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Population-based 10-year cumulative revision risks after hip and knee arthroplasty for osteoarthritis to inform patients in clinical practice: a competing risk analysis from the Dutch Arthroplasty Register.

ABSTRACT: Background and purpose - A lifetime perspective on revision risks is needed for optimal timing of arthroplasty in osteoarthritis (OA) patients, weighing the benefit of total hip arthroplasty/total knee arthroplasty (THA/TKA) against the risk of revision, after which outcomes are less favorable. Therefore, we provide population-based 10-year cumulative revision risks stratified by joint, sex, fixation type, and age.Patients and methods - Data from the Dutch Arthroplasty Register (LROI) was used. Primary THAs and TKAs for OA between 2007 and 2018 were included, except metal-on-metal prostheses or hybrid/reversed hybrid fixation. Revision surgery was defined as any change of 1 or more prosthesis components. The 10-year cumulative revision risks were calculated stratified by joint, age, sex, at primary arthroplasty, and fixation type (cemented/uncemented), taking into account mortality as a competing risk. We estimated the percentage of potentially avoidable revisions assuming all OA patients aged < 75 received primary THA/TKA 5 years later while keeping age-specific 10-year revision risks constant.Results - 214,638 primary THAs and 211,099 TKAs were included, of which 31% of THAs and 95% of TKAs were cemented. The 10-year cumulative revision risk varied between 1.6% and 13%, with higher risks in younger age categories. Delaying prosthesis placement by 5 years could potentially avoid 23 (3%) THA and 162 (17%) TKA revisions.Interpretation - Cumulative 10- year revision risk varied considerably by age in both fixation groups, which may be communicated to patients and used to guide timing of surgery.

SUBMITTER: Gademan MGJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8237834 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:ObjectivesTo examine mortality and revision rates among patients with osteoarthritis undergoing hip arthroplasty and to compare these rates between patients undergoing cemented or uncemented procedures and to compare outcomes between men undergoing stemmed total hip replacements and Birmingham hip resurfacing.DesignCohort study.SettingNational Joint Registry.PopulationAbout 275,000 patient records.Main outcome measuresHip arthroplasty procedures were linked to the time to any subsequent mortality or revision (implant failure). Flexible parametric survival analysis methods were used to analyse time to mortality and also time to revision. Comparisons between procedure groups were adjusted for age, sex, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade, and complexity.ResultsAs there were large baseline differences in the characteristics of patients receiving cemented, uncemented, or resurfacing procedures, unadjusted comparisons are inappropriate. Multivariable survival analyses identified a higher mortality rate for patients undergoing cemented compared with uncemented total hip replacement (adjusted hazard ratio 1.11, 95% confidence interval 1.07 to 1.16); conversely, there was a lower revision rate with cemented procedures (0.53, 0.50 to 0.57). These translate to small predicted differences in population averaged absolute survival probability at all time points. For example, compared with the uncemented group, at eight years after surgery the predicted probability of death in the cemented group was 0.013 higher (0.007 to 0.019) and the predicted probability of revision was 0.015 lower (0.012 to 0.017). In multivariable analyses restricted to men, there was a higher mortality rate in the cemented group and the uncemented group compared with the Birmingham hip resurfacing group. In terms of revision, the Birmingham hip resurfacings had a similar revision rate to uncemented total hip replacements. Both uncemented total hip replacements and Birmingham hip resurfacings had a higher revision rate than cemented total hip replacements.ConclusionsThere is a small but significant increased risk of revision with uncemented rather than cemented total hip replacement, and a small but significant increased risk of death with cemented procedures. It is not known whether these are causal relations or caused by residual confounding. Compared with uncemented and cemented total hip replacements, Birmingham hip resurfacing has a significantly lower risk of death in men of all ages. Previously, only adjusted analyses of hip implant revision rates have been used to recommend and justify use of cheaper cemented total hip implants. Our investigations additionally consider mortality rates and suggest a potentially higher mortality rate with cemented total hip replacements, which merits further investigation.

Dataset Information

Population-based 10-year cumulative revision risks after hip and knee arthroplasty for osteoarthritis to inform patients in clinical practice: a competing risk analysis from the Dutch Arthroplasty Register.

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