LR   Baker Arthur W AW   Belkhir Leila L   Benfield Thomas T   Berrevoets Marvin A H MAH   Chen Cheng-Pin CP   Chen Tsung-Chia TC   Cheng Shu-Hsing SH   Cheng Chien-Yu CY   Chung Wei-Sheng WS   Cohen Yehuda Z YZ   Cowan Lisa N LN   Dalgard Olav O   de Almeida E Val Fernando F FF   de Lacerda Marcus V G MVG   de Melo Gisely C GC   Derde Lennie L   Dubee Vincent V   Elfakir Anissa A   Gordon Anthony C AC   Hernandez-Cardenas Carmen M CM   Hills Thomas T   Hoepelman Andy I M AIM   Huang Yi-Wen YW   Igau Bruno B   Jin Ronghua R   Jurado-Camacho Felipe F   Khan Khalid S KS   Kremsner Peter G PG   Kreuels Benno B   Kuo Cheng-Yu CY   Le Thuy T   Lin Yi-Chun YC   Lin Wu-Pu WP   Lin Tse-Hung TH   Lyngbakken Magnus Nakrem MN   McArthur Colin C   McVerry Bryan J BJ   Meza-Meneses Patricia P   Monteiro Wuelton M WM   Morpeth Susan C SC   Mourad Ahmad A   Mulligan Mark J MJ   Murthy Srinivas S   Naggie Susanna S   Narayanasamy Shanti S   Nichol Alistair A   Novack Lewis A LA   O'Brien Sean M SM   Okeke Nwora Lance NL   Perez Léna L   Perez-Padilla Rogelio R   Perrin Laurent L   Remigio-Luna Arantxa A   Rivera-Martinez Norma E NE   Rockhold Frank W FW   Rodriguez-Llamazares Sebastian S   Rolfe Robert R   Rosa Rossana R   Røsjø Helge H   Sampaio Vanderson S VS   Seto Todd B TB   Shahzad Muhammad M   Soliman Shaimaa S   Stout Jason E JE   Thirion-Romero Ireri I   Troxel Andrea B AB   Tseng Ting-Yu TY   Turner Nicholas A NA   Ulrich Robert J RJ   Walsh Stephen R SR   Webb Steve A SA   Weehuizen Jesper M JM   Velinova Maria M   Wong Hon-Lai HL   Wrenn Rebekah R   Zampieri Fernando G FG   Zhong Wu W   Moher David D   Goodman Steven N SN   Ioannidis John P A JPA   Hemkens Lars G LG  

Nature communications 20210415 1


Substantial COVID-19 research investment has been allocated to randomized clinical trials (RCTs) on hydroxychloroquine/chloroquine, which currently face recruitment challenges or early discontinuation. We aim to estimate the effects of hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine on survival in COVID-19 from all currently available RCT evidence, published and unpublished. We present a rapid meta-analysis of ongoing, completed, or discontinued RCTs on hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine treatment for any COV  ...[more]

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