A validated model for predicting live birth after embryo transfer.
Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Awadalla MS
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8144418 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BackgroundStudy objectives included the development of a practical nomogram for predicting live birth following frozen-thawed embryo transfers in ovulatory women.MethodsTotally, 2884 patients with regular menstrual cycles in our center were retrospectively enrolled. In an 8:2 ratio, we randomly assigned patients to training and validation cohorts. Then we identified risk factors by multivariate logistic regression and constructed nomogram. Finally, receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, calibration curve and decision curve analysis were performed to assess the calibration and discriminative ability of the nomogram.ResultsWe identified five variables which were related to live birth, including age, anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH), protocol of frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET), stage of embryos and amount of high-quality embryos. We then constructed nomograms that predict the probabilities of live birth by using those five parameters. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis (ROC) showed that the area under the curve (AUC) for live birth was 0.666 (95% CI: 0.644-0.688) in the training cohort. The AUC in the subsequent validation cohorts was 0.669 (95% CI, 0.625-0.713). The clinical practicability of this nomogram was demonstrated through calibration curve analysis and decision curve analysis.ConclusionsOur nomogram provides a visual and simple tool in predicting live birth in ovulatory women who received FET. It could also provide advice and guidance for physicians and patients on decision-making during the FET procedure.
| S-EPMC11348591 | biostudies-literature
Project description:PurposeMosaicism is a prevalent characteristic of human preimplantation embryos. This retrospective cohort study aimed to investigate pregnancy outcomes after transfer of mosaic or euploid embryos.MethodsThe embryos, which had been transferred as "euploidy," were processed using array-based comparative genomic hybridization (aCGH). The original aCGH charts of the transferred embryos were reanalyzed. Mosaic and control euploid embryos were defined according to log2 ratio calls.ResultsOverall, 102 embryos were determined to be mosaic, of which 101 were estimated to harbor no more than 50% aneuploid mosaicism. Additionally, 268 euploid embryos were matched as controls. The rates of live birth (46.6% vs. 59.1%, odds ratio (OR) 0.60, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.38-0.95), and biochemical pregnancy (65.7% vs. 76.1%, OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.37-0.99) per transfer cycle were significantly lower after mosaic embryo transfer than after euploid embryo transfer. The rates of clinical pregnancy and pregnancy loss and the risks of obstetric outcomes did not differ significantly between the two groups.ConclusionsCompared with euploid embryo transfer, mosaic embryo transfer is associated with a lower rate of live birth, which is mainly attributed to a decreased rate of conception. However, as mosaic embryo transfer yielded a live birth rate of 46.6%, patients without euploid embryos could be counseled regarding this alternative option.
| S-EPMC6338591 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Many practices are moving away from cleavage-stage transfer in favor of blastocyst transfer. The purpose of this study is to evaluate how the overall live birth rate for fresh IVF cycles may increase by optimizing the day of transfer for each patient.This is a retrospective cohort study of 1225 first fresh autologous IVF cycles performed between May 2012 and November 2013. Stepwise logistic regression was used to determine characteristics associated with live birth following cleavage-stage versus blastocyst transfer. The optimal transfer day (i.e., the day that maximized the odds of live birth) was determined for each patient, and the actual live birth rate was compared with the projected rate had each patient undergone transfer on her optimal day.With transfer on the optimal day for each patient, the overall birth rate would have increased from its actual value of 34.8 % to a projected 43.0 %, a 24 % increase. The majority of this increase (21 %) was due to optimization of patients who underwent cleavage-stage transfer but had a higher projected birth rate from blastocyst transfer. These patients were older (37.8 versus 36.0 years, p?<?0.01) and had more follicles ?18 mm than patients who should have remained with a cleavage-stage transfer.A model can be built enabling patient-specific identification of optimal transfer day; within this discovery cohort, such optimization was estimated to increase live birth following a fresh transfer by 24 %. This study suggests blastocyst transfer should be more widely offered; however, there remain patients for whom a cleavage-stage transfer may yield better outcomes.
