A Machine Learning Methodology for Identification and Triage of Heart Failure Exacerbations.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Morrill J
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8397870 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:ObjectiveTo screen feature genes of heart failure patients through machine learning methods, in order to identify characteristic genes driving heart failure and investigate the progression of heart failure.MethodsHeart failure patient samples were downloaded from the public database GEO (Gene Expression Omnibus), including the datasets GSE116250, GSE120895, and GSE59867. GSE116250 and GSE120895 were used as the testing set, while GSE59867 was used as the validation set. LASSO regression analysis and SVM-RFE were utilized to identify feature genes.ResultsAnalysis showed that among the differentially expressed genes between normal and heart failure patients, 9 genes were upregulated and 10 genes were downregulated. ROC curve analysis in the training set showed that TAGLN and SGPP2 had AUC values greater than 0.7. Moreover, SDSL and SMTNL2 had even higher AUC values of greater than 0.9. However, further analysis in the validation set showed that only SDSL had an AUC value greater than 0.7. Western blot experiments, RT-PCR, and ISO-induced experiments confirmed that SDSL was highly expressed in heart failure patients and promoted heart failure progression. In addition, SDSL promoted PARP1 expression and knockdown of SDSL expression led to decreased Cleaved-PARP1 expression and reduced cardiomyocyte apoptosis. Conversely, overexpression of SDSL resulted in increased PARP1 expression and myocardial cell apoptosis. These results suggest that elevated expression of SDSL in cardiomyocytes from heart failure patients may be an important factor promoting the occurrence and development of heart failure.ConclusionsUsing machine learning methods and experimental validation, it has been demonstrated that SDSL is a driving gene in patients with heart failure, providing a new treatment direction for clinical treatment.
| S-EPMC10796662 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BACKGROUND:The current ability to predict readmissions in patients with heart failure is modest at best. It is unclear whether machine learning techniques that address higher dimensional, nonlinear relationships among variables would enhance prediction. We sought to compare the effectiveness of several machine learning algorithms for predicting readmissions. METHODS AND RESULTS:Using data from the Telemonitoring to Improve Heart Failure Outcomes trial, we compared the effectiveness of random forests, boosting, random forests combined hierarchically with support vector machines or logistic regression (LR), and Poisson regression against traditional LR to predict 30- and 180-day all-cause readmissions and readmissions because of heart failure. We randomly selected 50% of patients for a derivation set, and a validation set comprised the remaining patients, validated using 100 bootstrapped iterations. We compared C statistics for discrimination and distributions of observed outcomes in risk deciles for predictive range. In 30-day all-cause readmission prediction, the best performing machine learning model, random forests, provided a 17.8% improvement over LR (mean C statistics, 0.628 and 0.533, respectively). For readmissions because of heart failure, boosting improved the C statistic by 24.9% over LR (mean C statistic 0.678 and 0.543, respectively). For 30-day all-cause readmission, the observed readmission rates in the lowest and highest deciles of predicted risk with random forests (7.8% and 26.2%, respectively) showed a much wider separation than LR (14.2% and 16.4%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS:Machine learning methods improved the prediction of readmission after hospitalization for heart failure compared with LR and provided the greatest predictive range in observed readmission rates.
