Study on the prognosis predictive model of COVID-19 patients based on CT radiomics.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Wang D
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8172890 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jun
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Study on the prognosis predictive model of COVID-19 patients based on CT radiomics.
Wang Dandan D Huang Chencui C Bao Siyu S Fan Tingting T Sun Zhongqi Z Wang Yiqiao Y Jiang Huijie H Wang Song S
Scientific reports 20210602 1
Making timely assessments of disease progression in patients with COVID-19 could help offer the best personalized treatment. The purpose of this study was to explore an effective model to predict the outcome of patients with COVID-19. We retrospectively included 188 patients (124 in the training set and 64 in the test set) diagnosed with COVID-19. Patients were divided into aggravation and improvement groups according to the disease progression. Three kinds of models were established, including ...[more]
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Project description:BackgroundTo develop a machine learning-based CT radiomics model is critical for the accurate diagnosis of the rapid spreading coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).MethodsIn this retrospective study, a total of 326 chest CT exams from 134 patients (63 confirmed COVID-19 patients and 71 non-COVID-19 patients) were collected from January 20 to February 8, 2020. A semi-automatic segmentation procedure was used to delineate the volume of interest (VOI), and radiomic features were extracted. The Support Vector Machine (SVM) model was built on the combination of 4 groups of features, including radiomic features, traditional radiological features, quantifying features, and clinical features. By repeating cross-validation procedure, the performance on the time-independent testing cohort was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity.ResultsFor the SVM model built on the combination of 4 groups of features (integrated model), the per-exam AUC was 0.925 (95% CI 0.856 to 0.994) for differentiating COVID-19 on the testing cohort, and the sensitivity and specificity were 0.816 (95% CI 0.651 to 0.917) and 0.923 (95% CI 0.621 to 0.996), respectively. As for the SVM models built on radiomic features, radiological features, quantifying features, and clinical features, individually, the AUC on the testing cohort reached 0.765, 0.818, 0.607, and 0.739, respectively, significantly lower than the integrated model, except for the radiomic model.ConclusionThe machine learning-based CT radiomics models may accurately classify COVID-19, helping clinicians and radiologists to identify COVID-19 positive cases.
| S-EPMC8424152 | biostudies-literature
Project description:IntroductionThis study aims to explore the predictive value of CT radiomics and clinical characteristics for treatment response in COVID-19 patients.MethodsData were collected from clinical/auxiliary examinations and follow-ups of COVID-19 patients. Whole lung radiomics feature extraction was performed at baseline chest CT. Radiomics, clinical, and combined features (nomogram) were evaluated for predicting treatment response.ResultsAmong 36 COVID-19 patients, mild, common, severe, and critical disease symptoms were found in 1, 21, 13, and 1 of them, respectively. Twenty-five (1 mild, 18 common, and 6 severe) patients showed a good response to treatment and 11 poor/fair responses. The clinical classification (p = 0.025) and serum creatinine (p = 0.010) on admission and small area emphasis (p = 0.036) from radiomics analysis significantly differed between the two groups. Predictive models were constructed based on the radiomics, clinical features, and nomogram showing an area under the curve of 0.651, 0.836, and 0.869, respectively. The nomogram achieved good calibration.ConclusionThis new, non-invasive, and low-cost prediction model that combines the radiomics and clinical features is useful for identifying COVID-19 patients who may not respond well to treatment.
