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Natural Course of New-Onset Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation after Noncardiac Surgery.

ABSTRACT: Background Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is common after cardiac surgery, but little is known about its incidence and natural course after noncardiac surgery. We evaluated the natural course and clinical impact of POAF and the long-term impact of anticoagulation therapy in patients without a history of atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing noncardiac surgery. Methods and Results We retrospectively analyzed the database of Asan Medical Center (Seoul, Korea) to identify patients who developed new-onset POAF after undergoing noncardiac surgery between January 2006 and January 2016. The main outcomes were AF recurrence, thromboembolic event, and major bleeding during follow-up. Of 322 688 patients who underwent noncardiac surgery, 315 patients (mean age, 66.4 years; 64.4% male) had new-onset POAF with regular rhythm monitoring after discharge. AF recurred in 53 (16.8%) during 2 years of follow-up. Hypertension (hazard ratio, 2.12; P=0.02), moderate-to-severe left atrial enlargement (hazard ratio, 2.33; P=0.007) were independently associated with recurrence. Patients with recurrent AF had higher risks of thromboembolic events (11.2% versus 0.8%; P<0.001) and major bleeding (26.9% versus 4.1%; P<0.001) than those without recurrence. Patients with recurrent AF and without anticoagulation were especially predisposed to thromboembolic events (P<0.001). Overall, anticoagulation therapy was not significantly associated with thromboembolic events (1.4% versus 2.5%, P=0.95). Conclusions AF recurred in 16.8% of patients with POAF after noncardiac surgery. AF recurrence was associated with higher risks of adverse clinical outcomes. Considering the high risk of anticoagulation-related bleeding, the benefits of routine anticoagulation should be carefully weighed in this population. Active surveillance for AF recurrence is warranted.

SUBMITTER: Hyun J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8174377 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundPostoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is one of the most common complications after cardiac surgery. POAF is associated with a longer hospital stay, higher healthcare resource utilization, and higher risk of morbidity and mortality. As a result, the American and European guidelines recommend the use of beta-blockers and amiodarone for the prevention of POAF, and in turn, avoid the complications associated with POAF.ObjectivesThe purpose of this study was to determine the incidence, risk factors, and prognostic implications of new-onset POAF after cardiac surgery in adults with congenital heart disease (CHD).MethodsA retrospective study was conducted among adults with CHD who underwent cardiac surgery (2003-2019). POAF and late-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) were defined as AF occurring within and after 30 days postoperatively, respectively.ResultsOf 1,598 patients (mean age 39 ± 13 years, 51% men), 335 (21%) developed POAF. Risk factors associated with POAF were older age, hypertension, left atrial (LA) reservoir strain and right atrial (RA) dysfunction, and nonsystemic atrioventricular valve regurgitation. Of 1,291 patients (81%) with follow-up ≥12 months, the annual incidence of late-onset AF was 1.5% and was higher in patients with POAF compared with those without POAF (5.9% vs 0.4%; P < 0.001). Risk factors associated with late-onset AF were POAF, older age, severe CHD, and LA and RA dysfunction. Of the 1,291 patients, 63 (5%) died during follow-up, and the risk factors associated with all-cause mortality were older age, severe CHD, hypertension, left ventricular systolic dysfunction, and LA and RA dysfunction. POAF was not associated with all-cause mortality.ConclusionsPOAF was common in adults with CHD and was associated with late-onset AF but not all-cause mortality. Atrial dysfunction was independently associated with POAF, late-onset AF, and all-cause mortality. These risk factors can be used to identify patients at risk for POAF and provide a foundation for prospective studies assessing the efficacy of prophylactic therapies in this population.

Project description:BackgroundPostoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is associated with clinically significant short- and long-term complications after noncardiac surgery. Our aim was to describe the incidence of clinically important POAF after noncardiac surgery and establish the prognostic value of N-terminal pro-brain-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in this context.MethodsThe Vascular events In noncardiac Surgery patIents cOhort evaluatioN (VISION) Study was a prospective cohort study involving patients aged 45 years and older who had inpatient noncardiac surgery that was performed between August 2007 and November 2013. We determined 30-day incidence of clinically important POAF (i.e., resulting in angina, congestive heart failure, symptomatic hypotension or requiring treatment) using logistic regression models to analyze the association between preoperative NT-proBNP and POAF.ResultsIn 37 664 patients with no history of atrial fibrillation, we found that the incidence of POAF was 1.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.9%-1.1%; 369 events); 3.2% (95% CI 2.3%-4.4%) in patients undergoing major thoracic surgery, 1.3% (95% CI 1.2%-1.5%) in patients undergoing major nonthoracic surgery and 0.2% (95% CI 0.1%-0.3%) in patients undergoing low-risk surgery. In a subgroup of 9789 patients with preoperative NT-proBNP measurements, the biomarker improved the prediction of POAF risk over conventional prognostic factors (likelihood ratio test p < 0.001; fraction of new information from NT-proBNP was 16%). Compared with a reference NT-proBNP measurement set at 100 ng/L, adjusted odds ratios for the occurrence of POAF were 1.31 (95% CI 1.15-1.49) at 200 ng/L, 2.07 (95% CI 1.27-3.36) at 1500 ng/L and 2.39 (95% CI 1.26-4.51) at 3000 ng/L.InterpretationWe determined that the incidence of clinically important POAF after noncardiac surgery was 1.0%. We also found that preoperative NT-proBNP levels were associated with POAF independent of established prognostic factors. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, no. NCT00512109.

