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Pattern and degree of individual brain atrophy predicts dementia onset in dominantly inherited Alzheimer's disease.


ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic dominantly inherited Alzheimer's disease mutation carriers (DIAD-MC) are ideal candidates for preventative treatment trials aimed at delaying or preventing dementia onset. Brain atrophy is an early feature of DIAD-MC and could help predict risk for dementia during trial enrollment.

Methods

We created a dementia risk score by entering standardized gray-matter volumes from 231 DIAD-MC into a logistic regression to classify participants with and without dementia. The score's predictive utility was assessed using Cox models and receiver operating curves on a separate group of 65 DIAD-MC followed longitudinally.

Results

Our risk score separated asymptomatic versus demented DIAD-MC with 96.4% (standard error = 0.02) and predicted conversion to dementia at next visit (hazard ratio = 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI: 1.15, 1.49]) and within 2 years (area under the curve = 90.3%, 95% CI [82.3%-98.2%]) and improved prediction beyond established methods based on familial age of onset.

Discussion

Individualized risk scores based on brain atrophy could be useful for establishing enrollment criteria and stratifying DIAD-MC participants for prevention trials.

SUBMITTER: Keret O 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8256623 | biostudies-literature | 2021

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Pattern and degree of individual brain atrophy predicts dementia onset in dominantly inherited Alzheimer's disease.

Keret Ophir O   Staffaroni Adam M AM   Ringman John M JM   Cobigo Yann Y   Goh Sheng-Yang M SM   Wolf Amy A   Allen Isabel Elaine IE   Salloway Stephen S   Chhatwal Jasmeer J   Brickman Adam M AM   Reyes-Dumeyer Dolly D   Bateman Randal J RJ   Benzinger Tammie L S TLS   Morris John C JC   Ances Beau M BM   Joseph-Mathurin Nelly N   Perrin Richard J RJ   Gordon Brian A BA   Levin Johannes J   Vöglein Jonathan J   Jucker Mathias M   la Fougère Christian C   Martins Ralph N RN   Sohrabi Hamid R HR   Taddei Kevin K   Villemagne Victor L VL   Schofield Peter R PR   Brooks William S WS   Fulham Michael M   Masters Colin L CL   Ghetti Bernardino B   Saykin Andrew J AJ   Jack Clifford R CR   Graff-Radford Neill R NR   Weiner Michael M   Cash David M DM   Allegri Ricardo F RF   Chrem Patricio P   Yi Su S   Miller Bruce L BL   Rabinovici Gil D GD   Rosen Howard J HJ  

Alzheimer's & dementia (Amsterdam, Netherlands) 20210705 1


<h4>Introduction</h4>Asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic dominantly inherited Alzheimer's disease mutation carriers (DIAD-MC) are ideal candidates for preventative treatment trials aimed at delaying or preventing dementia onset. Brain atrophy is an early feature of DIAD-MC and could help predict risk for dementia during trial enrollment.<h4>Methods</h4>We created a dementia risk score by entering standardized gray-matter volumes from 231 DIAD-MC into a logistic regression to classify participant  ...[more]

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