A Machine Learning Approach for Detecting Vicarious Trial and Error Behaviors.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Miles JT
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8292638 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Background and purpose: Growing evidence suggests that Machine Learning (ML) models can assist the diagnosis of neurological disorders. However, little is known about the potential application of ML in diagnosing idiopathic REM sleep behavior disorder (iRBD), a parasomnia characterized by a high risk of phenoconversion to synucleinopathies. This study aimed to develop a model using ML algorithms to identify iRBD patients and test its accuracy. Methods: Data were acquired from 32 participants (20 iRBD patients and 12 controls). All subjects underwent a video-polysomnography. In all subjects, we measured the components of heart rate variability (HRV) during 24 h recordings and calculated night-to-day ratios (cardiac autonomic indices). Discriminating performances of single HRV features were assessed. ML models based on Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF) and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) were trained on HRV data. The utility of HRV features and ML models for detecting iRBD was evaluated by area under the ROC curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity and accuracy corresponding to optimal models. Results: Cardiac autonomic indices had low performances (accuracy 63-69%) in distinguishing iRBD from control subjects. By contrast, the RF model performed the best, with excellent accuracy (94%), sensitivity (95%) and specificity (92%), while XGBoost showed accuracy (91%), specificity (83%) and sensitivity (95%). The mean triangular index during wake (TIw) was the best discriminating feature between iRBD and HC, with 81% accuracy, reaching 84% accuracy when combined with VLF power during sleep using an LR model. Conclusions: Our findings demonstrated that ML algorithms can accurately identify iRBD patients. Our model could be used in clinical practice to facilitate the early detection of this form of RBD.
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Project description:BackgroundResearch has repeatedly shown that exposure to suicide-related news media content is associated with suicide rates, with some content characteristics likely having harmful and others potentially protective effects. Although good evidence exists for a few selected characteristics, systematic and large-scale investigations are lacking. Moreover, the growing importance of social media, particularly among young adults, calls for studies on the effects of the content posted on these platforms.ObjectiveThis study applies natural language processing and machine learning methods to classify large quantities of social media data according to characteristics identified as potentially harmful or beneficial in media effects research on suicide and prevention.MethodsWe manually labeled 3202 English tweets using a novel annotation scheme that classifies suicide-related tweets into 12 categories. Based on these categories, we trained a benchmark of machine learning models for a multiclass and a binary classification task. As models, we included a majority classifier, an approach based on word frequency (term frequency-inverse document frequency with a linear support vector machine) and 2 state-of-the-art deep learning models (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers [BERT] and XLNet). The first task classified posts into 6 main content categories, which are particularly relevant for suicide prevention based on previous evidence. These included personal stories of either suicidal ideation and attempts or coping and recovery, calls for action intending to spread either problem awareness or prevention-related information, reporting of suicide cases, and other tweets irrelevant to these 5 categories. The second classification task was binary and separated posts in the 11 categories referring to actual suicide from posts in the off-topic category, which use suicide-related terms in another meaning or context.ResultsIn both tasks, the performance of the 2 deep learning models was very similar and better than that of the majority or the word frequency classifier. BERT and XLNet reached accuracy scores above 73% on average across the 6 main categories in the test set and F1-scores between 0.69 and 0.85 for all but the suicidal ideation and attempts category (F1=0.55). In the binary classification task, they correctly labeled around 88% of the tweets as about suicide versus off-topic, with BERT achieving F1-scores of 0.93 and 0.74, respectively. These classification performances were similar to human performance in most cases and were comparable with state-of-the-art models on similar tasks.ConclusionsThe achieved performance scores highlight machine learning as a useful tool for media effects research on suicide. The clear advantage of BERT and XLNet suggests that there is crucial information about meaning in the context of words beyond mere word frequencies in tweets about suicide. By making data labeling more efficient, this work has enabled large-scale investigations on harmful and protective associations of social media content with suicide rates and help-seeking behavior.
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Project description:BackgroundRetrospective exploratory analyses of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) seeking to identify treatment effect heterogeneity (TEH) are prone to bias and false positives. Yet the desire to learn all we can from exhaustive data measurements on trial participants motivates the inclusion of such analyses within RCTs. Moreover, widespread advances in machine learning (ML) methods hold potential to utilise such data to identify subjects exhibiting heterogeneous treatment response.MethodsWe present a novel analysis strategy for detecting TEH in randomised data using ML methods, whilst ensuring proper control of the false positive discovery rate. Our approach uses random data partitioning with statistical or ML-based prediction on held-out data. This method can test for both crossover TEH (switch in optimal treatment) and non-crossover TEH (systematic variation in benefit across patients). The former is done via a two-sample hypothesis test measuring overall predictive performance. The latter is done via 'stacking' the ML predictors alongside a classical statistical model to formally test the added benefit of the ML algorithm. An adaptation of recent statistical theory allows for the construction of a valid aggregate p value. This testing strategy is independent of the choice of ML method.ResultsWe demonstrate our approach with a re-analysis of the SEAQUAMAT trial, which compared quinine to artesunate for the treatment of severe malaria in Asian adults. We find no evidence for any subgroup who would benefit from a change in treatment from the current standard of care, artesunate, but strong evidence for significant TEH within the artesunate treatment group. In particular, we find that artesunate provides a differential benefit to patients with high numbers of circulating ring stage parasites.ConclusionsML analysis plans using computational notebooks (documents linked to a programming language that capture the model parameter settings, data processing choices, and evaluation criteria) along with version control can improve the robustness and transparency of RCT exploratory analyses. A data-partitioning algorithm allows researchers to apply the latest ML techniques safe in the knowledge that any declared associations are statistically significant at a user-defined level.
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