| S-EPMC10214574 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThis study utilized a comprehensive nomogram to evaluate the prognosis of patients with COVID-19 pneumonia.MethodsCOVID-19 pneumonia data was divided into training set (256 of 321, 80%), internal validation set (65 of 321, 20%) and independent external validation set (n = 188). After image processing, lesion segmentation, feature extraction and feature selection, radiomics signatures and clinical indicators were used to develop a radiomics model and a clinical model respectively. Combining radiomics signatures and clinical indicators, a radiomics nomogram was built. The performance of proposed models was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Calibration curves and decision curve analysis were used to assess the performance of the radiomics nomogram.ResultsTwo clinical indicators that were age and chronic lung disease or asthma and 21 radiomics features were selected to build the radiomics nomogram. The radiomics nomogram yielded an Area Under The Curve1 (AUC) of 0.88 and accuracy of 0.80 in the training set, an AUC of 0.85 and accuracy of 0.77 in internal testing validation set and an AUC of 0.84 and accuracy of 0.75 in independent external validation set. The performance of radiomics nomogram was better than clinical model (AUC = 0.77, p < 0.001) and radiomics model (AUC = 0.72, p = 0.025) in independent external validation set.ConclusionsThe radiomics nomogram may be used to assess the deterioration of COVID-19 pneumonia.
| S-EPMC8353975 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Rationale: Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is one of the major reasons for ventilation and intubation management of COVID-19 patients but there is no noninvasive imaging monitoring protocol for ARDS. In this study, we aimed to develop a noninvasive ARDS monitoring protocol based on traditional quantitative and radiomics approaches from chest CT. Methods: Patients diagnosed with COVID-19 from Jan 20, 2020 to Mar 31, 2020 were enrolled in this study. Quantitative and radiomics data were extracted from automatically segmented regions of interest (ROIs) of infection regions in the lungs. ARDS existence was measured by Pa02/Fi02 <300 in artery blood samples. Three different models were constructed by using the traditional quantitative imaging metrics, radiomics features and their combinations, respectively. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the effectiveness of the models. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to test the clinical value of the proposed model. Results: The proposed models were constructed using 352 CT images from 86 patients. The median age was 49, and the male proportion was 61.9%. The training dataset and the validation dataset were generated by randomly sampling the patients with a 2:1 ratio. Chi-squared test showed that there was no significant difference in baseline of the enrolled patients between the training and validation datasets. The areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) of the traditional quantitative model, radiomics model and combined model in the validation dataset was 0.91, 0.91 and 0.94, respectively. Accordingly, the sensitivities were 0.55, 0.82 and 0.58, while the specificities were 0.97, 0.86 and 0.98. The DCA curve showed that when threshold probability for a doctor or patients is within a range of 0 to 0.83, the combined model adds more net benefit than "treat all" or "treat none" strategies, while the traditional quantitative model and radiomics model could add benefit in all threshold probability. Conclusions: It is feasible to monitor ARDS from CT images using radiomics or traditional quantitative analysis in COVID-19. The radiomics model seems to be the most practical one for possible clinical use. Multi-center validation with a larger number of samples is recommended in the future.
| S-EPMC7378656 | biostudies-literature
Project description:PurposeThe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has evolved into a worldwide pandemic. CT although sensitive in detecting changes suffers from poor specificity in discrimination from other causes of ground glass opacities (GGOs). We aimed to develop and validate a CT-based radiomics model to differentiate COVID-19 from other causes of pulmonary GGOs.MethodsWe retrospectively included COVID-19 patients between 24/01/2020 and 31/03/2020 as case group and patients with pulmonary GGOs between 04/02/2012 and 31/03/2020 as a control group. Radiomics features were extracted from contoured GGOs by PyRadiomics. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method was used to establish the radiomics model. We assessed the performance using the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).ResultsA total of 301 patients (age mean ± SD: 64 ± 15 years; male: 52.8 %) from three hospitals were enrolled, including 33 COVID-19 patients in the case group and 268 patients with malignancies or pneumonia in the control group. Thirteen radiomics features out of 474 were selected to build the model. This model achieved an AUC of 0.905, accuracy of 89.5 %, sensitivity of 83.3 %, specificity of 90.0 % in the testing set.ConclusionWe developed a noninvasive radiomics model based on CT imaging for the diagnosis of COVID-19 based on GGO lesions, which could be a promising supplementary tool for improving specificity for COVID-19 in a population confounded by ground glass opacity changes from other etiologies.
