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Assessment of a Polygenic Risk Score for Colorectal Cancer to Predict Risk of Lynch Syndrome Colorectal Cancer.

ABSTRACT: It was not known whether the polygenic risk scores (PRSs) that predict colorectal cancer could predict colorectal cancer for people with inherited pathogenic variants in DNA mismatch repair genes-people with Lynch syndrome. We tested a PRS comprising 107 established single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with colorectal cancer in European populations for 826 European-descent carriers of pathogenic variants in DNA mismatch repair genes (293 MLH1, 314 MSH2, 126 MSH6, 71 PMS2, and 22 EPCAM) from the Colon Cancer Family Registry, of whom 504 had colorectal cancer. There was no evidence of an association between the PRS and colorectal cancer risk, irrespective of which DNA mismatch repair gene was mutated, or sex (all 2-sided P > .05). The hazard ratio per standard deviation of the PRS for colorectal cancer was 0.97 (95% confidence interval = 0.88 to 1.06; 2-sided P = .51). Whereas PRSs are predictive of colorectal cancer in the general population, they do not predict Lynch syndrome colorectal cancer.

SUBMITTER: Jenkins MA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8062848 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Assessment of a Polygenic Risk Score for Colorectal Cancer to Predict Risk of Lynch Syndrome Colorectal Cancer.

Jenkins Mark A MA Buchanan Daniel D DD Lai John J Makalic Enes E Dite Gillian S GS Win Aung K AK Clendenning Mark M Winship Ingrid M IM Hayes Richard B RB Huyghe Jeroen R JR Peters Ulrike U Gallinger Steven S Marchand Loïc Le LL Figueiredo Jane C JC Pai Rish K RK Newcomb Polly A PA Church James M JM Casey Graham G Hopper John L JL

JNCI cancer spectrum 20210308 2

It was not known whether the polygenic risk scores (PRSs) that predict colorectal cancer could predict colorectal cancer for people with inherited pathogenic variants in DNA mismatch repair genes-people with Lynch syndrome. We tested a PRS comprising 107 established single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with colorectal cancer in European populations for 826 European-descent carriers of pathogenic variants in DNA mismatch repair genes (293 MLH1, 314 MSH2, 126 MSH6, 71 <i ...[more]

PMID: 33928216

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Project description:ImportanceExcess weight, the prevalence of which is high and increasing in many countries, is linked to multiple adverse health outcomes, including increased colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. Better communication of health risks associated with excess weight might support efforts of prevention.ObjectiveTo evaluate the individual and joint associations of body mass index (BMI) and polygenic risk with CRC, to assess potential interactions among them, and to quantify by how much increased polygenic risk for CRC can be offset by having a BMI within reference range.Design, setting, and participantsThis population-based case-control study was conducted in the Rhine-Neckar region of southwest Germany, with recruitment from 2003 to 2017. Participants with both risk factor and genetic information were included for analysis. Data analysis was conducted from December 8, 2021, to February 17, 2022.ExposuresBMI was calculated as self-reported weight in kilograms approximately 10 years before diagnosis or interview and current height in meters squared. A polygenic risk score (PRS) was built based on 140 CRC-related risk loci.Main outcomes and measuresIndividual and joint associations of BMI and PRS with CRC were estimated using multiple logistic regression. Associations of excess weight with CRC were quantified by adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and genetic risk equivalents (GREs), the equivalent outcomes conveyed by defined differences in PRS percentiles.ResultsAmong 9169 participants (median [IQR] age, 69 [62-76] years; 5589 [61.0%] male participants) included, 5053 had CRC and 4116 did not. BMI of 30 or greater was associated with higher odds of having CRC compared with BMI less than 25 (aOR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.49-1.97), independent of PRS levels (P for interaction = .45). Participants with BMI of 30 or greater and a PRS in the highest tertile had higher odds of CRC compared with participants with BMI less than 25 and a PRS in the lowest tertile (aOR, 3.82; 95% CI, 3.03-4.82). The estimated association of BMI greater than 30 with CRC risk was equivalent to that of having a 41 (95% CI, 29-53)-percentile higher PRS. BMI of 30 or greater was particularly associated with stage IV CRC (aOR, 2.21; 95% CI, 1.71-2.84).Conclusions and relevanceThese findings suggest that excess weight was associated with CRC regardless of PRS levels. The association of having a BMI within reference range may be similar to that of having a substantially lower polygenic risk for CRC.

