Dataset Information

Change in triglyceride-glucose index predicts the risk of cardiovascular disease in the general population: a prospective cohort study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Previous studies has shown a significant relationship between baseline triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and subsequent cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the effect of longitudinal changes in TyG index on the risk of CVD remains uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the association between change in TyG index and the risk of CVD in the general population.

Methods

The current study included 62,443 Chinese population who were free of CVD. The TyG index was calculated as ln [fasting triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2], and change in TyG index was defined as the difference between the TyG index in 2010 and that in 2006. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models and restricted cubic spline analysis were used to examine the association between change in TyG index and the risk of CVD.

Results

During a median follow-up of 7.01 years, 2530 (4.05%) incident CVD occurred, including 2018 (3.23%) incident stroke and 545 (0.87%) incident myocardial infarction (MI). The risk of developing CVD increased with the quartile of change in TyG index, after adjustment for multiple potential confounders, the hazard ratios for the Q4 group versus the Q1 group were 1.37 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-1.54) for the overall CVD, 1.38 (95% CI, 1.19-1.60) for stroke, and 1.36 (95% CI, 1.05-1.76) for MI. Restricted cubic spline analysis also showed a cumulative increase in the risk of CVD with increases in the magnitude of change in TyG index. The addition of change in TyG index to a baseline risk model for CVD improved the C-statistics (P = 0.0097), integrated discrimination improvement value (P < 0.0001), and category-free net reclassification improvement value (P < 0.0001). Similar results were observed for stroke and MI.

Conclusions

Substantial changes in TyG index independently predict the risk of CVD in the general population. Monitoring long-term changes in TyG may assist with in the early identification of individuals at high risk of CVD.

SUBMITTER: Wang A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8157734 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Similar Datasets

Project description:BackgroundPrediabetes has become a pandemic. This study aimed to identify a better predictor for the incidence of prediabetes, which we hypothesize to be the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a simplified insulin resistance index. We compared its predictive value with the other common risk factors of prediabetes.MethodsThe participants of this analysis were derived from the Risk Evaluation of cAncers in Chinese diabeTic Individuals: a lONgitudinal (REACTION) study. A total of 4543 participants without initial prediabetes or diabetes were followed up for 3.25 years. Using multivariate logistic regression model, the associations between baseline obesity, lipid profiles and non-insulin-based insulin resistance indices with the incidence of prediabetes were analyzed. To assess which is better predictor for the incidence of prediabetes, the area under curves (AUCs) calculated from the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were used to evaluate and compare with the predictive value of the different indices.ResultsDuring the 3.25 years, 1071 out of the 4543 participants developed prediabetes. Using the logistic regression analysis adjusted for some potential confounders, the risk of incidence of prediabetes increased 1.38 (1.28-1.48) fold for each 1-SD increment of TyG index. The predictive ability (assessed by AUCs) of TyG index for predicting prediabetes was 0.60 (0.58-0.62), which was superior to the indices of obesity, lipid profiles and other non-insulin-based insulin resistance indices. Although the predictive ability of the TyG index was overall similar to fasting plasma glucose (FPG) (P = 0.4340), TyG index trended higher than FPG in females (0.62 (0.59-0.64) vs. 0.59 (0.57-0.61), P = 0.0872) and obese subjects (0.59 (0.57-0.62) vs. 0.57 (0.54-0.59), P = 0.1313). TyG index had superior predictive ability for the prediabetic phenotype with isolated impaired glucose tolerance compared with FPG (P < 0.05) and other indices. Furthermore, TyG index significantly improved the C statistic (0.62 (0.60-0.64)), integrated discrimination improvement (1.89% (1.44-2.33%)) and net reclassification index (28.76% (21.84-35.67%)) of conventional model in predicting prediabetes than other indices.ConclusionsTyG could be a potential predictor to identify the high risk individuals of prediabetes.

Project description:BackgroundCoronary bifurcation lesion, as a complex coronary lesion, is associated with higher risk of long-term poor prognosis than non-bifurcation lesions. The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index has been shown to predict cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the prognostic value of the TyG index in patients with bifurcation lesions who are at high risk of CV events remains undetermined. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the association between the TyG index and CV events in patients with bifurcation lesions.MethodsA total of 4530 consecutive patients with angiography-proven CAD and bifurcation lesions were included in this study from January 2017 to December 2018. The TyG index was calculated as Ln [fasting triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL)/2]. Patients were assigned into 3 groups according to TyG tertiles (T) (T1: <8.633; T2: 8.633-9.096 and T3: ≥9.096). The primary endpoint was CV events, including CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction and nonfatal stroke at 3-year follow-up. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis, Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard models were used to investigate the associations between the TyG index and study endpoints.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 3.1 years, 141 (3.1%) CV events occurred. RCS analysis demonstrated a linear relationship between the TyG index and events after adjusting for age and male sex (non-linear P = 0.262). After multivariable adjustments, elevated TyG index (both T2 and T3) was significantly associated with the risk of CV events (hazard ratio [HR], 1.68; 95% confidence interval [CI],1.06-2.65; HR, 2.10; 95%CI, 1.28-3.47, respectively). When study patients were further stratified according to glycemic status, higher TyG index was associated with significantly higher risk of CV events in diabetic patients after adjusting for confounding factors (T3 vs. T1; HR, 2.68; 95%CI, 1.17-6.11). In addition, subgroup analysis revealed consistent associations of the TyG index with 3-year CV events across various subgroups. Furthermore, adding the TyG index to the original model significantly improved the predictive performance.ConclusionsHigh TyG index was associated with CV events in patients with bifurcation lesions, suggesting the TyG index could help in risk stratification and prognosis in this population.

Project description:BackgroundIt has been suggested that the baseline triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a simple surrogate measure for insulin resistance, is significantly associated with the occurrence of stroke. Nevertheless, the impact of longitudinal patterns of TyG on the stroke risk in hypertensive patients is still unknown. Hence, this study aimed to investigate the association between TyG index trajectory and stroke risk among hypertensive patients.MethodsThis prospective study included 19,924 hypertensive patients from the Kailuan Study who underwent three waves survey and were free of myocardial infarction, cancer and stroke before or during 2010. The TyG index was calculated as ln [fasting triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL)/2], and latent mixed modelling was used to identify the trajectory of TyG during the exposure period (2006-2010). Furthermore, the Cox proportional hazard models were applied to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for incident stroke of different trajectory groups.ResultsFive distinct TyG trajectory were identified during 2006-2010: low-stable (n = 2483; range, 8.03-8.06), moderate low-stable (n = 9666; range, 8.58-8.57), moderate high-stable (n = 5759; range, 9.16-9.09), elevated-stable (n = 1741; range, 9.79-9.75), and elevated-increasing (n = 275; range, 10.38-10.81). During the median follow-up of 9.97 years, 1,519 cases of incident stroke were identified, including 1,351 with ischemic stroke and 215 with hemorrhage stroke. After adjusting for confounding variables, the HR and 95% CI of stroke were 2.21 (1.49,3.28) for the elevated-increasing group, 1.43 (1.13,1.83) for the elevated-stable group, 1.35 (1.10,1.64) for the moderate high-stable group, 1.26 (1.06,1.52) for the moderate low-stable group, respectively, when compare with the low-stable group. Similar results were observed in ischemic stroke, but a significant association was not found between TyG trajectory and risk of hemorrhage stroke.ConclusionA long-term elevated TyG index in hypertensive patients is associated with an increased risk of stroke, especially ischemic stroke. This finding implies that regular monitoring of TyG index may assist in identifying individuals at a higher risk of stroke among patients with hypertension.