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Dynamic monitoring of circulating tumor DNA to predict prognosis and efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy after resection of colorectal liver metastases.

ABSTRACT: Rationale: Hepatectomy and adjuvant chemotherapy after resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) may improve survival, however, patients which may benefit cannot currently be identified. Postoperative circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis can detect minimal residual disease (MRD) and predict the prognosis and efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy. Our study aims to determine the impact of serial ctDNA analysis to predict the outcome among patients undergoing resection of CRLM. Methods: Between May 2018 and October 2019, 91 CRLM patients were prospectively enrolled. Whole exome sequencing was performed in 50 primary and 48 metastatic liver tissues. Targeted sequencing of 451 cancer relevant genes was performed in 50 baseline plasma to determine plasma-tissue concordance. We prospectively investigated changes in the amount and constitution of ctDNA in 271 serial plasma samples taken at different time points (baseline, pre-operation, post-operation, post-operative adjuvant chemotherapy (post-ACT) and recurrence) during the treatment of CRLM. Results: Detected molecular alterations were highly consistent among baseline ctDNA, primary and liver metastases tissue. Patients with a higher variant allele frequency (VAF) level at baseline ctDNA represent a higher tumor burden, and decreased ctDNA during pre-operative chemotherapy predicted better tumor response. Patients with detectable post-operative and post-ACT ctDNA were associated with significantly shorter recurrence-free survival (RFS). ROC analysis showed that post-ACT ctDNA status was superior to post-operative ctDNA status in predicting RFS with an AUROC of 0.79. A significant difference in overall recurrence rate was observed in patients with detectable vs undetectable levels of ctDNA after resection of CRLM (79.4% vs 41.7%) and after completion of adjuvant chemotherapy (77.3% vs 40.7%). During adjuvant chemotherapy, patients with decreased ctDNA VAF after adjuvant chemotherapy had a recurrence rate of 63.6%, compared to 92.3% in patients with increased ctDNA VAF. Conclusions: We envision that dynamic ctDNA analysis, especially in a post-ACT setting, might be used to not only reflect MRD but also to determine rational personalized adjuvant therapy after the resection of CRLM.

SUBMITTER: Wang DS

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8171084 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:ImportanceTo date, there are no data on the value of adjuvant systemic chemotherapy following up-front resection of isolated synchronous colorectal peritoneal metastases.ObjectiveTo assess the association between adjuvant systemic chemotherapy and overall survival following up-front resection of isolated synchronous colorectal peritoneal metastases.Design, setting, and participantsIn this population-based, observational cohort study using nationwide data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry (diagnoses between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2017; follow-up until January 31, 2019), 393 patients with isolated synchronous colorectal peritoneal metastases who were alive 3 months after up-front complete cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy were included. Patients allocated to the adjuvant systemic chemotherapy group were matched (1:1) with those allocated to the active surveillance group by propensity scores based on patient-, tumor-, and treatment-level covariates.ExposuresAdjuvant systemic chemotherapy, defined as systemic chemotherapy without targeted therapy, starting within 3 months postoperatively.Main outcomes and measuresOverall survival was compared between matched groups using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis adjusted for residual imbalance. A landmark analysis was performed by excluding patients who died within 6 months postoperatively. A sensitivity analysis was performed to adjust for unmeasured confounding by major postoperative morbidity.ResultsOf 393 patients (mean [SD] age, 61 [10] years; 181 [46%] men), 172 patients (44%) were allocated to the adjuvant systemic chemotherapy group. After propensity score matching of 142 patients in the adjuvant systemic chemotherapy group with 142 patients in the active surveillance group, adjuvant systemic chemotherapy was associated with improved overall survival compared with active surveillance (median, 39.2 [interquartile range, 21.1-111.1] months vs 24.8 [interquartile range, 15.0-58.4] months; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.66; 95% CI, 0.49-0.88; P = .006), which remained consistent after excluding patients who died within 6 months postoperatively (aHR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.50-0.93; P = .02) and after adjustment for major postoperative morbidity (aHR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.53-0.95).Conclusions and relevanceFindings of this study suggest that in patients undergoing up-front resection of isolated synchronous colorectal peritoneal metastases, adjuvant systemic chemotherapy appeared to be associated with improved overall survival. Although randomized trials are needed to address the influence of potential residual confounding and allocation bias on this association, results of this study may be used for clinical decision-making in this patient group for whom no data are available.

Project description:BackgroundDespite curative hepatectomy, most colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) patients relapse locally within 2 years. Genomic predictors for hepatic recurrence are poorly understood. This study was designed to identify genomic signatures for recurrence in resected CRLM patients treated with adjuvant hepatic artery infusion (HAI) and/or systemic (SYS) chemotherapy.MethodsPatients undergoing curative hepatectomy and adjuvant HAI+SYS or SYS between January 2000 and October 2017 with next-generation sequencing data were catalogued. Gene and signaling-level alterations were checked for association with time to any (AR), liver (LR), and extrahepatic recurrence (ER) by using Kaplan-Meier analysis.ResultsOf 172 receiving HAI+SYS, 100 patients recurred, with 69 LR and 83 ER. Five- and ten-year LR-free rates were 57% (95% confidence interval [CI] 48-65%) and 51% (95% CI 41-60%), respectively. Five- and 10-year ER-free, rates were 51% (95% CI 43-58%) and 45% (95% CI 36-54%), respectively. More ER was observed with tumors harboring altered KRAS (38% [95% CI 25-50%] vs. 63% [95% CI 53-71%], p-adj = 0.003) and RAS/RAF (36% [95% CI 25-48%] vs. 66% [95% CI 56-74%], p-adj < 0.001) than wild-type. Co-altered RAS/RAF-TP53 was associated with worse AR (26% [95% CI 14-40%] vs. 48% [95% CI 39-57%], p-unadj < 0.001), ER (30% [95% CI 17-45%] vs. 62% [95% CI 53-70%], p-unadj < 0.001), and LR rate (40% [95% CI 24-57%] vs. 70% [95% CI 60-77%], p-unadj = 0.002). On multivariable analysis, controlling for clinical risk score, ablation, margin status, and primary T-stage, co-altered RAS/RAF-TP53 was associated with increased risk for AR (HR = 2.14, 95% CI 1.38-3.31, p-unadj < 0.001), LR (HR = 1.79, 95% CI 1.06-3.02, p-unadj = 0.029), and ER (HR = 2.81, 95% CI 1.78-4.44, p-unadj < 0.001).ConclusionsAltered KRAS, RAS/RAF, and RAS/RAF-TP53 associated with earlier local and distant recurrence in resected CRLM patients receiving adjuvant HAI+SYS. Co-altered RAS/RAF-TP53 was a novel predictor of LR warranting investigation of whether genomic cooperativity is associated with this relapsing phenotype. Systemic therapies tailored to high-risk tumor biology are needed to reduce distant relapse after hepatectomy.

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Dynamic monitoring of circulating tumor DNA to predict prognosis and efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy after resection of colorectal liver metastases.

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