Project description:CONTEXT:Although the heritability of atrial fibrillation (AF) is established, the contribution of familial AF to predicting new-onset AF remains unknown. OBJECTIVE:To determine whether familial occurrence of AF is associated with new-onset AF beyond established risk factors. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS:The Framingham Heart Study, a prospective community-based cohort study started in 1948. Original and Offspring Cohort participants were aged at least 30 years, were free of AF at the baseline examination, and had at least 1 parent or sibling enrolled in the study. The 4421 participants in this analysis (mean age, 54 [SD, 13] years; 54% women) were followed up through December 31, 2007. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES:Incremental predictive value of incorporating different features of familial AF (any familial AF, premature familial AF [onset ?65 years old], number of affected relatives, and youngest age of onset in a relative) into a risk model for new-onset AF. RESULTS:Across 11,971 examinations during the period 1968-2007, 440 participants developed AF. Familial AF occurred among 1185 participants (26.8%) and premature familial AF occurred among 351 participants (7.9%). Atrial fibrillation occurred more frequently among participants with familial AF than without familial AF (unadjusted absolute event rates of 5.8% and 3.1%, respectively). The association was not attenuated by adjustment for AF risk factors (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-1.74) or reported AF-related genetic variants. Among the different features of familial AF examined, premature familial AF was associated with improved discrimination beyond traditional risk factors to the greatest extent (traditional risk factors, C statistic, 0.842 [95% CI, 0.826-0.858]; premature familial AF, C statistic, 0.846 [95% CI, 0.831-0.862]; P = .004). Modest changes in integrated discrimination improvement were observed with premature familial AF (2.1%). Net reclassification improvement (assessed using 8-year risk thresholds of <5%, 5%-10%, and >10%) did not change significantly with premature familial AF (index statistic, 0.011; 95% CI, -0.021 to 0.042; P = .51), although categoryless net reclassification was improved (index statistic, 0.127; 95% CI, 0.064-0.189; P = .009). CONCLUSIONS:In this cohort, familial AF was associated with an increased risk of AF that was not attenuated by adjustment for AF risk factors including genetic variants. Assessment of premature familial AF was associated with a very slight increase in predictive accuracy compared with traditional risk factors.

Project description:Background It is well established that postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is associated with adverse postoperative outcomes after major cardiac operations. The purpose of this study was to investigate the incidence of new-onset POAF after successful total arch repair surgery and the association between POAF and in-hospital mortality. Methods and Results All consecutive patients undergoing total arch repair from September 2012 to December 2019 in Fuwai hospital were enrolled (n=1280). Patients diagnosed with preoperative atrial fibrillation were excluded. POAF was diagnosed as the new-onset atrial fibrillation or flutter for more than 5 minutes based on continuous electrocardiogram monitoring. A logistic regression model was used to determine predictors of in-hospital mortality. Multivariable adjustment, inverse probability of treatment weighting, and propensity score matching were used to adjust for confounders. POAF was diagnosed in 32.3% (411/1271) of this cohort population. The occurrence of new-onset POAF was associated with age (odds ratio [OR], 1.05; 95% CI, 1.04-1.06; P<0.001), male sex (OR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.52-0.98; P=0.035), and surgery duration (OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.12-1.28; P<0.001). The in-hospital mortality was significantly higher in patients with POAF than those without POAF (10.7% versus 2.4%, P<0.001). Inverse probability of treatment weighting and propensity score matching analyses confirmed the results. The increased in-hospital mortality in POAF group still existed among subgroup analysis based on different age, sex, hypertension, smoking, and hypokalemia, combined with cardiac surgery, and deep hypothermic circulatory arrest. Conclusions More careful attention should be given to POAF after total arch repair surgery. The incidence of POAF after total arch repair surgery was 32.3% and associated with increased in-hospital mortality. The elderly female patient who experienced longer operation duration was at highest risk for POAF.

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Natural Course of New-Onset Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation after Noncardiac Surgery.

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