| S-EPMC5459389 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background: Development of advanced heart failure (HF) symptoms is the most common adverse pathway in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) patients. Currently, there is a limited ability to identify HCM patients at risk of HF. Objectives: In this study, we present a machine learning (ML)-based model to identify individual HCM patients who are at high risk of developing advanced HF symptoms. Methods: From a consecutive cohort of HCM patients evaluated at the Tufts HCM Institute from 2001 to 2018, we extracted a set of 64 potential risk factors measured at baseline. Only patients with New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class I/II and LV ejection fraction (LVEF) by echocardiography >35% were included. The study cohort (n = 1,427 patients) was split into three disjoint subsets: development (50%), model selection (10%), and independent validation (40%). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator was used to select the most influential clinical variables. An ensemble of ML classifiers, including logistic regression, was used to identify patients with high risk of developing a HF outcome. Study outcomes were defined as progression to NYHA class III/IV, drop in LVEF below 35%, septal reduction procedure, and/or heart transplantation. Results: During a mean follow-up of 4.7 ± 3.7 years, advanced HF occurred in 283 (20% out of 1,427) patients. The model features included patients' sex, NYHA class (I or II), HCM type (i.e., obstructive or not), LV wall thickness, LVEF, presence of HF symptoms (e.g., dyspnea, presyncope), comorbidities (atrial fibrillation, hypertension, mitral regurgitation, and systolic anterior motion), and type of cardiac medications. The developed risk stratification model showed strong differentiation power to identify patients at advanced HF risk in the testing dataset (c-statistics = 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.76, 0.86). The model allowed correct identification of high-risk patients with accuracy 74% (CI: 0.70, 0.78), sensitivity 80% (CI: 0.77, 0.83), and specificity 72% (CI: 0.68, 0.76). The model performance was comparable among different sex and age groups. Conclusions: A 5-year risk prediction of progressive HF in HCM patients can be accurately estimated using ML analysis of patients' clinical and imaging parameters. A set of 17 clinical and imaging variables were identified as the most important predictors of progressive HF in HCM.
| S-EPMC8155292 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe genetic factors and pathogenesis of idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy-induced heart failure (IDCM-HF) have not been understood thoroughly; there is a lack of specific diagnostic markers and treatment methods for the disease. Hence, we aimed to identify the mechanisms of action at the molecular level and potential molecular markers for this disease.MethodsGene expression profiles of IDCM-HF and non-heart failure (NF) specimens were acquired from the database of Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). We then identified the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and analyzed their functions and related pathways by using "Metascape". Weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) was utilized to search for key module genes. Candidate genes were identified by intersecting the key module genes identified via WGCNA with DEGs and further screened via the support vector machine-recursive feature elimination (SVM-RFE) method and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm. At last, the biomarkers were validated and evaluated the diagnostic efficacy by the area under curve (AUC) value and further confirmed the differential expression in the IDCM-HF and NF groups using an external database.ResultsWe detected 490 genes exhibiting differential expression between IDCM-HF and NF specimens from the GSE57338 dataset, with most of them being concentrated in the extracellular matrix (ECM) of cells related to biological processes and pathways. After screening, 13 candidate genes were identified. Aquaporin 3 (AQP3) and cytochrome P450 2J2 (CYP2J2) showed high diagnostic efficacy in the GSE57338 and GSE6406 datasets, respectively. In comparison to the NF group, AQP3 was significantly down-regulated in the IDCM-HF group, while CYP2J2 was significantly up-regulated.ConclusionAs far as we know, this is the first study that combines WGCNA and machine learning algorithms to screen for potential biomarkers of IDCM-HF. Our findings suggest that AQP3 and CYP2J2 could be used as novel diagnostic markers and treatment targets of IDCM-HF.
| S-EPMC10154102 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveHeart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF) has been recently recognized as a unique phenotype of heart failure (HF) in current practical guideline. However, risk stratification models for mortality and HF re-hospitalization are still lacking. This study aimed to develop and validate a novel machine learning (ML)-derived model to predict the risk of mortality and re-hospitalization for HFmrEF patients.MethodsWe assessed the risks of mortality and HF re-hospitalization in HFmrEF (45-49%) patients enrolled in the TOPCAT trial. Eight ML-based models were constructed, including 72 candidate variables. The Harrell concordance index (C-index) and DeLong test were used to assess discrimination and the improvement in discrimination between models, respectively. Calibration of the HF risk prediction model was plotted to obtain bias-corrected estimates of predicted versus observed values.ResultsLeast absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression was the best-performing model for 1- and 6-year mortality, with a highest C-indices at 0.83 (95% CI: 0.68-0.94) over a maximum of 6 years of follow-up and 0.77 (95% CI: 0.64-0.89) for the 1-year follow-up. The random forest (RF) showed the best discrimination for HF re-hospitalization, scoring 0.80 (95% CI: 0.66-0.94) and 0.85 (95% CI: 0.71-0.99) at the 6- and 1-year follow-ups, respectively. For risk assessment analysis, Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) subscale scores were the most important predictor of readmission outcome in the HFmrEF patients.ConclusionML-based models outperformed traditional models at predicting mortality and re-hospitalization in patients with HFmrEF. The results of the risk assessment showed that KCCQ score should be paid increasing attention to in the management of HFmrEF patients.
