Development and validation of tumor-to-blood based nomograms for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in lung cancer.
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ABSTRACT: Background
To develop and validate tumor-to-blood based nomograms for preoperative prediction of lymph node (LN) metastasis in patients with lung cancer (LC).Methods
A prediction model was developed in a primary cohort comprising 330 LN stations from patients with pathologically confirmed LC, these data having been gathered from January 2016 to June 2019. Tumor-to-blood variables of LNs were calculated from positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET-CT) images of LC and the short axis diameters of LNs were measured on CT images. Tumor-to-blood variables, number of stations suspected of harboring LN metastasis according to PET, and independent clinicopathological risk factors were included in the final nomograms. After being internally validated, the nomograms were used to assess an independent validation cohort containing 101 consecutive LN stations accumulated from July 2019 to March 2020.Results
Four tumor-to-blood variables (left atrium, inferior vena cava, liver, and aortic arch) and the maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) for LNs were found to be significantly associated with LN status (p < 0.001 for both primary and validation cohorts). Five predictive nomograms were built. Of these, one with LN SUVmax/left atrium SUVmax was found to be optimal for predicting LN status with AUC 0.830 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.774-0.886) in the primary cohort and AUC 0.865 (95% CI: 0.782-0.948) in the validation cohort. All models showed good discrimination, with a modest C-index, and good calibration in both primary and validation cohorts.Conclusions
We have developed tumor-to-blood based nomograms that incorporate identified clinicopathological risk factors and facilitate preoperative prediction of LN metastasis in LC patients.
SUBMITTER: Fu Y
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8327690 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BackgroundBased on the "seed and soil" theory proposed by previous studies, we aimed to develop and validate a combined model of machine learning for predicting lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with peripheral lung adenocarcinoma (PLADC).MethodsRadiomics models were developed in a primary cohort of 390 patients (training cohort) with pathologically confirmed PLADC from January 2016 to August 2018. The patients were divided into the LNM (-) and LNM (+) groups. Thereafter, the patients were subdivided according to TNM stages N0, N1, N2, and N3. Radiomic features from unenhanced computed tomography (CT) were extracted. Radiomic signatures of the primary tumor (R1) and adjacent pleura (R2) were built as predictors of LNM. CT morphological features and clinical characteristics were compared between both groups. A combined model incorporating R1, R2, and CT morphological features, and clinical risk factors was developed by multivariate analysis. The combined model's performance was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. An internal validation cohort containing 166 consecutive patients from September 2018 to November 2019 was also assessed.ResultsThirty-one radiomic features of R1 and R2 were significant predictors of LNM (all P < 0.05). Sex, smoking history, tumor size, density, air bronchogram, spiculation, lobulation, necrosis, pleural effusion, and pleural involvement also differed significantly between the groups (all P < 0.05). R1, R2, tumor size, and spiculation in the combined model were independent risk factors for predicting LNM in patients with PLADC, with area under the ROC curves (AUCs) of 0.897 and 0.883 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The combined model identified N0, N1, N2, and N3, with AUCs ranging from 0.691-0.927 in the training cohort and 0.700-0.951 in the validation cohort, respectively, thereby indicating good performance.ConclusionCT phenotypes of the primary tumor and adjacent pleura were significantly associated with LNM. A combined model incorporating radiomic signatures, CT morphological features, and clinical risk factors can assess LNM of patients with PLADC accurately and non-invasively.
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Project description:BackgroundGrowing evidence suggests that tumor metastasis necessitates multi-step microenvironmental regulation. Lymph node metastasis (LNM) influences both pre- and post-operative bladder cancer (BLCA) treatment strategies. Given that current LNM diagnosis methods are still insufficient, we intend to investigate the microenvironmental changes in BLCA with and without LNM and develop a prediction model to confirm LNM status.Method"Estimation of Stromal and Immune cells in Malignant Tumors using Expression data" (ESTIMATE) algorithm was used to characterize the tumor microenvironment pattern of TCGA-BLCA cohort, and dimension reduction, feature selection, and StrLNM signature construction were accomplished using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. StrLNM signature was combined with the genomic mutation to establish an LNM nomogram by using multivariable logistic regression. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated in terms of calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility. The testing set from the TCGA-BLCA cohort was used for internal validation. Moreover, three independent cohorts were used for external validation, and BLCA patients from our cohort were also used for further validation.ResultsThe StrLNM signature, consisting of 22 selected features, could accurately predict LNM status in the TCGA-BLCA cohort and several independent cohorts. The nomogram performed well in discriminating LNM status, with the area under curve (AUC) of 75.1% and 65.4% in training and testing datasets from the TCGA-BLCA cohort. Furthermore, the StrLNM nomogram demonstrated good calibration with p >0.05 in the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test. Decision curve analysis (DCA) revealed that the StrLNM nomogram had a high potential for clinical utility. Additionally, 14 of 22 stably expressed genes were identified by survival analysis and confirmed by qPCR in BLCA patient samples in our cohort.ConclusionIn summary, we developed a nomogram that included an StrLNM signature and facilitated the preoperative prediction of LNM status in BLCA patients.
