Impact of environmental factors in predicting daily severity scores of atopic dermatitis.
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ABSTRACT: Background
Atopic dermatitis (AD) is a chronic inflammatory skin disease that affects 20% of children worldwide. Environmental factors including weather and air pollutants have been shown to be associated with AD symptoms. However, the time-dependent nature of such a relationship has not been adequately investigated. This paper aims to assess whether real-time data on weather and air pollutants can make short-term prediction of AD severity scores.Methods
Using longitudinal data from a published panel study of 177 paediatric patients followed up daily for 17 months, we developed a statistical machine learning model to predict daily AD severity scores for individual study participants. Exposures consisted of daily meteorological variables and concentrations of air pollutants, and outcomes were daily recordings of scores for six AD signs. We developed a mixed-effect autoregressive ordinal logistic regression model, validated it in a forward-chaining setting and evaluated the effects of the environmental factors on the predictive performance.Results
Our model successfully made daily prediction of the AD severity scores, and the predictive performance was not improved by the addition of measured environmental factors. Potential short-term influence of environmental exposures on daily AD severity scores was outweighed by the underlying persistence of preceding scores.Conclusions
Our data does not offer enough evidence to support a claim that weather or air pollutants can make short-term prediction of AD signs. Inferences about the magnitude of the effect of environmental factors on AD severity scores require consideration of their time-dependent dynamic nature.
SUBMITTER: Hurault G
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8099209 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:ImportanceKnowledge about factors associated with persistence of atopic dermatitis (AD) during childhood is sparse.ObjectiveTo explore heritable, environmental, and clinical factors associated with persistent AD based on 13 years' follow-up of an at-risk birth cohort.Design, setting, and participantsIn the Copenhagen Prospective Study on Asthma in Childhood 2000 (COPSAC2000) clinical birth cohort study, 411 children born to mothers with asthma were followed up until the age of 13 years at a clinical research unit in Copenhagen, Denmark, from August 1998 to June 2015. Atopic dermatitis was diagnosed prospectively during close clinical follow-up according to the criteria of Hanifin and Rajka. Data were gathered on parental history, social circumstances, and environmental factors through parent interviews. The cohort was followed up with biannual visits to the clinic until the age of 7 years and were seen again at age 13 years. Data were analyzed from August 2015 to January 2018.Main outcomes and measuresAtopic dermatitis was diagnosed using Hanifin and Rajka major and minor criteria, and severity was determined by Scoring Atopic Dermatitis (SCORAD) index, with possible scores from 0 to 83, with higher scores indicating more severe AD.ResultsOf the 411 children in the cohort, 203 (49.4%) were male and 186 (45.3%) were diagnosed with AD before the age of 13 years; 40 of 166 children (24.1%) had persistent AD at the age of 13 years, and 126 (76.0%) experienced remission. Factors associated with persistent AD to age 13 years included heritability, environmental exposures, asthma and allergic sensitization, clinical presentation at the time of diagnosis, the composition of Hanifin and Rajka diagnostic minor criteria, and AD severity according to SCORAD. A higher AD genetic risk score was associated with an increased the risk for persistent AD (multivariable odds ratio [OR], 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-2.9; P = .02), together with paternal asthma (multivariable OR, 3.7; 95% CI, 1.2-11.5; P = .02); paternal AD (multivariable OR, 6.2; 95% CI, 1.17-23.2; P = .007), and higher social circumstances (multivariable OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.0-2.5; P = .05). Particular clinical presentations at time of diagnosis were also associated with specific minor criteria of Hanifin and Rajka (Dennie-Morgan and anterior neck folds, white dermographism, intolerance to wool, itching when sweating, tendency to skin infection, food intolerance, and food allergy) (OR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.1-6.2; P = .03) as well as increased severity at diagnosis (OR, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.0-1.1; P = .007).Conclusions and relevanceIn a birth cohort of children at risk for asthma who received close clinical follow-up to age 13 years, known genetic AD risk variants, paternal asthma and AD, high social circumstances, diagnostic minor criteria, and disease severity at onset were associated with persistent AD at age 13 years. These findings may be applied in clinical practice to evaluate the likely disease course for individual patients.