| S-EPMC9748556 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) represents a prototypical cardiovascular condition in which machine learning may improve targeted therapies and mechanistic understanding of pathogenesis. Machine learning, which involves algorithms that learn from data, has the potential to guide precision medicine approaches for complex clinical syndromes such as HFpEF. It is therefore important to understand the potential utility and common pitfalls of machine learning so that it can be applied and interpreted appropriately. Although machine learning holds considerable promise for HFpEF, it is subject to several potential pitfalls, which are important factors to consider when interpreting machine learning studies.
| S-EPMC8983114 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Cardiovascular disorders, including atrial fibrillation (AF) and congestive heart failure (CHF), are the significant causes of mortality worldwide. The diagnosis of cardiovascular disorders is heavily reliant on ECG signals. Therefore, extracting significant features from ECG signals is the most challenging aspect of representing each condition of ECG signal. Earlier studies have claimed that the Hjorth descriptor is assigned as a simple feature extraction algorithm capable of class separation among AF, CHF, and normal sinus rhythm (NSR) conditions. However, due to noise interference, certain features do not represent the characteristics of the ECG signals. This study addressed this critical gap by applying the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) to decompose the ECG signals into sub-bands and extracting Hjorth descriptor features and entropy-based features in the DWT domain. Therefore, the calculation of Hjorth descriptor and entropy-based features performed on each sub-band will produce more detailed information of ECG signals. The optimization of various classifier algorithms, including k-nearest neighbor (k-NN), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), artificial neural network (ANN), and radial basis function network (RBFN), was investigated to provide the best system performance. This study obtained an accuracy of 100% for the k-NN, SVM, RF, and ANN classifiers, respectively, and 97% for the RBFN classifier. The results demonstrated that the optimization of the classifier algorithm could improve the classification accuracy of AF, CHF, and NSR conditions, compared to earlier studies.
| S-EPMC8850703 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BACKGROUND:Remote monitoring of patients with heart failure (HF) using wearable devices can allow patient-specific adjustments to treatments and thereby potentially reduce hospitalizations. We aimed to assess HF state using wearable measurements of electrical and mechanical aspects of cardiac function in the context of exercise. METHODS AND RESULTS:Patients with compensated (outpatient) and decompensated (hospitalized) HF were fitted with a wearable ECG and seismocardiogram sensing patch. Patients stood at rest for an initial recording, performed a 6-minute walk test, and then stood at rest for 5 minutes of recovery. The protocol was performed at the time of outpatient visit or at 2 time points (admission and discharge) during an HF hospitalization. To assess patient state, we devised a method based on comparing the similarity of the structure of seismocardiogram signals after exercise compared with rest using graph mining (graph similarity score). We found that graph similarity score can assess HF patient state and correlates to clinical improvement in 45 patients (13 decompensated, 32 compensated). A significant difference was found between the groups in the graph similarity score metric (44.4±4.9 [decompensated HF] versus 35.2±10.5 [compensated HF]; P<0.001). In the 6 decompensated patients with longitudinal data, we found a significant change in graph similarity score from admission (decompensated) to discharge (compensated; 44±4.1 [admitted] versus 35±3.9 [discharged]; P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS:Wearable technologies recording cardiac function and machine learning algorithms can assess compensated and decompensated HF states by analyzing cardiac response to submaximal exercise. These techniques can be tested in the future to track the clinical status of outpatients with HF and their response to pharmacological interventions.