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Project description:Lymph node involvement increases the risk of breast cancer recurrence. An accurate non-invasive assessment of nodal involvement is valuable in cancer staging, surgical risk, and cost savings. Radiomics has been proposed to pre-operatively predict sentinel lymph node (SLN) status; however, radiomic models are known to be sensitive to acquisition parameters. The purpose of this study was to develop a prediction model for preoperative prediction of SLN metastasis using deep learning-based (DLB) features and compare its predictive performance to state-of-the-art radiomics. Specifically, this study aimed to compare the generalizability of radiomics vs DLB features in an independent test set with dissimilar resolution. Dynamic contrast-enhancement images from 198 patients (67 positive SLNs) were used in this study. Of these subjects, 163 had an in-plane resolution of 0.7 × 0.7 mm2, which were randomly divided into a training set (approximately 67%) and a validation set (approximately 33%). The remaining 35 subjects with a different in-plane resolution (0.78 × 0.78 mm2) were treated as independent testing set for generalizability. Two methods were employed: (1) conventional radiomics (CR), and (2) DLB features which replaced hand-curated features with pre-trained VGG-16 features. The threshold determined using the training set was applied to the independent validation and testing dataset. Same feature reduction, feature selection, model creation procedures were used for both approaches. In the validation set (same resolution as training), the DLB model outperformed the CR model (accuracy 83% vs 80%). Furthermore, in the independent testing set of the dissimilar resolution, the DLB model performed markedly better than the CR model (accuracy 77% vs 71%). The predictive performance of the DLB model outperformed the CR model for this task. More interestingly, these improvements were seen particularly in the independent testing set of dissimilar resolution. This could indicate that DLB features can ultimately result in a more generalizable model.
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Project description:BackgroundIncreasing evidence indicated that the tumor microenvironment (TME) plays a critical role in tumor progression. This study aimed to identify and evaluate mRNA signature involved in lymph node metastasis (LNM) in TME for gastric cancer (GC).MethodsGene expression and clinical data were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). The ESTIMATE algorithm was used to evaluate the TME of GC. The heatmap and Venn plots were applied for visualizing and screening out intersect differentially expressed genes (DEGs) involved in LNM in TME. Functional enrichment analysis, gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and protein-protein interaction (PPI) network were also conducted. Furthermore, binary logistic regression analysis were employed to develop a 4-mRNAs signature for the LNM prediction. ROC curves were applied to validate the LNM predictive ability of the riskscore. Nomogram was constructed and calibration curve was plotted to verify the predictive power of nomogram.ResultsA total of 88 LNM related DEGs were identified. Functional enrichment analysis and GSEA implied that those genes were associated with some biological processes, such as ion transportation, lipid metabolism and thiolester hydrolase activity. After univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis, 4 mRNAs (RASSF2, MS4A2, ANKRD33B and ADH1B) were eventually screened out to develop a predictive model. ROC curves manifested the good performance of the 4-mRNAs signature. The proportion of patients with LNM in high-risk group was significantly higher than that in low-risk group. The C-index of nomogram from training and test cohorts were 0.865 and 0.765, and the nomogram was well calibrated.ConclusionsIn general, we identified a 4-mRNAs signature that effectively predicted LNM in GC patients. Moreover, the 4-mRNAs signature and nomogram provide a guidance for the preoperative evaluation and postoperative treatment of GC patients.
