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Nivolumab exposure-response analysis for adjuvant treatment of melanoma supporting a change in posology.

ABSTRACT: Nivolumab monotherapy is approved as adjuvant treatment for melanoma based on results from the pivotal CheckMate 238 trial. We present a model-based, benefit-risk assessment of nivolumab in adjuvant melanoma supporting a posology change from a weight-based to a less frequent, flat-dosing regimen. The exposure-response (E-R) relationship for efficacy was evaluated using recurrence-free survival (RFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) end points from the CheckMate 238 trial. The E-R for safety was evaluated using data from 14 studies across a broad range of doses in several tumor types using grade 3+ adverse event (AE) and grade 2+ immune-mediated AE (IMAE) end points. Nivolumab trough exposures were not significant predictors of RFS or DMFS. Covariates significantly associated with increased risk of disease recurrence or death were programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1; less than 5% cutoff), lower baseline lactate dehydrogenase, and higher age. Covariates associated with increased risk of distant metastasis or death were PD-L1 (less than 5% cutoff) and higher age. Higher nivolumab maximum concentration after first dose (Cmax1) was significantly associated with grade 2+ IMAEs, but not grade 3+ AEs. The risk of grade 3+ AEs was significantly lower in adjuvant versus advanced melanoma. Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status higher than zero was associated with higher incidences of grade 2+ IMAEs and grade 3+ AEs. Female patients had significantly higher incidences of grade 2+ IMAEs than male patients. Nivolumab monotherapy in adjuvant melanoma demonstrated a relatively flat E-R relationship over the range of exposures produced by 3 mg/kg every 2 weeks and predicted a comparable benefit-risk profile to flat-dosing regimens.

SUBMITTER: Sanghavi K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8302247 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:INTRODUCTION:Nivolumab has been approved in patients with melanoma with lymph node involvement or metastatic disease who have undergone complete resection, in the adjuvant setting. A pivotal trial compared nivolumab with ipilimumab; however, no head-to-head trial exists comparing nivolumab to observation, a common comparator in the adjuvant setting. Here, we compared the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of nivolumab with observation or ipilimumab as adjuvant therapies in resected stage IIIB/C melanoma. METHODS:Patient data were pooled from the EORTC 18071 and CheckMate 238 trials using propensity score weighting and adjusting for cross-trial differences. Number needed to treat (NNT) and costs per recurrence-free life-month (RFLM) at 12, 16, 18, and 24 months (as data allowed) were estimated. Costs included drug acquisition, administration costs, and direct medical costs. Sensitivity analyses including patients with stage IIIB/C and resected stage IV melanoma were conducted. RESULTS:A total of 1287 patients (278 nivolumab, 365 observation, and 644 ipilimumab) with resected stage IIIB/C melanoma were pooled. NNTs to achieve one additional recurrence-free survivor with nivolumab versus observation were 3.93 at 12 months and 3.42 at 24 months; NNTs for nivolumab versus ipilimumab were 7.97 at 12 months and 6.43 at 24 months. Mean drug costs per RFLM were lower for nivolumab at 12, 18, and 24 months, respectively (nivolumab: $13,447, $9462, and $7370; ipilimumab: $52,734, $40,484, and $33,875). Mean medical costs per RFLM were the lowest for nivolumab versus observation or ipilimumab at 12 months ($449 versus $674 or $1531) and 16 months ($383 versus $808 or $1316). The sensitivity analysis results were consistent with the base case. CONCLUSION:For resected melanoma, adjuvant nivolumab is both clinically effective and cost-effective compared with observation or ipilimumab. Adjuvant nivolumab was associated with a lower drug cost per RFLM compared with ipilimumab, and a lower medical cost compared with observation. Future analyses incorporating long-term follow-up data may help increase understanding of the economic impact of nivolumab in the adjuvant setting. FUNDING:Bristol-Myers Squibb Company.

Project description:ImportanceTreatment-free survival (TFS) represents an alternative time-to-event end point, accurately characterizing time spent free of systemic therapy, providing a more patient-centric view of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy regimens. There remains a lack of studies evaluating TFS outcomes among patients with advanced melanoma who are receiving immunotherapy, especially outside of the clinical trial setting.ObjectiveTo evaluate TFS outcomes for patients with advanced melanoma receiving first-line ICI therapy outside of a clinical trial setting.Design, setting, and participantsThis multicenter cohort study of patients with advanced melanoma receiving first-line ICI therapy between August 1, 2013, and May 31, 2020, was conducted in Alberta, Canada. Data analysis was performed in August 2022.ExposuresPatients received standard-of-care, first-line ICI therapy treatment regimens including single-agent nivolumab, single-agent pembrolizumab, or ipilimumab-nivolumab.Main outcomes and measuresTreatment-free survival was defined as the difference in the 36-month restricted mean survival time between 2 conventional survival end points: (1) time from treatment initiation to ICI cessation, death, or censoring at last follow-up and (2) time from treatment initiation to subsequent systemic anticancer therapy, death, or censoring at last follow-up.ResultsA total of 316 patients with advanced melanoma receiving first-line nivolumab (n = 51; median age, 66 years [IQR, 56-78 years]; 31 men [60.8%]), pembrolizumab (n = 158; median age, 69 years [IQR, 60-78 years]; 112 men [70.9%]), or combination nivolumab-ipilimumab (n = 107; median age, 53 years [IQR, 42-60 years]; 72 men [67.3%]) were included. Treatment groups were similar with regard to sex, primary tumor location, and presence of metastasis, although patients receiving combination nivolumab-ipilimumab had a lower Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group status, were younger, and were more likely to be BRAF V600E positive than those receiving anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (anti-PD-1) monotherapy. The restricted mean TFS was longer for nivolumab-ipilimumab (12.4 months [95% CI, 8.8-16.0 months]) compared with nivolumab (8.9 months [95% CI, 4.4-13.5 months]) and pembrolizumab (11.1 months [95% CI, 8.5-13.8 months]). During the 36-month follow-up interval, patients treated with nivolumab-ipilimumab spent 34.4% of their time (12.4 of 36 months) not receiving systemic anticancer treatments compared with 30.8% (11.1 of 36 months) and 24.7% (8.9 of 36 months) of the time for the pembrolizumab and nivolumab treatment groups, respectively.Conclusions and relevanceThis cohort study of patients with advanced melanoma receiving first-line ICI therapy suggests that TFS represents a patient-centric, informative end point. Patients treated with combination nivolumab-ipilimumab spent more time alive and free from systemic anticancer therapy than those treated with anti-PD-1 monotherapy alone.

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Nivolumab exposure-response analysis for adjuvant treatment of melanoma supporting a change in posology.

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