Dataset Information

Prognostic Value of Pre-Treatment CT Radiomics and Clinical Factors for the Overall Survival of Advanced (IIIB-IV) Lung Adenocarcinoma Patients.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of pre-treatment CT radiomics and clinical factors for the overall survival (OS) of advanced (IIIB-IV) lung adenocarcinoma patients.

Methods

This study involved 165 patients with advanced lung adenocarcinoma. The Lasso-Cox regression model was used for feature selection and radiomics signature building. Then a clinical model was built based on clinical factors; a combined model in the form of nomogram was constructed with both clinical factors and the radiomics signature. Harrell's concordance index (C-Index) and Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves at cut-off time points of 1-, 2-, and 3- year were used to estimate and compare the predictive ability of all three models. Finally, the discriminatory ability and calibration of the nomogram were analyzed.

Results

Thirteen significant features were selected to build the radiomics signature whose C-indexes were 0.746 (95% CI, 0.699 to 0.792) in the training cohort and 0.677 (95% CI, 0.597 to 0.766) in the validation cohort. The C-indexes of combined model achieved 0.799 (95% CI, 0.757 to 0.84) in the training cohort and 0.733 (95% CI, 0.656 to 0.81) in the validation cohort, which outperformed the clinical model and radiomics signature. Moreover, the areas under the curve (AUCs) of the radiomic signature for 2-year prediction was superior to that of the clinical model. The combined model had the best AUCs for 2- and 3-year predictions.

Conclusions

Radiomic signatures and clinical factors have prognostic value for OS in advanced (IIIB-IV) lung adenocarcinoma patients. The optimal model should be selected according to different cut-off time points in clinical application.

SUBMITTER: Hong D

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8193844 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Similar Datasets

Project description:IntroductionRadiation therapy (RT) is one of the primary treatment options for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (ES-NSCLC). Therefore, accurately predicting the overall survival (OS) rate following radiotherapy is crucial for implementing personalized treatment strategies. This work aims to develop a dual-radiomics (DR) model to (1) predict 3-year OS in ES-NSCLC patients receiving RT using pre-treatment CT images, and (2) provide explanations between feature importanceand model prediction performance.MethodsThe publicly available TCIA Lung1 dataset with 132 ES-NSCLC patients received RT were studied: 89/43 patients in the under/over 3-year OS group. For each patient, two types of radiomic features were examined: 56 handcrafted radiomic features (HRFs) extracted within gross tumor volume, and 512 image deep features (IDFs) extracted using a pre-trained U-Net encoder. They were combined as inputs to an explainable boosting machine (EBM) model for OS prediction. The EBM's mean absolute scores for HRFs and IDFs were used as feature importance explanations. To evaluate identified feature importance, the DR model was compared with EBM using either (1) key or (2) non-key feature type only. Comparison studies with other models, including supporting vector machine (SVM) and random forest (RF), were also included. The performance was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCROC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity with a 100-fold Monte Carlo cross-validation.ResultsThe DR model showed highestperformance in predicting 3-year OS (AUCROC=0.81 ± 0.04), and EBM scores suggested that IDFs showed significantly greater importance (normalized mean score=0.0019) than HRFs (score=0.0008). The comparison studies showed that EBM with key feature type (IDFs-only demonstrated comparable AUCROC results (0.81 ± 0.04), while EBM with non-key feature type (HRFs-only) showed limited AUCROC (0.64 ± 0.10). The results suggested that feature importance score identified by EBM is highly correlated with OS prediction performance. Both SVM and RF models were unable to explain key feature type while showing limited overall AUCROC=0.66 ± 0.07 and 0.77 ± 0.06, respectively. Accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity showed a similar trend.DiscussionIn conclusion, a DR model was successfully developed to predict ES-NSCLC OS based on pre-treatment CT images. The results suggested that the feature importance from DR model is highly correlated to the model prediction power.

Project description:ObjectiveTo build and assess a pre-treatment dual-energy CT-based clinical-radiomics nomogram for the individualized prediction of clinical response to systemic chemotherapy in advanced gastric cancer (AGC).MethodsA total of 69 pathologically confirmed AGC patients who underwent dual-energy CT before systemic chemotherapy were enrolled from two centers in this retrospective study. Treatment response was determined with follow-up CT according to the RECIST standard. Quantitative radiomics metrics of the primary lesion were extracted from three sets of monochromatic images (40, 70, and 100 keV) at venous phase. Univariate analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were used to select the most relevant radiomics features. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to establish a clinical model, three monochromatic radiomics models, and a combined multi-energy model. ROC analysis and DeLong test were used to evaluate and compare the predictive performance among models. A clinical-radiomics nomogram was developed; moreover, its discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness were assessed.ResultAmong the included patients, 24 responded to the systemic chemotherapy. Clinical stage and the iodine concentration (IC) of the tumor were significant clinical predictors of chemotherapy response (all p < 0.05). The multi-energy radiomics model showed a higher predictive capability (AUC = 0.914) than two monochromatic radiomics models and the clinical model (AUC: 40 keV = 0.747, 70 keV = 0.793, clinical = 0.775); however, the predictive accuracy of the 100-keV model (AUC: 0.881) was not statistically different (p = 0.221). The clinical-radiomics nomogram integrating the multi-energy radiomics signature with IC value and clinical stage showed good calibration and discrimination with an AUC of 0.934. Decision curve analysis proved the clinical usefulness of the nomogram and multi-energy radiomics model.ConclusionThe pre-treatment DECT-based clinical-radiomics nomogram showed good performance in predicting clinical response to systemic chemotherapy in AGC, which may contribute to clinical decision-making and improving patient survival.