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Project description:Objective. To develop an artificial intelligence method predicting lymph node metastasis (LNM) for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). Impact Statement. A novel interpretable multimodal AI-based method to predict LNM for CRC patients by integrating information of pathological images and serum tumor-specific biomarkers. Introduction. Preoperative diagnosis of LNM is essential in treatment planning for CRC patients. Existing radiology imaging and genomic tests approaches are either unreliable or too costly. Methods. A total of 1338 patients were recruited, where 1128 patients from one centre were included as the discovery cohort and 210 patients from other two centres were involved as the external validation cohort. We developed a Multimodal Multiple Instance Learning (MMIL) model to learn latent features from pathological images and then jointly integrated the clinical biomarker features for predicting LNM status. The heatmaps of the obtained MMIL model were generated for model interpretation. Results. The MMIL model outperformed preoperative radiology-imaging diagnosis and yielded high area under the curve (AUCs) of 0.926, 0.878, 0.809, and 0.857 for patients with stage T1, T2, T3, and T4 CRC, on the discovery cohort. On the external cohort, it obtained AUCs of 0.855, 0.832, 0.691, and 0.792, respectively (T1-T4), which indicates its prediction accuracy and potential adaptability among multiple centres. Conclusion. The MMIL model showed the potential in the early diagnosis of LNM by referring to pathological images and tumor-specific biomarkers, which is easily accessed in different institutes. We revealed the histomorphologic features determining the LNM prediction indicating the model ability to learn informative latent features.
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Project description:Background and purposeThe preoperative LN (lymph node) status of patients with LUAD (lung adenocarcinoma) is a key factor for determining if systemic nodal dissection is required, which is usually confirmed after surgery. This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for preoperative prediction of LN metastasis in LUAD based on a radiomics signature and deep learning signature.Materials and methodsThis retrospective study included a training cohort of 200 patients, an internal validation cohort of 40 patients, and an external validation cohort of 60 patients. Radiomics features were extracted from conventional CT (computed tomography) images. T-test and Extra-trees were performed for feature selection, and the selected features were combined using logistic regression to build the radiomics signature. The features and weights of the last fully connected layer of a CNN (convolutional neural network) were combined to obtain a deep learning signature. By incorporating clinical risk factors, the prediction model was developed using a multivariable logistic regression analysis, based on which the nomogram was developed. The calibration, discrimination and clinical values of the nomogram were evaluated.ResultsMultivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the radiomics signature, deep learning signature, and CT-reported LN status were independent predictors. The prediction model developed by all the independent predictors showed good discrimination (C-index, 0.820; 95% CI, 0.762 to 0.879) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P=0.193) capabilities for the training cohort. Additionally, the model achieved satisfactory discrimination (C-index, 0.861; 95% CI, 0.769 to 0.954) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P=0.775) when applied to the external validation cohort. An analysis of the decision curve showed that the nomogram had potential for clinical application.ConclusionsThis study presents a prediction model based on radiomics signature, deep learning signature, and CT-reported LN status that can be used to predict preoperative LN metastasis in patients with LUAD.
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Project description:BackgroundPreoperative lymph node (LN) status is important for the treatment of bladder cancer (BCa). However, a proportion of patients are at high risk for inaccurate clinical nodal staging by current methods. Here, we report an accurate magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics signature for the individual preoperative prediction of LN metastasis in BCa.MethodsIn total, 103 eligible BCa patients were divided into a training set (n = 69) and a validation set (n = 34). And 718 radiomics features were extracted from the cancerous volumes of interest (VOIs) on T2-weighted MRI images. A radiomics signature was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm in the training set, whose performance was assessed and then validated in the validation set. Stratified analyses were also performed. Based on the multivariable logistic regression analysis, a radiomics nomogram was developed incorporating the radiomics signature and selected clinical predictors. Discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness of the nomogram were assessed.FindingsConsisting of 9 selected features, the radiomics signature showed a favorable discriminatory ability in the training set with an AUC of 0.9005, which was confirmed in the validation set with an AUC of 0.8447. Encouragingly, the radiomics signature also showed good discrimination in the MRI-reported LN negative (cN0) subgroup (AUC, 0.8406). The nomogram, consisting of the radiomics signature and the MRI-reported LN status, showed good calibration and discrimination in the training and validation sets (AUC, 0.9118 and 0.8902, respectively). The decision curve analysis indicated that the nomogram was clinically useful.InterpretationThe MRI-based radiomics nomogram has the potential to be used as a non-invasive tool for individualized preoperative prediction of LN metastasis in BCa. External validation is further required prior to clinical implementation.
