Neural-ODE for pharmacokinetics modeling and its advantage to alternative machine learning models in predicting new dosing regimens.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Lu J
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8283337 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Magnesium sulfate is the anticonvulsant of choice for eclampsia prophylaxis and treatment; however, the recommended dosing regimens are costly and cumbersome and can be administered only by skilled health professionals. The objectives of this study were to develop a robust exposure-response model for the relationship between serum magnesium exposure and eclampsia using data from large studies of women with preeclampsia who received magnesium sulfate, and to predict eclampsia probabilities for standard and alternative (shorter treatment duration and/or fewer intramuscular injections) regimens. Exposure-response modeling and simulation were applied to existing data. A total of 10 280 women with preeclampsia who received magnesium sulfate or placebo were evaluated. An existing population pharmacokinetic model was used to estimate individual serum magnesium exposure. Logistic regression was applied to quantify the serum magnesium area under the curve-eclampsia rate relationship. Our exposure-response model-estimated eclampsia rates were comparable to observed rates. Several alternative regimens predicted magnesium peak concentration < 3.5 mmol/L (empiric safety threshold) and eclampsia rate ≤ 0.7% (observed response threshold), including 4 g intravenously plus 10 g intramuscularly followed by either 8 g intramuscularly every 6 hours × 3 doses or 10 g intramuscularly every 8 hours × 2 doses and 10 g intramuscularly every 8 hours × 3 doses. Several alternative magnesium sulfate regimens with comparable model-predicted efficacy and safety were identified that merit evaluation in confirmatory clinical trials.
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Project description:The objectives of this analysis were to develop a population pharmacokinetic (PK) model to describe the absorption and disposition of fusidic acid after single and multiple doses and to determine the effect of food on the rate and extent of bioavailability. Plasma PK data from three phase 1 studies (n = 75; n = 14 with and without food) in which healthy subjects received sodium fusidate (500 to 2,200 mg) as single or multiple oral doses every 8 h (q8h) or q12h for up to 7 days were modeled using S-ADAPT (MCPEM algorithm). Accumulation of fusidic acid after multiple doses was more than that predicted based on single-dose data. The PK of fusidic acid was best described using a time-dependent mixed-order absorption process, two disposition compartments, and a turnover process to describe the autoinhibition of clearance. The mean total clearance (% coefficient of variation) was 1.28 liters/h (33%) and the maximum extent of autoinhibition was 71.0%, with a 50% inhibitory concentration (IC(50)) of 46.3 mg/liter (36%). Food decreased the extent of bioavailability by 18%. As a result of the autoinhibition of clearance, steady state can be achieved earlier with dosing regimens that contain higher doses (after 8 days for 750 mg q12h and 1 day for 1,500 mg q12h on day 1 followed by 600 mg q12h versus 3 weeks for 500 mg q12h). Given that large initial doses autoinhibit the clearance of fusidic acid, this characteristic provides a basis for the administration of front-loaded dosing regimens of sodium fusidate which would allow for effective concentrations to be achieved early in therapy.
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Project description:Ganciclovir is indicated for curative or preventive treatment of cytomegalovirus (CMV) infections. This study aimed to characterize ganciclovir pharmacokinetics, following intravenous ganciclovir and oral valganciclovir administration, to optimize dosing schemes. All children aged <18 years receiving ganciclovir or valganciclovir were included in this study. Pharmacokinetics were described using nonlinear mixed-effect modeling. Monte Carlo simulations were used to optimize the dosing regimen to maintain the area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) in the preventive or therapeutic target. Among the 105 children (374 concentration-time observations) included, 78 received intravenous (i.v.) ganciclovir, 19 received oral valganciclovir, and 6 received both drugs. A two-compartment model with first-order absorption for valganciclovir and first-order elimination best described the data. An allometric model was used to describe the bodyweight (BW) effect. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and medical status of critically ill children were significantly associated with ganciclovir elimination. Recommended doses were adapted for prophylactic treatment. To obtain a therapeutic exposure, doses should be increased to 40 mg/kg of body weight/day oral or 15 to 20 mg/kg/day i.v. in children with normal eGFR and to 56 mg/kg/day oral or 20 to 25 mg/kg/day i.v. in children with augmented eGFR. These doses should be prospectively confirmed, and therapeutic drug monitoring could be used to refine them individually. (This study has been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov under identifier NCT02539407.).
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Project description:Acyclovir is an antiviral currently used for the prevention and treatment of herpes simplex virus (HSV) and varicella-zoster virus (VZV) infections. This study aimed to characterize the pharmacokinetics (PK) of acyclovir and its oral prodrug valacyclovir to optimize dosing in children. Children receiving acyclovir or valacyclovir were included in this study. PK were described using nonlinear mixed-effect modeling. Dosing simulations were used to obtain trough concentrations above a 50% inhibitory concentration for HSV or VZV (0.56 mg/liter and 1.125 mg/liter, respectively) and maximal peak concentrations below 25 mg/liter. A total of 79 children (212 concentration-time observations) were included: 50 were taking intravenous (i.v.) acyclovir, 22 were taking oral acyclovir, and 7 were taking both i.v. and oral acyclovir, 57 for preventive and 22 for curative purposes. A one-compartment model with first-order elimination best described the data. An allometric model was used to describe body weight effect, and the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was significantly associated with acyclovir elimination. To obtain target maximal and trough concentrations, the more suitable initial acyclovir i.v. dose was 10 mg/kg of body weight/6 h for children with normal renal function (eGFR ≤ 250 ml/min/1.73 m2) and 15 to 20 mg/kg/6 h for children with augmented renal clearance (ARC) (eGFR > 250 ml/min/1.73 m2). The 20-mg/kg/8 h dose for oral acyclovir and valacyclovir produced effective concentrations in more than 75% of children; however, a 15-mg/kg/6 h dose, if possible, is preferred. These doses should be prospectively confirmed, and therapeutic drug monitoring could be used to refine them individually. (This study has been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov under identifier NCT02539407.).
| S-EPMC7674054 | biostudies-literature
Project description:PURPOSE:To determine the exposure-response (ER) relationships between atezolizumab exposure and efficacy or safety in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) or urothelial carcinoma (UC) and to identify alternative dosing regimens. METHODS:ER analyses were conducted using pooled NSCLC and UC data from phase 1 and 3 studies (PCD4989g, OAK, IMvigor211; ClinicalTrials.gov IDs, NCT01375842, NCT02008227, and NCT02302807, respectively). Objective response rate, overall survival, and adverse events were evaluated vs pharmacokinetic (PK) metrics. Population PK-simulated exposures for regimens of 840 mg every 2 weeks (q2w) and 1680 mg every 4 weeks (q4w) were compared with the approved regimen of 1200 mg every 3 weeks (q3w) and the maximum assessed dose (MAD; 20 mg/kg q3w). Phase 3 IMpassion130 (NCT02425891) data were used to validate the PK simulations for 840 mg q2w. Observed safety data were evaluated by exposure and body weight subgroups. RESULTS:No significant ER relationships were observed for safety or efficacy. Predicted exposures for 840 mg q2w and 1680 mg q4w were comparable to 1200 mg q3w and the MAD and consistent with observed PK data from IMpassion130. Observed safety was similar between patients with a Cmax above and below the predicted Cmax for 1680 mg q4w and between patients in the lowest and upper 3 body weight quartiles. CONCLUSION:Atezolizumab regimens of 840 mg q2w and 1680 mg q4w are expected to have comparable efficacy and safety as the approved regimen of 1200 mg q3w, supporting their interchangeable use and offering patients greater flexibility.
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