Dataset Information

Polygenic risk scores predict diabetes complications and their response to intensive blood pressure and glucose control.

ABSTRACT:

Aims/hypothesis

Type 2 diabetes increases the risk of cardiovascular and renal complications, but early risk prediction could lead to timely intervention and better outcomes. Genetic information can be used to enable early detection of risk.

Methods

We developed a multi-polygenic risk score (multiPRS) that combines ten weighted PRSs (10 wPRS) composed of 598 SNPs associated with main risk factors and outcomes of type 2 diabetes, derived from summary statistics data of genome-wide association studies. The 10 wPRS, first principal component of ethnicity, sex, age at onset and diabetes duration were included into one logistic regression model to predict micro- and macrovascular outcomes in 4098 participants in the ADVANCE study and 17,604 individuals with type 2 diabetes in the UK Biobank study.

Results

The model showed a similar predictive performance for cardiovascular and renal complications in different cohorts. It identified the top 30% of ADVANCE participants with a mean of 3.1-fold increased risk of major micro- and macrovascular events (p = 6.3 × 10^-21 and p = 9.6 × 10^-31, respectively) and a 4.4-fold (p = 6.8 × 10^-33) higher risk of cardiovascular death. While in ADVANCE overall, combined intensive blood pressure and glucose control decreased cardiovascular death by 24%, the model identified a high-risk group in whom it decreased the mortality rate by 47%, and a low-risk group in whom it had no discernible effect. High-risk individuals had the greatest absolute risk reduction with a number needed to treat of 12 to prevent one cardiovascular death over 5 years.

Conclusions/interpretation

This novel multiPRS model stratified individuals with type 2 diabetes according to risk of complications and helped to target earlier those who would receive greater benefit from intensive therapy.

SUBMITTER: Tremblay J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8382653 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundThere is no evidence from randomized trials to support a strategy of lowering systolic blood pressure below 135 to 140 mm Hg in persons with type 2 diabetes mellitus. We investigated whether therapy targeting normal systolic pressure (i.e., <120 mm Hg) reduces major cardiovascular events in participants with type 2 diabetes at high risk for cardiovascular events.MethodsA total of 4733 participants with type 2 diabetes were randomly assigned to intensive therapy, targeting a systolic pressure of less than 120 mm Hg, or standard therapy, targeting a systolic pressure of less than 140 mm Hg. The primary composite outcome was nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or death from cardiovascular causes. The mean follow-up was 4.7 years.ResultsAfter 1 year, the mean systolic blood pressure was 119.3 mm Hg in the intensive-therapy group and 133.5 mm Hg in the standard-therapy group. The annual rate of the primary outcome was 1.87% in the intensive-therapy group and 2.09% in the standard-therapy group (hazard ratio with intensive therapy, 0.88; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.73 to 1.06; P=0.20). The annual rates of death from any cause were 1.28% and 1.19% in the two groups, respectively (hazard ratio, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.85 to 1.35; P=0.55). The annual rates of stroke, a prespecified secondary outcome, were 0.32% and 0.53% in the two groups, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.39 to 0.89; P=0.01). Serious adverse events attributed to antihypertensive treatment occurred in 77 of the 2362 participants in the intensive-therapy group (3.3%) and 30 of the 2371 participants in the standard-therapy group (1.3%) (P<0.001).ConclusionsIn patients with type 2 diabetes at high risk for cardiovascular events, targeting a systolic blood pressure of less than 120 mm Hg, as compared with less than 140 mm Hg, did not reduce the rate of a composite outcome of fatal and nonfatal major cardiovascular events. (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00000620.)

Project description:BackgroundPrevious studies indicated that intensive blood pressure (BP) control (systolic BP < 120 mm·Hg) compared with standard BP control (<140 mm·Hg) was associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and impaired fasting glucose (IFG) among hypertensive patients with normoglycemia. However, the impact of intensive BP control on the incidence of T2D for those with IFG is still unknown.MethodsThis was a secondary analysis of the SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) of the study. We included participants with IFG at randomization, which was defined as fasting blood glucose (FBG) between 100 and 125 mg/dL. The primary outcome was incident T2D, defined as events of reaching FBG ≥ 126 mg/dL, participant self-report T2D at annual examination, or a record of hypoglycemic medications at follow-up. The secondary outcome was incident IFG reversion (IFGR), defined as the time to first FBG back to normoglycemia (<100 mg/dl) among participants without incident T2D. Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare the cumulative incidence of outcomes between the two BP control groups. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated.ResultsA total of 3310 participants were included in our primary outcome analysis (median age 67 years, 29% female). There were 293 participants who developed T2D among the intensive BP control group and 256 participants who developed T2D among the standard BP control group, resulting in 56.87 (50.36-63.39) versus 49.33 (43.29-55.37) events per 1000 person-years of treatment (HR 1.18 [95% CI, 1.00-1.40], P=0.052). After excluding 549 participants who developed T2D, 2761 participants were included in our secondary outcome analysis with 559 participants who developed IFGR among the intensive BP control group and 632 participants who developed IFGR among the standard BP control group, resulting in 141.20 (129.50-152.91) versus 158.20 (145.86,170.53) events per 1000 person-years of treatment (HR 0.9 [95% CI, 0.8-1.01], P=0.067).ConclusionsOur study found that in comparison to the standard BP control for hypertensive patients with IFG, intensive BP control was associated with a small increased risk of new-onset T2D, though it did not reach statistical significance. This kind of impact should be considered when implementing the strategy, especially for those with high risks of developing T2D. This trial is registered with NCT01206062.

Project description:Glaucoma, a leading cause of blindness, has multifactorial causes, including environmental and genetic factors. We evaluated genetic risk factors of glaucoma with gene-gene interaction and explored modifications of genetic risk with gene-lifestyles interaction in adults >40 years. The present study included 377 subjects with glaucoma and 47,820 subjects without glaucoma in a large-scale hospital-based cohort study from 2004 to 2013. The presence of glaucoma was evaluated by a diagnostic questionnaire evaluated by a doctor. The genome-wide association study was performed to identify genetic variants associated with glaucoma risk. Food intake was assessed using a semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire. We performed generalized multifactor dimensionality reduction analysis to construct polygenetic-risk score (PRS) and explored gene × nutrient interaction. PRS of the best model included LIM-domain binding protein-2 (LDB2) rs3763969, cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 2B (CDKN2B) rs523096, ABO rs2073823, phosphodiesterase-3A (PDE3A) rs12314390, and cadherin 13 (CDH13) rs12449180. Glaucoma risk in the high-PRS group was 3.02 times that in the low-PRS group after adjusting for confounding variables. For those with low serum glucose levels (<126 mg/dL), but not for those with high serum glucose levels, glaucoma risk in the high-PRS group was 3.16 times that in the low-PRS group. In those with high carbohydrate intakes (≥70%), but not in those with low carbohydrate intakes, glaucoma risk was 3.74 times higher in the high-PRS group than in the low-PRS group. The glaucoma risk was 3.87 times higher in the high-PRS group than in the low-PRS group only in a low balanced diet intake. In conclusion, glaucoma risk increased by three-fold in adults with a high PRS, and it can be reduced by good control of serum glucose concentrations and blood pressure (BP) with a balanced diet intake. These results can be applied to precision nutrition to reduce glaucoma risk.

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