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Alpha-fetoprotein response at different time-points is associated with efficacy of nivolumab monotherapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

ABSTRACT: Nivolumab monotherapy has a modest objective response rate (ORR) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). To overcome the lack of biomarkers that predict delayed alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response beyond 4 weeks, we applied a novel 50-10 rule of AFP response for unresectable HCC patients under nivolumab monotherapy and proposed an algorithm based on on-treatment AFP reduction at different time-points. Ninety unresectable HCC patients who underwent nivolumab monotherapy in 2015-2019 were retrospectively recruited and divided into four classes: rapid AFP decrease of ≥ 50% of baseline at week 4 (class I), AFP changes within ± 50% of baseline at week 4 that later decreased to ≥ 10% of baseline (class II) or not (class III) at week 12, and rapid AFP increase of ≥ 50% of baseline at week 4 (class IV). ORR was 47.4%, 36.0%, 7.7%, and 5.0% in class I-IV patients, respectively. Rapid (class I) and delayed (class II) AFP responders had significantly higher ORR, overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) than non-responders (class III and IV) (ORR: 40.9% vs. 6.5%, P<0.001; median OS: not reached vs. 9.6 months, log-rank P<0.001; median PFS: 9.6 vs. 2.8 months, log-rank P<0.001). In multivariate analysis, AFP response was an independent factor associated with good OS (hazard ratio [HR]=0.301, P=0.001) and PFS (HR=0.332, P<0.001). Moreover, AFP responders had higher ORR and better OS as well as PFS than non-responders, regardless of nivolumab as a first- or more than a second-line therapy (all P<0.05). In conclusion, the novel 50-10 rule of AFP response provides practical guidance for nivolumab monotherapy in unresectable HCC patients. However, this algorithm remains to be verified in a large prospective cohort.

SUBMITTER: Teng W

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8167682 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:Background and aimsRegorafenib has demonstrated its survival benefit for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) patients in a phase III clinical trial. We aimed to assess the efficacy and tolerability of regorafenib and the predictors of treatment outcomes in Taiwanese patients.MethodsWe analyzed the survival, best overall response, predictors of treatment outcomes, and safety for uHCC patients who had tumor progression on sorafenib therapy and received regorafenib as salvage therapy between March 2018 and November 2020.ResultsEighty-six patients with uHCC were enrolled (median age, 66.5 years; 76.7% male). The median regorafenib treatment duration was 4.0 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.6-4.6). The most frequently reported adverse events were hand-foot skin reaction (44.2%), diarrhea (36.0%), and fatigue (29.1%). No unpredictable toxicity was observed during treatment. The median overall survival (OS) with regorafenib was 12.4 months (95% CI, 7.8-17.0) and the median progression-free survival (PFS) was 4.2 months (95% CI, 3.7-4.7). Of 82 patients with regorafenib responses assessable, 4 patients (4.9%) achieved a partial response, and 33 (40.2%) had stable disease, leading to a disease control rate (DCR) of 45.1% (n = 37). Patients possessing baseline AFP < 400 ng/ml exhibited a markedly longer median OS, median PFS, and higher DCR compared with their counterparts (15.7 vs. 8.1 months, 4.6 vs. 3.7 months, 60.9% vs. 27.5%, respectively). Despite possessing high baseline AFP levels, patients with early AFP response (>10% reduction at 4 weeks or >20% reduction at 8 weeks after regorafenib administration) exhibited comparable treatment outcomes to those with baseline AFP < 400 ng/ml.ConclusionsThe results of this real-world study verified the tolerability and efficacy of regorafenib treatment for uHCC patients who failed prior sorafenib therapy, especially for those with lower baseline AFP levels or with early AFP response.

Project description:Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab are promising agents for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We tried to guide the treatment based on recent developed CRAFITY score combining with on-treatment AFP response. Eighty-nine patients who received atezolizumab plus bevacizumab regardless of as a first-line therapy or not for unresectable HCC were enrolled for analyses. Radiologic evaluation was based on modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST). The objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) were 25.0% and 65.5%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that low CRAFITY score (AFP<100 ng/ml or CRP<10 mg/l) and satisfactory AFP response at 6 weeks (≥75% decrease or ≤10% increase from baseline) were independent factors determining good overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio [HR]=0.143, P=0.002 & HR=0.337, P=0.031), progression-free survival (PFS) (HR=0.419, P=0.022 & HR=0.429, P=0.025) and good responder (odds ratio [OR]=1.763, P=0.044 & OR=3.881, P=0.011). Patients were further divided into three classes by combination of CRAFITY score and AFP response at 6 weeks [The CAR (CRAFITY score and AFP-Response) classification)]: low CRAFITY score with satisfactory AFP response at 6 weeks (class I), either high CRAFITY score or unsatisfactory AFP response at 6 weeks (class II) and high CRAFITY score together with unsatisfactory AFP response at 6 weeks (class III). ORR was 35.0%, 18.2%, and 0% in class I, II and III patients, respectively (overall P=0.034). Patients in the class I had the best OS and PFS, followed by class II and class III (median OS: not reached vs. 11.1 vs. 4.3 months, log-rank P<0.001; median PFS: 7.9 vs. 6.6 vs. 2.6 months, log-rank P=0.001). Combination CRAFITY score and AFP response at 6 weeks with AUROC predicts OS and tumor response to be 0.809 and 0.798, respectively, better than either CRAFITY score (0.771 & 0.750) or AFP response at 6 weeks (0.725 & 0.680) alone. In conclusions, the CAR classification which combining CRAFITY score and AFP response at 6 weeks provides a practical guidance for atezolizumab plus bevacizumab therapy in unresectable HCC patients.