| S-EPMC7494331 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is raging across the world. The radiomics, which explores huge amounts of features from medical image for disease diagnosis, may help the screen of the COVID-19. In this study, we aim to develop a radiomic signature to screen COVID-19 from CT images. We retrospectively collect 75 pneumonia patients from Beijing Youan Hospital, including 46 patients with COVID-19 and 29 other types of pneumonias. These patients are divided into training set (n = 50) and test set (n = 25) at random. We segment the lung lesions from the CT images, and extract 77 radiomic features from the lesions. Then unsupervised consensus clustering and multiple cross-validation are utilized to select the key features that are associated with the COVID-19. In the experiments, while twenty-three radiomic features are found to be highly associated with COVID-19, four key features are screened and used as the inputs of support vector machine to build the radiomic signature. We use area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curve to assess the performance of our model. It yields AUCs of 0.862 and 0.826 in the training set and the test set respectively. We also perform the stratified analysis and find that its predictive ability is not affected by gender, age, chronic disease and degree of severity. In conclusion, we investigate the value of radiomics in screening COVID-19, and the experimental results suggest the radiomic signature could be a potential tool for diagnosis of COVID-19.
| S-EPMC7166002 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveTo evaluate the efficacy of the CT-based intratumoral, peritumoral, and combined radiomics signatures in predicting progression-free survival (PFS) of patients with chondrosarcoma (CS).MethodsIn this study, patients diagnosed with CS between January 2009 and January 2022 were retrospectively screened, and 214 patients with CS from two centers were respectively enrolled into the training cohorts (institution 1, n = 113) and test cohorts (institution 2, n = 101). The intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics features were extracted from CT images. The intratumoral, peritumoral, and combined radiomics signatures were constructed respectively, and their radiomics scores (Rad-score) were calculated. The performance of intratumoral, peritumoral, and combined radiomics signatures in PFS prediction in patients with CS was evaluated by C-index, time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (time-AUC), and time-dependent C-index (time C-index).ResultsEleven, 7, and 16 features were used to construct the intratumoral, peritumoral, and combined radiomics signatures, respectively. The combined radiomics signature showed the best prediction ability in the training cohort (C-index, 0.835; 95%; confidence interval [CI], 0.764-0.905) and the test cohort (C-index, 0.800; 95% CI, 0.681-0.920). Time-AUC and time C-index showed that the combined signature outperformed the intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics signatures in the prediction of PFS.ConclusionThe CT-based combined signature incorporating intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics features can predict PFS in patients with CS, which might assist clinicians in selecting individualized surveillance and treatment plans for CS patients.Critical relevance statementDevelop and validate CT-based intratumoral, peritumoral, and combined radiomics signatures to evaluate the efficacy in predicting prognosis of patients with CS.Key points• Reliable prognostic models for preoperative chondrosarcoma are lacking. • Combined radiomics signature incorporating intratumoral and peritumoral features can predict progression-free survival in patients with chondrosarcoma. • Combined radiomics signature may facilitate individualized stratification and management of patients with chondrosarcoma.
| S-EPMC10792153 | biostudies-literature
Project description:No clinically relevant biomarker has been identified for predicting the response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) to chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Herein, we established a CT-based radiomics model with artificial intelligence (AI) to predict the response and prognosis of CRT in ESCC. A total of 44 ESCC patients (stage I-IV) were enrolled in this study; training (n = 27) and validation (n = 17) cohorts. First, we extracted a total of 476 radiomics features from three-dimensional CT images of cancer lesions in training cohort, selected 110 features associated with the CRT response by ROC analysis (AUC ≥ 0.7) and identified 12 independent features, excluding correlated features by Pearson's correlation analysis (r ≥ 0.7). Based on the 12 features, we constructed 5 prediction models of different machine learning algorithms (Random Forest (RF), Ridge Regression, Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machine, and Artificial Neural Network models). Among those, the RF model showed the highest AUC in the training cohort (0.99 [95%CI 0.86-1.00]) as well as in the validation cohort (0.92 [95%CI 0.71-0.99]) to predict the CRT response. Additionally, Kaplan-Meyer analysis of the validation cohort and all the patient data showed significantly longer progression-free and overall survival in the high-prediction score group compared with the low-prediction score group in the RF model. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that the radiomics prediction score and lymph node metastasis were independent prognostic biomarkers for CRT of ESCC. In conclusion, we have developed a CT-based radiomics model using AI, which may have the potential to predict the CRT response as well as the prognosis for ESCC patients with non-invasiveness and cost-effectiveness.