| S-EPMC6439574 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThere is no objective test that can unequivocally confirm the diagnosis of atopic dermatitis (AD), and no uniform clinical definition.ObjectivesTo investigate to what extent operational definitions of AD cause fluctuation in the prevalence estimates and the associated risk factors.MethodsWe first reviewed the operational definitions of AD used in the literature. We then tested the impact of the choice of the most common definitions of 'cases' and 'controls' on AD prevalence estimates and associated risk factors (including filaggrin mutations) among children aged 5 years in two population-based birth cohorts: the Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study (MAAS) and Asthma in Ashford. Model performance was measured by the percentage of children within an area of clinical indecision (defined as having a posterior probability of AD between 25% and 60%).ResultsWe identified 59 different definitions of AD across 45 reviewed studies. Of those, we chose four common 'case' definitions and two definitions of 'controls'. The prevalence estimates using different case definitions ranged between 22% and 33% in MAAS, and between 12% and 22% in Ashford. The area of clinical indecision ranged from 32% to 44% in MAAS and from 9% to 29% in Ashford. Depending on the case definition used, the associations with filaggrin mutations varied, with odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) ranging from 1·8 (1·1-2·9) to 2·2 (1·3-3·7) in MAAS and 1·7 (0·8-3·7) to 2·3 (1·2-4·5) in Ashford. Associations with filaggrin mutations also differed when using the same 'case' definition but different definitions of 'controls'.ConclusionsUse of different definitions of AD results in substantial differences in prevalence estimates, the performance of prediction models and association with risk factors. What's already known about this topic? There is no objective test that can unequivocally confirm the diagnosis of atopic dermatitis (AD) and no uniform clinical definition. This results in different definitions utilized in AD studies, raising concerns on the generalizability of the results and comparability across different studies. What does this study add? This study has shown that different definitions of 'cases' and 'controls' have major impacts upon prevalence estimates and associations with risk factors, including genetics, in two population-based birth cohorts. These findings suggest the importance of developing a consensus on AD definitions of both 'controls' and 'cases' to minimize biases in studies.
| S-EPMC6916614 | biostudies-literature
Project description: Not available
| S-EPMC7754122 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background/objectivesCrisaborole ointment, 2%, is a nonsteroidal phosphodiesterase 4 inhibitor for the treatment of mild-to-moderate atopic dermatitis (AD). This pooled post hoc analysis of two phase 3 trials (NCT02118766, NCT02118792) assessed improvement and time to improvement in Investigator's Static Global Assessment (ISGA) and Severity of Pruritus Scale (SPS) outcomes in pediatric patients with mild-to-moderate AD.MethodsPatients aged ?2 years were randomly assigned 2:1 to receive twice-daily crisaborole or vehicle for 28 days. Patients aged 2-17 years were pooled for this analysis. Proportions of patients and time to achieving ISGA success (clear [0] or almost clear [1] with ?2-grade improvement from baseline), ISGA clear/almost clear, ?1-grade improvement in ISGA, SPS success (SPS score ?1 with ?1-grade improvement), or ?1-grade improvement in SPS score were analyzed and stratified by baseline ISGA.ResultsAt first postbaseline assessment (day 8), significantly higher proportions of crisaborole- than vehicle-treated patients achieved ISGA success, ISGA clear/almost clear, ?1-grade ISGA improvement, SPS success, or ?1-grade improvement in SPS regardless of baseline ISGA. Differences were significantly greater over time for all outcomes for patients with moderate baseline ISGA and numerically greater for those with mild baseline ISGA. Median times to ISGA and SPS outcomes were shorter for crisaborole versus vehicle.ConclusionImprovement in ISGA and SPS outcomes were observed with crisaborole in pediatric patients with mild-to-moderate baseline AD.
| S-EPMC7756882 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Atopic dermatitis (AD) is a chronic and relapsing disease affecting an increasing number of patients. Usually starting in early childhood, AD can be the initial step of the so-called atopic march, i.e. followed by allergic rhinitis and allergic asthma. AD is a paradigmatic genetically complex disease involving gene-gene and gene-environment interactions. Genetic linkage analysis as well as association studies have identified several candidate genes linked to either the epidermal barrier function or to the immune system. Stress, bacterial or viral infections, the exposure to aero- or food-allergens as well as hygienic factors are discussed to aggravate symptoms of AD. Athough generalized Th2-deviated immune response is closely linked to the condition of AD, the skin disease itself is a biphasic inflammation with an initial Th2 phase and while chronic lesions harbour Th0/Th1 cells. Regulatory T cells have been shown to be altered in AD as well as the innate immune system in the skin. The main treatment-goals include the elimination of inflammation and infection, preserving and restoring the barrier function and controlling exacerbating factors. The overall future strategy in AD will be aimed to control skin inflammation by a more proactive management in order to potentially prevent the emergence of sensitization as well as to design customized management based on genetic and pathophysiologic information.