| S-EPMC5769154 | biostudies-other
Project description:The present study aims to compare the performance of eight Machine Learning Techniques (MLTs) in the prediction of hospitalization among patients with heart failure, using data from the Gestione Integrata dello Scompenso Cardiaco (GISC) study. The GISC project is an ongoing study that takes place in the region of Puglia, Southern Italy. Patients with a diagnosis of heart failure are enrolled in a long-term assistance program that includes the adoption of an online platform for data sharing between general practitioners and cardiologists working in hospitals and community health districts. Logistic regression, generalized linear model net (GLMN), classification and regression tree, random forest, adaboost, logitboost, support vector machine, and neural networks were applied to evaluate the feasibility of such techniques in predicting hospitalization of 380 patients enrolled in the GISC study, using data about demographic characteristics, medical history, and clinical characteristics of each patient. The MLTs were compared both without and with missing data imputation. Overall, models trained without missing data imputation showed higher predictive performances. The GLMN showed better performance in predicting hospitalization than the other MLTs, with an average accuracy, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of 81.2%, 87.5%, and 75%, respectively. Present findings suggest that MLTs may represent a promising opportunity to predict hospital admission of heart failure patients by exploiting health care information generated by the contact of such patients with the health care system.
| S-EPMC6780582 | biostudies-literature
Project description:AimsThis study aimed to review the performance of machine learning (ML) methods compared with conventional statistical models (CSMs) for predicting readmission and mortality in patients with heart failure (HF) and to present an approach to formally evaluate the quality of studies using ML algorithms for prediction modelling.Methods and resultsFollowing Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, we performed a systematic literature search using MEDLINE, EPUB, Cochrane CENTRAL, EMBASE, INSPEC, ACM Library, and Web of Science. Eligible studies included primary research articles published between January 2000 and July 2020 comparing ML and CSMs in mortality and readmission prognosis of initially hospitalized HF patients. Data were extracted and analysed by two independent reviewers. A modified CHARMS checklist was developed in consultation with ML and biostatistics experts for quality assessment and was utilized to evaluate studies for risk of bias. Of 4322 articles identified and screened by two independent reviewers, 172 were deemed eligible for a full-text review. The final set comprised 20 articles and 686 842 patients. ML methods included random forests (n = 11), decision trees (n = 5), regression trees (n = 3), support vector machines (n = 9), neural networks (n = 12), and Bayesian techniques (n = 3). CSMs included logistic regression (n = 16), Cox regression (n = 3), or Poisson regression (n = 3). In 15 studies, readmission was examined at multiple time points ranging from 30 to 180 day readmission, with the majority of studies (n = 12) presenting prediction models for 30 day readmission outcomes. Of a total of 21 time-point comparisons, ML-derived c-indices were higher than CSM-derived c-indices in 16 of the 21 comparisons. In seven studies, mortality was examined at 9 time points ranging from in-hospital mortality to 1 year survival; of these nine, seven reported higher c-indices using ML. Two of these seven studies reported survival analyses utilizing random survival forests in their ML prediction models. Both reported higher c-indices when using ML compared with CSMs. A limitation of studies using ML techniques was that the majority were not externally validated, and calibration was rarely assessed. In the only study that was externally validated in a separate dataset, ML was superior to CSMs (c-indices 0.913 vs. 0.835).ConclusionsML algorithms had better discrimination than CSMs in most studies aiming to predict risk of readmission and mortality in HF patients. Based on our review, there is a need for external validation of ML-based studies of prediction modelling. We suggest that ML-based studies should also be evaluated using clinical quality standards for prognosis research. Registration: PROSPERO CRD42020134867.
| S-EPMC7835549 | biostudies-literature