Project description:PurposeTo develop a novel criterion based on the response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (RECIST) 1.1 and alpha fetoprotein (AFP) and evaluate its performance in tumor response for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) receiving conversion-radiotherapy before hepatectomy.MethodFrom June 2012 to December 2020, a total of 39 patients with uHCC, who received intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) before hepatectomy, were retrospectively included in this study. Pre- and post-treatment contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (CE-MRI) scans were performed in all patients. Eight modified criteria were developed with the combination of RECIST 1.1, modified RECIST (mRECIST), and the percentage change of AFP, baseline AFP. The endpoint events were recurrence-free survival (RFS).ResultsThe median RFS and OS was 26.5 (IQR, 15.7-43.1), 38.8 (IQR, 18.4-53.6) months. An optimal revised evaluation criterion named α-RECIST (alpha fetoprotein-RECIST 1.1) was developed by combining the RECIST 1.1 with the AFPΔ (cut-off value, 76%). Patients defined as responders by α-RECIST showed significantly better RFS and OS than those defined as non-responders (p = 0.035, 0.048). The other criteria (RECIST 1.1, mRECIST, αΔ-mRECIST, α&Δ-RECIST, α&Δ-mRECIST, αBL-RECIST, αBL-mRECIST, α&BL-RECIST, α&BL-mRECIST) all failed to identify responders from non-responders (p = 0.405, 0.201, 0.773, 0.424, 0.266, 0.060, 0.721, 0.644, 0.910, respectively) when correlated with RFS. Responders according to α-RECIST showed significant better RFS compared to non-responders [HR, 0.31 (95% CI: 0.10, 0.98); p=0.046], but no statistical significance was observed in terms of OS [HR, 0.33 (95% CI: 0.11, 1.05); p = 0.06].ConclusionsPatients identified as responders by α-RECIST provided significant better RFS. The α-RECIST criteria might be a promising tool for identifying tumor response of conversion-radiotherapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma before hepatectomy.

Project description:INTRODUCTION:serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was routinely employed as a tumor marker for screening, diagnosis, and treatment follow-up of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, a substantial proportion of HCC patients had normal AFP level even at an advanced disease status. Few studies to date had tried to explore the nature and behavior of this normal AFP HCC (N-HCC). The purpose of this study was to investigate the clinicopathological characteristics and survival outcome of N-HCC after operation. In addition, potential tumor markers for N-HCC were also sought in an attempt to augment diagnostic ability. METHODS:between 2005 and 2015, patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who were treated with hepatectomy in Chang Gung Memorial Hospital Linkou branch were divided into two groups according to their preoperative serum AFP level (<15 ng/mL: NHCC; ?15 ng/mL: abnormal AFP HCC (A-HCC)). Patient demographic data and clinicopathological variables were collected. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression multivariate analyses were performed to identify significant risk factors for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) for N-HCC. ELISA and immunohistochemical (IHC) studies were employed to determine the diagnostic accuracy of various tumor markers. RESULTS:a total of 1616 patients (78% male) who underwent liver resection for HCC were included in this study. Of them, 761 patients (47.1%) were N-HCC. N-HCC patients were significantly older with more comorbidities and less hepatitis virus infections. Furthermore, N-HCC had fewer early recurrences (49.6% vs. 60.8%, p < 0.001) and better DFS (44.6 months vs. 23.6 months, p < 0.001) and OS (94.5 months vs. 81.7 months, p < 0.001). Both ELISA and IHC studies demonstrated that glypican-3 (GPC3) would be a promising diagnostic tumor marker for N-HCC. CONCLUSION:N-HCC patients were significantly older and had less hepatitis virus infections or cirrhosis. Their tumors tended to be smaller, less vascular invaded, and well-differentiated. The carcinogenesis of N-HCC may thus not be identical to that of typical HCC. GPC3 would be a promising tumor marker for diagnosing N-HCC. Further study is warranted to validate our findings.

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Alpha-fetoprotein response at different time-points is associated with efficacy of nivolumab monotherapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

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