| S-EPMC5125155 | biostudies-literature
Project description: Not available
| S-EPMC9510053 | biostudies-literature
Project description:In recent years, the freeze-all strategy has been widely adopted and applied. However, with the exception of age, the factors that affect the outcomes of frozen embryo transfer are still unclear. Therefore, the identification and mitigation of factors that influence the live birth rate after frozen embryo transfer is a good way to increase the "take-home-baby" rate of frozen embryo transfer. The objective of this study was to identify factors affecting the live birth rate after cleavage-stage frozen embryo transfer in young ovulatory women. This was a secondary analysis from a previously published multicenter randomized controlled trial (ChiCTR-IOR-14005406) that was originally designed to compare the live birth rate and perinatal complications after fresh embryo transfer to those after frozen embryo transfer among ovulatory women. This study was carried out using a portion of the data from the original randomized controlled trial, which included 917 young women who underwent cleavage-stage frozen embryo transfer. The 16 clinical candidate variables potentially affecting the live birth rate after frozen embryo transfer were analyzed. Univariable analysis and multivariable analysis were performed to assess the relationship between predictive factors and outcomes, with the aim of identifying independent predictors of live birth after frozen embryo transfer. In this study, the live birth rate was 53.0% (486/917). Three independent predictors were ultimately identified as the main factors affecting the live birth rate of ovulatory young women. Infertility duration [odds ratio (OR): 0.933, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.876-0.995, p = 0.033], endometrial thickness before frozen embryo transfer (OR: 3.375, 95% CI: 1.556-7.321 p = 0.002), and the number of embryos transferred (OR: 2.653, 95% CI:1.226-5,743, p = 0.013) were the major factors contributing to the live birth rate after cleavage-stage frozen embryo transfer among young women. The cut-off point for infertility duration was 4.5 years, and the cut-off point for endometrial thickness was 0.89 cm. Infertility duration, endometrial thickness and number of embryos transferred might affect the live birth rate after frozen embryo transfer among young women. This result could help inform clinical decisions and counseling to increase the live birth rate after frozen embryo transfer among young women.
| S-EPMC7105776 | biostudies-literature
Project description:PurposeTo evaluate whether endometrial compaction using sequential transvaginal ultrasound is associated with improved live birth rates in medicated single euploid frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycles.MethodsProspective observational cohort study at a private fertility clinic. Patients who underwent FETs between January and December 2018 were assessed for inclusion. The change in endometrial thickness between the end of the estrogen phase and the day before embryo transfer, measured by sequential transvaginal ultrasound, was used to categorize cycles with compaction (≥ 5%), no change, or expansion (≥ 5%). FET cycle outcomes were then compared between groups. The primary outcome was live birth. Secondary outcomes include clinical pregnancy rate and rate of spontaneous abortion.ResultsOf the 259 single euploid medicated FETs performed during the study period, only 43/259 (16.6%) of the cycles demonstrated ≥ 5% compaction, whereas 152/259 (58.7%) expanded and 64/259 (24.7%) were unchanged. Live birth rates did not differ between cycles with compaction (58.1%), no change (54.7%), or expansion (58.6%), p = 0.96. Clinical pregnancy and spontaneous abortion rates were also similar between groups.ConclusionThe vast majority of cycles did not demonstrate endometrial compaction. Endometrial compaction is not associated with live birth rate or spontaneous abortion rate in medicated single euploid FETs in this cohort.
