Dataset Information

Joint Associations of Actual Age and Genetically Determined Age at Menarche With Risk of Mortality.

ABSTRACT:

Importance

Previous studies have shown an association between actual age at menarche and risk of all-cause mortality; however, the results are inconsistent, and no study has analyzed the joint associations between genetic susceptibility and actual age at menarche with the risk of mortality in prospective cohorts.

Objectives

To investigate joint associations of actual age and genetically determined age at menarche with risk of all-cause mortality.

Design, setting, and participants

This prospective cohort study was conducted using data from the UK Biobank population across the United Kingdom from March 13, 2006, to October 1, 2010. A total of 264 546 women aged between 39 and 71 years with actual menarcheal age were included in this study; 246 676 of these women had genetic data available. Actual age at menarche was obtained from the touchscreen questionnaire at recruitment from 2006 to 2010. Genetically determined age at menarche was assessed by a genetic risk score. Statistical analysis was performed from August 22 to December 12, 2019.

Exposure

Age at menarche.

Main outcomes and measures

A multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess associations of actual or genetically determined age at menarche with risk of all-cause mortality.

Results

The mean (SD) age of the study population at baseline was 56.4 (8.0) years, and the mean (SD) age at menarche included in the analyses was 13.0 (1.6) years. During a median of 9.0 years (range, 8.3-9.7 years) of follow-up, 7761 deaths were documented among the women with actual age at menarche, and 7054 deaths were documented among the women with genetically determined age at menarche. Both the actual age at menarche and the genetically determined age at menarche showed a U-shaped association with the risk of all-cause mortality (lowest actual age [<12 years] vs reference age [15 years]: hazard ratio [HR], 1.16 [95% CI, 1.07-1.26]; highest actual age [≥16 years] vs reference age [15 years]: HR, 1.17 [95% CI, 1.05-1.31]; P < .001 for quadratic trend; genetic risk score [GRS] of 1 vs reference score [GRS of 4]: HR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.01-1.19; GRS of 6 vs reference score [GRS of 4]: HR, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.00-1.18]; P = .03 for quadratic trend). Significant interactions were also found between actual age at menarche and genetically determined age at menarche with all-cause mortality (HR of mortality associated with age of menarche <12 year was 1.24 [95% CI, 1.10-1.40] in the GRS of 1 group and 1.44 [95% CI, 1.21-1.72] in the GRS of 6 group; P = .001 for interaction). Women with mismatch of actual age and genetically determined age at menarche had the highest mortality risks; participants with the lowest genetic risk score and the highest age at menarche had an HR of 2.12 (95% CI, 1.58-2.83), and participants with the highest GRS and the lowest age at menarche had an HR of 1.44 (95% CI, 1.21-1.72).

Conclusions and relevance

The results suggest that both actual age and genetically determined age at menarche exhibit U-shaped associations with all-cause mortality. Women with mismatch of actual age and genetically determined age at menarche may have the highest risk of all-cause mortality.

SUBMITTER: Liang Z

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8246309 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundObservational studies have shown an association between early age at menarche (AAM) and myocardial infarction (MI) with recorded cases. In this Mendelian randomization (MR) study, we used large amounts of summary data from genome-wide association studies (GWASs) to further estimate the association of genetically predicted AAM with genetically predicated risk of MI and investigate to what extent this association is mediated by genetically determined lifestyles, cardiometabolic factors, and estrogen exposure.MethodsA two-step, two-sample MR study was performed by mediation analysis. Genetic variants identified by GWAS meta-analysis of reproductive genetics consortium (n = 182,416) were selected for genetically predicted AAM. Genetic variants identified by the Coronary ARtery DIsease Genome-wide Replication and Meta-analysis plus The Coronary Artery Disease Genetics Consortium (n = 184,305) were selected for genetically predicted risk of MI. Genetic variants from other international GWAS summary data were selected for genetically determined mediators.ResultsThis MR study showed that increase in genetically predicted AAM was associated with lower risk of genetically predicted MI (odds ratio 0.91, 95% confidence interval 0.84-0.98). Inverse variance weighted (IVW) MR analysis also showed that decrease in genetically predicted AAM was associated with higher genetically predicted alcohol intake frequency, current smoking behavior, higher waist-to-hip ratio, and higher levels of systolic blood pressure (SBP), fasting blood glucose, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), and triglycerides (TGs). Furthermore, increase in genetically predicted AAM was associated with genetically predicted longer sleep duration, higher levels of high-density lipoproteins, and older age at which hormone replacement therapy was started. The most essential mediators identified were genetically predicted current smoking behavior and levels of HbA1c, SBP, and TGs, which were estimated to genetically mediate 13.9, 12.2, 10.5, and 9.2%, respectively, with a combined mediation proportion of 37.5% in the association of genetically predicted AAM with genetically predicted increased risk of MI in an MR framework.ConclusionOur MR analysis showed that increase in genetically predicted AAM was associated with lower genetically predicted risk of MI, which was substantially mediated by genetically determined current smoking behavior and levels of HbA1c, SBP, and TGs. Intervening on the above mediators may reduce the risk of MI.