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Optimized algorithm for multipoint geostatistical facies modeling based on a deep feedforward neural network.

ABSTRACT: Reservoir facies modeling is an important way to express the sedimentary characteristics of the target area. Conventional deterministic modeling, target-based stochastic simulation, and two-point geostatistical stochastic modeling methods are difficult to characterize the complex sedimentary microfacies structure. Multi-point geostatistics (MPG) method can learn a priori geological model and can realize multi-point correlation simulation in space, while deep neural network can express nonlinear relationship well. This article comprehensively utilizes the advantages of the two to try to optimize the multi-point geostatistical reservoir facies modeling algorithm based on the Deep Forward Neural Network (DFNN). Through the optimization design of the multi-grid training data organization form and repeated simulation of grid nodes, the simulation results of diverse modeling algorithm parameters, data conditions and deposition types of sedimentary microfacies models were compared. The results show that by optimizing the organization of multi-grid training data and repeated simulation of nodes, it is easier to obtain a random simulation close to the real target, and the simulation of sedimentary microfacies of different scales and different sedimentary types can be performed.

SUBMITTER: Yao J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8219166 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundConservative management of adnexal mass is warranted when there is imaging-based and clinical evidence of benign characteristics. Malignancy risk is, however, a concern due to the mortality rate of ovarian cancer. Malignancy occurs in 10-15% of adnexal masses that go to surgery, whereas the rate of malignancy is much lower in masses clinically characterized as benign or indeterminate. Additional diagnostic tests could assist conservative management of these patients. Here we report the clinical validation of OvaWatch, a multivariate index assay, with real-world evidence of performance that supports conservative management of adnexal masses.MethodsOvaWatch utilizes a previously characterized neural network-based algorithm combining serum biomarkers and clinical covariates and was used to examine malignancy risk in prospective and retrospective samples of patients with an adnexal mass. Retrospective data sets were assembled from previous studies using patients who had adnexal mass and were scheduled for surgery. The prospective study was a multi-center trial of women with adnexal mass as identified on clinical examination and indeterminate or asymptomatic by imaging. The performance to detect ovarian malignancy was evaluated at a previously validated score threshold.ResultsIn retrospective, low prevalence (N = 1,453, 1.5% malignancy rate) data from patients that received an independent physician assessment of benign, OvaWatch has a sensitivity of 81.8% [95% confidence interval (CI) 65.1-92.7] for identifying a histologically confirmed malignancy, and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 99.7%. OvaWatch identified 18/22 malignancies missed by physician assessment. A prospective data set had 501 patients where 106 patients with adnexal mass went for surgery. The prevalence was 2% (10 malignancies). The sensitivity of OvaWatch for malignancy was 40% (95% CI: 16.8-68.7%), and the specificity was 87% (95% CI: 83.7-89.7) when patients were included in the analysis who did not go to surgery and were evaluated as benign. The NPV remained 98.6% (95% CI: 97.0-99.4%). An independent analysis set with a high prevalence (45.8%) the NPV value was 87.8% (95% CI: 95% CI: 75.8-94.3%).ConclusionOvaWatch demonstrated high NPV across diverse data sets and promises utility as an effective diagnostic test supporting management of suspected benign or indeterminate mass to safely decrease or delay unnecessary surgeries.

Dataset Information

Optimized algorithm for multipoint geostatistical facies modeling based on a deep feedforward neural network.

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