| S-EPMC7884553 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Do differences in blood pressure within the normal range have any impacts on the live birth rate (primary outcome) or biochemical pregnancy rate (beta-hCG positivity), clinical pregnancy rate (heart beating in ultrasound), abortion rate and ectopic pregnancy rate (secondary outcomes) of fresh embryo transfer in women undergoing their IVF/ICSI treatment? Even rather small differences in baseline blood pressure in women with normal blood pressure according to current guidelines undergoing fresh embryo transfer after IVF/ICSI affects substantially the live birth rate. Pre-pregnancy hypertension is a well-known risk factor for adverse pregnancy events such as preeclampsia, fetal growth restriction, placental abruption and adverse neonatal events. It is likewise well known that hypertension during pregnancy in women undergoing ART is associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. However, whether blood pressure at the high end of the normal range has an impact on ART is unknown. It is a prospective observational cohort study based on a single IVF center between January 2017 and December 2018. Two thousand four hundred and eighteen women with normal blood pressure undergoing fresh embryo transfer after IVF/ICSI at the Reproductive and Genetic Hospital of CITIC-Xiangya were enrolled in this study. Blood pressure was measured at the first visit when women consulted the IVF center due to infertility. In women with a successful pregnancy outcome (1487 live births out of 2418 women undergoing fresh embryo transfer after IVF/ICSI), systolic blood pressure (SBP) (114.1 ± 9.48 mmHg versus 115.4 ± 9.8 mmHg, P = 0.001) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (74.5 ± 7.5 mmHg versus 75.3 ± 7.34 mmHg, P = 0.006) were lower than in those who did not achieve live births. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that SBP (OR: 0.987, 95% CI: 0.979-0.996, P = 0.004) and DBP (OR: 0.986, 95% CI: 0.975-0.998, P = 0.016) were negatively associated with live birth. Similarly, SBP was significantly negatively related to clinical pregnancy rate (OR: 0.990, 95% CI: 0.981-0.999, P = 0.033), while for DBP the association was not statistically significant (OR: 0.994, 95% CI: 0.982-1.006, P = 0.343). However, both SBP and DBP were positively associated with miscarriage OR: 1.021 (95% CI: 1.004-1.037, P = 0.013) and OR: 1.027 (95% CI: 1.005-1.049, P = 0.014), respectively. Both SBP and DBP were unrelated to biochemical pregnancy (hCG positivity), implantation and ectopic pregnancy rate. Whether lowering blood pressure before initiating ART treatment in women with SBP or DBP higher than the thresholds defined in our study will confer a benefit is unknown. Also, we cannot exclude bias due to different ethnicities. Moreover, participants in our study only received fresh embryo transfer, whether the results could apply to frozen embryo transfer is unclear. Our study challenges the current blood pressure goals in women undergoing fresh embryo transfer after IVF/ICSI. Further studies are needed to figure out the mechanism and effective approach to increase IVF/ICSI pregnancy outcomes. Hunan Provincial Grant for Innovative Province Construction (2019SK4012). The authors declare that there were no conflicts of interest in this study. N/A.
| S-EPMC9627811 | biostudies-literature
Project description:PurposeTo study the relationship between blastomere number and pregnancy outcomes of day 3 embryo transfers.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study included 2237 fresh single day 3 embryo transfer cycles from October 2013 to November 2020. Patients were divided into six groups according to the blastomere number on day 3: ≤ 6-cell (n = 100), 7-cell (n = 207), 8-cell (n = 1522), 9-cell (n = 187), 10-cell (n = 91) and ≥ 11-cell (n = 130). Generalized estimating equation analysis based on multivariate logistic regression model was performed to adjust for potential confounders.ResultsThe live birth rate (LBR) was 19.0%, 27.1%, 38.9%, 32.1%, 44.0% and 53.8% for the ≤ 6-cell, 7-cell, 8-cell, 9-cell, 10-cell and ≥ 11-cell groups, respectively (P < 0.001). Specifically, the ≤ 6-cell group was associated with reduced LBR compared with the 8-cell group (aOR 0.50, 95% CI 0.29-0.86; P = 0.013). Conversely, the odds of live birth were significantly increased in patients transferred with 10-cell embryos (aOR 1.62, 95% CI 1.03-2.53; P = 0.035) and ≥ 11-cell embryos (aOR 2.14, 95% CI 1.47-3.11; P < 0.001) when using the 8-cell embryo group as reference. Similar trends were also observed in the rates of positive hCG test and clinical pregnancy, while no significant differences were detected in miscarriage risk.ConclusionIncreased blastomere number was associated with higher LBR in fresh single day 3 embryo transfer cycles. This finding questions the consensus on the reduced developmental potential of fast-cleaving embryos. Further large prospective studies are warranted for confirmation.
