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Aging & COVID-19 susceptibility, disease severity, and clinical outcomes: The role of entangled risk factors.

ABSTRACT: The emergence of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Corona Virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in late 2019 has been associated with a high rate of mortality and morbidity. It has been determined that the old population are not only at an increased risk for affliction with COVID-19 infection, but also atypical presentations, severe forms of the disease, and mortality are more common in this population. A plethora of mechanisms and risk factors contribute to the higher risk of infection in the old population. For instance, aging is associated with an increment in the expression of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme-2 (ACE-2), the receptor for SARS-CoV-2 spike protein, which precipitates replication of the virus in the old population. On the other hand, immune dysregulation and changes in gut microbiota as a result of aging can contribute to the cytokine storm, one of the main indicators of disease severity. Decrement in sex steroids, especially in women, as well as growth hormone, both of which have crucial roles in immune regulation, is a key contributor to disease severity in old age. Senescence-associated oxidative stress and mitochondrial dysfunction in both pneumocytes and immune cells contribute to the severity of infection in an exacerbative manner. In addition, lifestyle-associated factors such as nutrition and physical activity, which are compromised in old age, are known as important factors in COVID-19 infection. Aging-associated comorbidities, especially cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus, also put older adults at an increased risk of complications, and disease severity.

SUBMITTER: Farshbafnadi M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8329427 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundEpidemiological studies report associations of diverse cardiometabolic conditions including obesity with COVID-19 illness, but causality has not been established. We sought to evaluate the associations of 17 cardiometabolic traits with COVID-19 susceptibility and severity using 2-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses.Methods and findingsWe selected genetic variants associated with each exposure, including body mass index (BMI), at p < 5 × 10-8 from genome-wide association studies (GWASs). We then calculated inverse-variance-weighted averages of variant-specific estimates using summary statistics for susceptibility and severity from the COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative GWAS meta-analyses of population-based cohorts and hospital registries comprising individuals with self-reported or genetically inferred European ancestry. Susceptibility was defined as testing positive for COVID-19 and severity was defined as hospitalization with COVID-19 versus population controls (anyone not a case in contributing cohorts). We repeated the analysis for BMI with effect estimates from the UK Biobank and performed pairwise multivariable MR to estimate the direct effects and indirect effects of BMI through obesity-related cardiometabolic diseases. Using p < 0.05/34 tests = 0.0015 to declare statistical significance, we found a nonsignificant association of genetically higher BMI with testing positive for COVID-19 (14,134 COVID-19 cases/1,284,876 controls, p = 0.002; UK Biobank: odds ratio 1.06 [95% CI 1.02, 1.10] per kg/m2; p = 0.004]) and a statistically significant association with higher risk of COVID-19 hospitalization (6,406 hospitalized COVID-19 cases/902,088 controls, p = 4.3 × 10-5; UK Biobank: odds ratio 1.14 [95% CI 1.07, 1.21] per kg/m2, p = 2.1 × 10-5). The implied direct effect of BMI was abolished upon conditioning on the effect on type 2 diabetes, coronary artery disease, stroke, and chronic kidney disease. No other cardiometabolic exposures tested were associated with a higher risk of poorer COVID-19 outcomes. Small study samples and weak genetic instruments could have limited the detection of modest associations, and pleiotropy may have biased effect estimates away from the null.ConclusionsIn this study, we found genetic evidence to support higher BMI as a causal risk factor for COVID-19 susceptibility and severity. These results raise the possibility that obesity could amplify COVID-19 disease burden independently or through its cardiometabolic consequences and suggest that targeting obesity may be a strategy to reduce the risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes.

Project description:Observational data from China, the United States, France, and Italy suggest that chronological age is an adverse COVID-19 outcome risk factor, with older patients having a higher severity and mortality rate than younger patients. Most studies have gotten the same view. However, the role of aging in COVID-19 adverse effects is unclear. To more accurately assess the effect of aging on adverse COVID-19, we conducted this bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) study. Epigenetic clocks and telomere length were used as biological indicators of aging. Data on epigenetic age (PhenoAge, GrimAge, Intrinsic HorvathAge, and HannumAge) were derived from an analysis of biological aging based on genome-wide association studies (GWAS) data. The telomere length data are derived from GWAS and the susceptibility and severity data are derived from the COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative (HGI). Firstly, epigenetic age and telomere length were used as exposures, and following a screen for appropriate instrumental variables, we used random-effects inverse variance weighting (IVW) for the main analysis, and combined it with other analysis methods (e.g., MR Egger, Weighted median, simple mode, Weighted mode) and multiple sensitivity analysis (heterogeneity analysis, horizontal multiplicity analysis, "leave-one-out" analysis). For reducing false-positive rates, Bonferroni corrected significance thresholds were used. A reverse Mendelian randomization analysis was subsequently performed with COVID-19 susceptibility and severity as the exposure. The results of the MR analysis showed no significant differences in susceptibility to aging and COVID-19. It might suggest that aging is not a risk factor for COVID-19 infection (P-values are in the range of 0.05-0.94). According to the results of our analysis, we found that aging was not a risk factor for the increased severity of COVID-19 (P > 0.05). However, severe COVID-19 can cause telomere lengths to become shorter (beta = -0.01; se = 0.01; P = 0.02779). In addition to this, severe COVID-19 infection can slow the acceleration of the epigenetic clock "GrimAge" (beta = -0.24, se = 0.07, P = 0.00122), which may be related to the closely correlation of rs35081325 and COVID-19 severity. Our study provides partial evidence for the causal effects of aging on the susceptibility and severity of COVID-19.

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Aging & COVID-19 susceptibility, disease severity, and clinical outcomes: The role of entangled risk factors.

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