| S-EPMC2883413 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Importance:Skin microbiome correlates with disease severity for lesional and nonlesional skin, indicating a global influence of atopic dermatitis (AD). A relation between skin microbiome and filaggrin gene (FLG) mutations proposes a possible association between skin microbiome and host genetics. Objectives:To assess skin and nasal microbiome diversity and composition in patients with AD and compare with healthy controls, and to investigate the microbiome in relation to disease severity and FLG mutations in patients with AD. Design, Setting, and Participants:An observational case-control study of 45 adult healthy controls and 56 adult patients with AD was carried out from January 2015 to June 2015 in a tertiary referral center, Department of Dermatology, Bispebjerg Hospital, Denmark. Exposures:Bacterial swabs were taken from patients with AD (lesional skin, nonlesional skin, and anterior nares) and from healthy controls (nonlesional skin and anterior nares). Eczema severity was assessed and FLG mutations noted. Bacterial DNA was extracted from swabs, and V3-V4 16S rDNA regions amplified with PCR. Samples were analyzed at Statens Serum Institut September 2015 to September 2016. Bioinformatics analyses of the microbiome were analyzed using R statistical software (version 3.3.1, R Foundation Inc). Main Outcomes and Measures:Skin microbiomes were investigated using next-generation sequencing targeting 16S ribosomal RNA. Results:Microbiome alpha diversity was lower in patients with AD compared with healthy controls in nonlesional skin (effect size, 0.710; 95% CI, 0.27-1.15; P?=?.002), lesional skin (effect size, 0.728; 95% CI, 0.35-1.33; P?=?.001), and nose (effect size, 1.111; 95% CI, 0.48-0.94; P?<?.001). Alpha diversity was inversely correlated with disease severity for lesional (effect size, 0.530; 95% CI, 0.23-1.64; P?=?.02) and nonlesional skin (effect size, 0.451; 95% CI, 0.04-2.44; P?=?.04) in patients with AD. Microbiome composition in AD nonlesional skin was linked to FLG mutations. Conclusions and Relevance:An altered microbiome composition in patients with AD in nonlesional skin, lesional skin, as well as nose, suggests a global influence of AD. Microbiome composition in AD nonlesional skin is associated with FLG mutations, proposing a possible association between the skin microbiome and host genetics.
| S-EPMC5885821 | biostudies-other
Project description:INTRODUCTION:Atopic dermatitis (AD) is the most common skin disorder in young children worldwide, with a high impact on morbidity and quality of life. To date, no prospective study has been published on the incidence and potential predictors of AD in South East Asian populations. The Indonesian Prospective Study of Atopic Dermatitis in Infants (ISADI) will address the genetic, metabolic and dietary characteristics of mothers and their offspring, as well as potential determinants of AD within the first year of infant life. METHODS AND ANALYSIS:This prospective study will be undertaken in about 400 infants to investigate the direct and indirect effects of filaggrin (FLG) gene mutations, the genetic variants of FADS1, FADS2 and FADS3 and the role of long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (LCPUFA) on the development of AD. We will use standardised protocols for subject recruitment, umbilical artery plasma analysis, buccal cell sampling for genotyping, fatty acid analysis, physical exams, 3-day food-intake recall of mothers and children, as well as comprehensive questionnaires on environmental, socioeconomic and AD-related factors, including family history. Monthly monitoring by telephone and physical exams every 3?months will be carried out to assess participants' anthropometry, medical history and incidence of AD diagnosis during the first year of life. Hypotheses-driven analyses of quality-controlled dietary, genetic and metabolic data will be performed with state-of-the-art statistical methods (eg, AD-event history, haplotype, dietary or metabolic factor analysis). Direct and indirect effects of genetics and LCPUFA in buccal cell and cord plasma glycerophospholipids as potential mediators of inflammation on AD development will be evaluated by path analysis. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION:The Permanent Medical Research Ethics Committee in Medicine and Health/Faculty of Medicine Universitas Indonesia/Dr Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital (No. 47/H2.F1/ETIK/2014) approved the study protocol (extended by the letter no. 148/UN2.F1/ETIK/2015). We aim to disseminate our findings via publication in an international journal with high impact factor.