| S-EPMC6116473 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectivesThe aim of the current study was to develop and validate a nomogram based on CT radiomics features and clinical variables for predicting lymph node metastasis (LNM) in gallbladder cancer (GBC).MethodsA total of 353 GBC patients from two hospitals were enrolled in this study. A Radscore was developed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic model based on the radiomics features extracted from the portal venous-phase computed tomography (CT). Four prediction models were constructed based on the training cohort and were validated using internal and external validation cohorts. The most effective model was then selected to build a nomogram.ResultsThe clinical-radiomics nomogram, which comprised Radscore and three clinical variables, showed the best diagnostic efficiency in the training cohort (AUC = 0.851), internal validation cohort (AUC = 0.819), and external validation cohort (AUC = 0.824). Calibration curves showed good discrimination ability of the nomogram using the validation cohorts. Decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the nomogram had a high clinical utility.ConclusionThe findings showed that the clinical-radiomics nomogram based on radiomics features and clinical parameters is a promising tool for preoperative prediction of LN status in patients with GBC.
| S-EPMC8493033 | biostudies-literature
Project description:PurposeTo develop and validate a radiomics nomogram for the preoperative prediction of lymph node (LN) metastasis in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).Materials and methodsIn this retrospective study, 225 patients with surgically resected, pathologically confirmed PDAC underwent multislice computed tomography (MSCT) between January 2014 and January 2017. Radiomics features were extracted from arterial CT scans. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method was used to select the features. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to develop the predictive model, and a radiomics nomogram was built and internally validated in 45 consecutive patients with PDAC between February 2017 and December 2017. The performance of the nomogram was assessed in the training and validation cohort. Finally, the clinical usefulness of the nomogram was estimated using decision curve analysis (DCA).ResultsThe radiomics signature, which consisted of 13 selected features of the arterial phase, was significantly associated with LN status (p < 0.05) in both the training and validation cohorts. The multivariable logistic regression model included the radiomics signature and CT-reported LN status. The individualized prediction nomogram showed good discrimination in the training cohort [area under the curve (AUC), 0.75; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.68-0.82] and in the validation cohort (AUC, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.69-0.94) and good calibration. DCA demonstrated that the radiomics nomogram was clinically useful.ConclusionsThe presented radiomics nomogram that incorporates the radiomics signature and CT-reported LN status is a noninvasive, preoperative prediction tool with favorable predictive accuracy for LN metastasis in patients with PDAC.
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Project description:PURPOSE:To build and validate a radiomics-based nomogram for the prediction of pre-operation lymph node (LN) metastasis in esophageal cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS:A total of 197 esophageal cancer patients were enrolled in this study, and their LN metastases have been pathologically confirmed. The data were collected from January 2016 to May 2016; patients in the first three months were set in the training cohort, and patients in April 2016 were set in the validation cohort. About 788 radiomics features were extracted from computed tomography (CT) images of the patients. The elastic-net approach was exploited for dimension reduction and selection of the feature space. The multivariable logistic regression analysis was adopted to build the radiomics signature and another predictive nomogram model. The predictive nomogram model was composed of three factors with the radiomics signature, where CT reported the LN number and position risk level. The performance and usefulness of the built model were assessed by the calibration and decision curve analysis. RESULTS:Thirteen radiomics features were selected to build the radiomics signature. The radiomics signature was significantly associated with the LN metastasis (P<0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) of the radiomics signature performance in the training cohort was 0.806 (95% CI: 0.732-0.881), and in the validation cohort it was 0.771 (95% CI: 0.632-0.910). The model showed good discrimination, with a Harrell's Concordance Index of 0.768 (0.672 to 0.864, 95% CI) in the training cohort and 0.754 (0.603 to 0.895, 95% CI) in the validation cohort. Decision curve analysis showed our model will receive benefit when the threshold probability was larger than 0.15. CONCLUSION:The present study proposed a radiomics-based nomogram involving the radiomics signature, so the CT reported the status of the suspected LN and the dummy variable of the tumor position. It can be potentially applied in the individual preoperative prediction of the LN metastasis status in esophageal cancer patients.
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