| S-EPMC10806175 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background and aimsIdentification of SARS-CoV-2-infected patients at high-risk of poor prognosis is crucial. We aimed to establish predictive models for COVID-19 pneumonia severity in hospitalized patients.MethodsRetrospective study of 430 patients admitted in Vall d'Hebron Hospital (Barcelona) between 03-12-2020 and 04-28-2020 due to COVID-19 pneumonia. Two models to identify the patients who required high-flow-oxygen-support were generated, one using baseline data and another with also follow-up analytical results. Calibration was performed by a 1000-bootstrap replication model.Results249 were male, mean age 57.9 years. Overall, 135 (31.4%) required high-flow-oxygen-support. The baseline predictive model showed a ROC of 0.800 based on: SpO2/FiO2 (adjusted Hazard Ratio-aHR = 8), chest x-ray (aHR = 4), prior immunosuppressive therapy (aHR = 4), obesity (aHR = 2), IL-6 (aHR = 2), platelets (aHR = 0.5). The cut-off of 11 presented a specificity of 94.8%. The second model included changes on the analytical parameters: ferritin (aHR = 7.5 if ?200ng/mL) and IL-6 (aHR = 18 if ?64pg/mL) plus chest x-ray (aHR = 2) showing a ROC of 0.877. The cut-off of 12 exhibited a negative predictive value of 92%.ConclusionsSpO2/FiO2 and chest x-ray on admission or changes on inflammatory parameters as IL-6 and ferritin allow us early identification of COVID-19 patients at risk of high-flow-oxygen-support that may benefit from a more intensive disease management.
| S-EPMC7769554 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectivesTo develop and validate a radiomic model to predict the rapid progression (defined as volume growth of pneumonia lesions > 50% within seven days) in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).MethodsPatients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 who underwent longitudinal chest CT between January 01 and February 18, 2020 were included. A total of 1316 radiomic features were extracted from the lung parenchyma window for each CT. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), Relief, Las Vegas Wrapper (LVW), L1-norm-Support Vector Machine (L1-norm-SVM), and recursive feature elimination (RFE) were applied to select the features that associated with rapid progression. Four machine learning classifiers were used for modeling, including Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Logistic Regression (LR), and Decision Tree (DT). Accordingly, 20 radiomic models were developed on the basis of 296 CT scans and validated in 74 CT scans. Model performance was determined by the receiver operating characteristic curve.ResultsA total of 107 patients (median age, 49.0 years, interquartile range, 35-54) were evaluated. The patients underwent a total of 370 chest CT scans with a median interval of 4 days (interquartile range, 3-5 days). The combination methods of L1-norm SVM and SVM with 17 radiomic features yielded the highest performance in predicting the likelihood of rapid progression of pneumonia lesions on next CT scan, with an AUC of 0.857 (95% CI: 0.766-0.947), sensitivity of 87.5%, and specificity of 70.7%.ConclusionsOur radiomic model based on longitudinal chest CT data could predict the rapid progression of pneumonia lesions, which may facilitate the CT follow-up intervals and reduce the radiation.Advances in knowledgeRadiomic features extracted from the current chest CT have potential in predicting the likelihood of rapid progression of pneumonia lesions on the next chest CT, which would improve clinical decision-making regarding timely treatment.
| S-EPMC8173680 | biostudies-literature