| S-EPMC5353254 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The skin microbiota of atopic dermatitis (AD) patients is characterized by increased Staphylococcus aureus colonization, which exacerbates disease symptoms and has been linked to reduced bacterial diversity. Skin bacterial communities in AD patients have mostly been described at family and genus levels, while species-level characterization has been limited. In this study, we investigated the role of the bacteria belonging to the Staphylococcus genus using targeted sequencing of the tuf gene with genus-specific primers. We compared staphylococcal communities on lesional and non-lesional skin of AD patients, as well as AD patients with healthy controls, and determined the absolute abundance of bacteria present at each site. We observed that the staphylococcal community, bacterial alpha diversity, and bacterial densities were similar on lesional and non-lesional skin, whereas AD severity was associated with significant changes in staphylococcal composition. Increased S. aureus, Staphylococcus capitis, and Staphylococcus lugdunensis abundances were correlated with increased severity. Conversely, Staphylococcus hominis abundance was negatively correlated with severity. Furthermore, S. hominis relative abundance was reduced on AD skin compared to healthy skin. In conclusion, various staphylococcal species appear to be important for skin health.
| S-EPMC7921937 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Scoring atopic dermatitis (AD) severity with the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI) in an objective and reproducible manner is challenging. Automated measurement of erythema, papulation, excoriation, and lichenification severity using images has not yet been investigated. Our aim was to determine whether convolutional neural networks (CNNs) could assess erythema, papulation, excoriation, and lichenification severity at a level of competence comparable to dermatologists. We created a standard dataset of 8,000 clinical images showing AD. Each component of the EASI was scored from 0 to 3 by three dermatologists. We trained four CNNs (ResNet V1, ResNet V2, GoogLeNet, and VGG-Net) with the image dataset and determined which CNN was the most suitable for erythema, papulation, excoriation, and lichenification scoring. The brightness of the images in each dataset was adjusted to - 80% to + 80% of the original brightness (i.e., 9 levels by 20%) to investigate if the CNNs accurately measured scores if image brightness levels were changed. Compared to the dermatologists' scoring, accuracy rates of the CNNs were 99.17% for erythema, 93.17% for papulation, 96.00% for excoriation, and 97.17% for lichenification. CNNs trained with brightness-adjusted images achieved a high accuracy without the need to standardize camera settings. These results suggested that CNNs perform at level of competence comparable to dermatologists for scoring erythema, papulation, excoriation, and lichenification severity.
| S-EPMC7961024 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundSeveral patient-reported outcomes have been used to assess the burden of atopic dermatitis (AD). Some are disease specific, such as the Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure (POEM), while others pertain to itch, for example the numerical rating scale (NRS)-itch, ItchyQoL and 5-D itch, or dermatological disease in general, for example the Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI). Development of severity strata is essential for proper interpretability of these assessments.ObjectivesTo confirm previously developed strata for POEM, DLQI and raw ItchyQoL, and develop strata for the NRS-itch, mean ItchyQoL and 5-D itch scale for use in adults with AD.MethodsSelf-administered questionnaires were completed by 210 adults with AD in a dermatology practice setting. Strata were selected using an anchoring approach based on patient-reported disease severity.ResultsWe confirmed the existing strata for POEM (mild 0-7, moderate 8-16, severe 17-28; κ = 0·440), DLQI (mild 0-5, moderate 6-10, severe 11-30; κ = 0·398) and NRS-itch (mild 0-3, moderate 4-6, severe 7-10; κ = 0·499). However, the preferred band for raw ItchyQoL was mild 22-58, moderate 59-74 and severe 75-110 (κ = 0·379) and for mean ItchyQoL, mild 1-2·9, moderate 3·0-3·9, severe 4·0-5·0 (κ = 0·374). The preferred band for 5-D itch scale was mild 0-11, moderate 12-17 and severe 18-25 (κ = 0·331).ConclusionsExisting strata for POEM and DLQI performed well in adult AD. Previously reported strata for visual analogue scale-itch performed best for NRS-itch. We identified banding for the raw ItchyQoL for our AD population that varies slightly from the banding published for a more heterogeneous population. Finally, we proposed strata for mean ItchyQoL and 5-D itch scale in adult AD.
| S-EPMC5906166 | biostudies-literature