Project description:Accurate colorectal cancer (CRC) risk prediction models are critical for identifying individuals at low and high risk of developing CRC, as they can then be offered targeted screening and interventions to address their risks of developing disease (if they are in a high-risk group) and avoid unnecessary screening and interventions (if they are in a low-risk group). As it is likely that thousands of genetic variants contribute to CRC risk, it is clinically important to investigate whether these genetic variants can be used jointly for CRC risk prediction. In this paper, we derived and compared different approaches to generating predictive polygenic risk scores (PRS) from genome-wide association studies (GWASs) including 55,105 CRC-affected case subjects and 65,079 control subjects of European ancestry. We built the PRS in three ways, using (1) 140 previously identified and validated CRC loci; (2) SNP selection based on linkage disequilibrium (LD) clumping followed by machine-learning approaches; and (3) LDpred, a Bayesian approach for genome-wide risk prediction. We tested the PRS in an independent cohort of 101,987 individuals with 1,699 CRC-affected case subjects. The discriminatory accuracy, calculated by the age- and sex-adjusted area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), was highest for the LDpred-derived PRS (AUC = 0.654) including nearly 1.2 M genetic variants (the proportion of causal genetic variants for CRC assumed to be 0.003), whereas the PRS of the 140 known variants identified from GWASs had the lowest AUC (AUC = 0.629). Based on the LDpred-derived PRS, we are able to identify 30% of individuals without a family history as having risk for CRC similar to those with a family history of CRC, whereas the PRS based on known GWAS variants identified only top 10% as having a similar relative risk. About 90% of these individuals have no family history and would have been considered average risk under current screening guidelines, but might benefit from earlier screening. The developed PRS offers a way for risk-stratified CRC screening and other targeted interventions.

Project description:BackgroundEvidence is lacking on the impact of alcohol consumption on colorectal cancer (CRC) risk (overall and by age at diagnosis) by polygenic risk score (PRS) levels, and it is unclear how the magnitude of CRC risk associated with alcohol consumption compares to the magnitude of genetically determined risk.MethodsMultiple logistic regression was used to assess the association between alcohol consumption and colorectal cancer (CRC) across PRS levels based on 140 CRC-related loci among 5104 CRC cases and 4131 controls from a large population-based case-control study. We compared the effects for alcohol consumption and PRS on CRC risk using the "Genetic Risk Equivalent (GRE)" for effective risk communication. Specific analyses were conducted for early-onset CRC (EOCRC, <55 years) and late-onset CRC (LOCRC, ≥55 years).FindingsHigh alcohol consumption, and to a lower extent, also alcohol abstinence were associated with increased CRC risk. Compared to low alcohol consumption (0·1-<25 g/d), lifetime average alcohol consumption ≥25 g/d was more strongly associated with EOCRC [odds ratio (OR) 1·8, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1·2-2·8] than with LOCRC risk (OR 1·3, 95% CI 1·1-1·4) (P-value for interaction with age =0·011). Interactions between alcohol consumption and PRS did not reach statistical significance for either EOCRC or LOCRC risk. The estimated impact of high lifetime alcohol consumption on EOCRC was equivalent to the effect of having 47 percentiles higher PRS (GRE 47, 95% CI 12-82), stronger than the impact on LOCRC (GRE 18, 95% CI 8-29).InterpretationExcessive alcohol use was strongly associated with EOCRC risk, independent of PRS levels. Abstaining from heavy drinking could reduce risk for CRC, in particular for EOCRC to an extent that would be equivalent to having a much lower genetically determined risk.FundingThe first author (X.C.) was supported by the Guangzhou Elite Project (GEP). The DACHS study was supported by grants from the German Research Council (BR 1704/6-1, BR1704/6-3, BR 1704/6-4, BR 1704/6-6, CH 117/1-1, BR 1704/17-1, HO 5117/2-1) and the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (01KH0404, 01ER0814, 01ER0815, 01GL1712).

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Assessment of a Polygenic Risk Score for Colorectal Cancer to Predict Risk of Lynch Syndrome Colorectal Cancer.

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Assessment of a Polygenic Risk Score for Colorectal Cancer to Predict Risk of Lynch Syndrome Colorectal Cancer.

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