| S-EPMC8917733 | biostudies-literature
Project description:PurposeClinical pregnancy rate after IVF with eSET stagnates between 30 and 40%. In order to increase pregnancy and live birth rates, multiple embryo transfer is still common practice. Providing additional non-invasive tools to choose the competent embryo for transfer could avoid multiple pregnancy and improve time to pregnancy. Cumulus mRNA analysis with quantitative PCR (QPCR) is a non-invasive approach. However, so far, no gene sets have been validated in prospective interventional studies.MethodsA prospective interventional single-center pilot study with two matched controls (day-3 and day-5 eSET) was performed in 96 patients consenting to the analysis of the cumulus-corona of their oocytes. All patients were super-ovulated for ICSI and eSET at day 3. All oocytes were denuded individually and cumulus was analyzed by quantitative PCR using three predictive genes (EFNB2, SASH1, CAMK1D) and two housekeeping genes (UBC and β2M). Patients (n = 62) with 2 or more day-3 embryos (good or excellent morphology) had their embryo chosen following the normalized expression of the genes.ResultsCorona testing significantly increased the clinical pregnancy and live births rates (63% and 55%) compared to single embryo transfer (eSET) on day 3 (27% and 23%: p < 0.001) and day 5 (43% and 39%: p = 0.022 and p = 0.050) fresh transfer cycle controls with morphology-only selection. Time-to-pregnancy was significantly reduced, regardless of the number of good-quality embryos available on day 3.ConclusionCombining standard morphology scoring and cumulus/corona gene expression analysis increases day-3 eSET results and significantly reduces the time to pregnancy.Trial registration numberThis is not an RCT study and was only registered by the ethical committee of the University Hospital UZBRUSSEL of the Vrije Universiteit Brussel VUB (BUN: 143201318000).
| S-EPMC6439096 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveAssess the effect of class III (body mass index [BMI, kg/m2] 40-49.9) and class IV obesity (≥ 50) on clinical pregnancy and live birth outcomes after first oocyte retrieval and fresh embryo transfer cycle.DesignCohort study SETTING: Academic center PATIENTS: Patients undergoing their first oocyte retrieval with planned fresh embryo transfer in our clinic between 01/01/2012 and 12/31/2018. Patients were stratified by BMI: 18.5-24.9 (n = 4913), 25-29.9 (n = 1566) 30-34.9 (n = 559), 35-39.9 (n = 218), and ≥ 40 (n = 114).InterventionNone MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Live birth rate RESULTS: Following embryo transfer, there were no differences in pregnancy rates across all BMI groups (p value, linear trend = 0.86). However among pregnant patients, as BMI increased, a significant trend of a decreased live birth rate was observed (p value, test for linear trend = 0.004). Additionally, as BMI increased, a significant trend of an increased miscarriage rate was observed (p value, linear trend = < 0.001). Compared to the normal-weight cohort, women with a BMI ≥ 40 had a significantly higher rate of cancelled fresh transfers after retrieval (18.4% vs. 8.2%, OR 2.51; 95%CI 1.55-4.08). Among singleton deliveries, a significant trend of an increased c-section rate was identified as the BMI increased (p value, linear trend = <0.001).ConclusionOverall, patients with a BMI > 40 have worse IVF treatment outcomes compared to normal-weight patients. After embryo transfer, their pregnancy rate is comparable to normal-weight women; however, their miscarriage rate is higher, leading to a lower live birth rate for pregnant women in this population. Patients with a BMI > 40 have a c-section rate that is 50% higher than normal-weight patients.
| S-EPMC7884488 | biostudies-literature