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Genital warts trends in Australian and overseas-born people in Australia: A cross-sectional trend analysis to measure progress towards control and elimination.

ABSTRACT: Background: Substantial declines in genital warts have been observed in countries with quadrivalent/nonavalent human papillomavirus (q/n HPV) vaccination programmes, with Australia showing the most pronounced and long-term reductions. No study has assessed progress towards elimination of genital warts in a nation-wide sample of patients, and migrants' contribution to population-level control of genital warts. We assessed Australia's progress towards genital warts elimination by examining trends in diagnoses in Australian- and overseas-born patients of sexual health clinics (SHCs) across Australia. Methods: A cross-sectional trend analysis of new genital warts diagnoses among first-time patients of 34 SHCs, between 2004 and 2018, was performed. Rate ratios (RR) were calculated using Poisson regression models, for comparing trends in proportions of new genital warts diagnoses in Australian- and overseas-born patients during the pre-vaccination era (2004-2007) and the vaccination era (2008-2018), and by 2018 relative to 2004-2007. Findings: A total of 439,957 new patients (Australian-born: 230,230; overseas-born: 209,727) were seen at SHCs, 6•4% were diagnosed with genital warts (Australian-born: 7•1%; overseas-born: 5•6%). By 2018, there had been a 64% reduction in the proportion of all SHC patients with a genital warts diagnosis relative to 2004-2007 (RR: 0•36, 95% CI: 0•35-0•38). The decline was more pronounced at 72% (RR: 0•28, 95% CI: 0 •27-0•30) among Australian-born patients, with the greatest reduction in women and men aged <21 years, at 98% (RR: 0•02, 95% CI: 0•01-0•03) and 92% (RR: 0•08, 95% CI: 0•06-0•11), respectively. By 2018, there was a 49% reduction in the proportion of overseas-born patients diagnosed with genital warts (RR: 0•51, 95% CI:0•48-0•54), and a 21% reduction in overseas-born patients from countries with no or bivalent HPV (bHPV) vaccination programme (RR: 0•79, 95% CI: 0•71-0•90). Interpretation: The substantial reductions in Australian-born people is a testament to the efficacy of quadrivalent (qHPV) and nonavalent (nHPV) vaccines and the high and wide-spread vaccination coverage in Australia. However, population-wide elimination of genital warts in Australia is dependent on other countries initiating or expanding their own HPV vaccination programmes. Funding: The Australian Government Department of Health and Seqirus Australia.

SUBMITTER: Khawar L

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8403758 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:Background: Substantial declines in genital warts (GW) have been observed in countries with quadrivalent HPV vaccination programmes, with Australia showing the highest reductions due to early commencement and high vaccination coverage. There is a real potential to achieve GW elimination; however, no GW elimination definition exists. Taking Australia as a case study, we aimed to reach expert consensus on a proposed GW elimination definition using a modified Delphi process. Method: We used modelling and epidemiological data to estimate the expected number of new GW cases, from pre-vaccination (baseline) in 2006 to the year 2060 in Australian heterosexuals, men who have sex with men (MSM), and newly arrived international travellers and migrants. We used these data and the literature, to develop a questionnaire containing ten elimination-related items, each with 9-point Likert scales (1-strongly disagree; 9-strongly agree). The survey was completed by 18 experts who participated in a full day face-to-face modified Delphi study, in which individuals and then small groups discussed and scored each item. The process was repeated online for items where consensus (≥70% agreement) was not initially achieved. Median and coefficient of variation (COV) were used to describe the central tendency and variability of responses, respectively. Findings: There was a 95% participation rate in the face-to-face session, and 84% response rate in the final online round. The median item score ranged between 7.0 and 9.0 and the COV was ≤0.30 on all items. Consensus was reached that at ≥80% HPV vaccination coverage, GW will be eliminated as a public health problem in Australia by 2060. During this time period there will be a 95% reduction in population-level incidence compared with baseline, equivalent to <1 GW case per 10,000 population. The reductions will occur most rapidly in Australian heterosexuals, with 73%, 90% and 97% relative reductions by years 2021, 2030 and 2060, respectively. The proportion of new GW cases attributable to importation will increase from 3.6% in 2006 to ~49% in 2060. Interpretation: Our results indicate that the vaccination programme will minimise new GW cases in the Australian population, but importation of cases will continue. This is the first study to define GW elimination at a national level. The framework developed could be used to define GW elimination in other countries, with thresholds particularly valuable for vaccination programme impact evaluation. Funding: LK supported through an Australian Government Research Training Programme Scholarship; unconditional funding from Seqirus to support the Delphi Workshop.

Project description:Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination targeting females 12-13 years commenced in Australia in 2007, with catch-up of females 13-26 years until the end of 2009. No analyses of HPV vaccination program impact by either socioeconomic or geographic factors have been reported for Australia.Hospital admissions between July 2004-June 2011 involving a diagnosis of genital warts were obtained from a comprehensive national database. We compared sex- and age-specific admission rates in July 2006-June 2007 (pre-vaccination period) and July 2010-June 2011 (post-vaccination period) according to Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage, nationally and stratified by remoteness area relating to the individual's area of residence, using Poisson/ negative binomial models.Admission rates per 100,000 population in females aged 10-19 years (predominantly vaccinated at school), reduced from 42.2 to 6.0 (rate reduction 86.7 %; 95 % CI:82.2-90.0 %) in more disadvantaged areas and from 26.8 to 4.0 (85.0 %; 95 % CI:79.7-88.9 %) in less disadvantaged areas. In females aged 20-29 years (predominantly vaccinated in the community), the decreases were from 73.9 to 26.4 (66.0 %; 95 % CI:57.7-72.6 %) and from 61.9 to 23.8 (61.6 %; 95 % CI:52.9-68.7 %) in more and less disadvantaged areas, respectively. The reductions were similar in more vs less disadvantaged areas both inside major cities (88.6 %; 95 % CI: 82.2-92.7 % vs 87.9 %; 95 % CI:82.6-91.6 % in females aged 10-19 years; 64.0 %; 95 % CI:57.0-69.9 % vs 63.8 %; 95 % CI:52.9-72.1 % for females aged 20-29 years) and outside major cities (88.8 %; 95 % CI: 83.7-92.3 % vs 85.8 %; 95 % CI:73.5-92.4 % in females aged 10-19 years; 71.1 %; 95 % CI:58.8-79.7 % vs 67.6 %; 95 % CI:48.2-79.8 % for females aged 20-29 years). Admission rates in males aged 20-29 years also reduced, by 23.0 % (95 % CI:4.8-37.8 %) and 39.4 % (95 % CI:28.9-48.3 %) in more versus less disadvantaged areas respectively.The relative reduction in genital warts appears similar in young females across different levels of disadvantage, including within and outside major cities, both for females predominantly vaccinated at school and in the community.

Project description:ObjectiveTo review published randomised controlled trials to assess the benefit and harm of imiquimod in the treatment of external genital warts.Data sourcesMEDLINE (1966 - December 2000), Cochrane Library (Issue 3, 2000) and PubMed (December 15, 2000), review articles and reference lists.Review methodsIncluded studies had to be randomised trials of imiquimod, to be full published papers, and to have a comparison group. Quality of trial reporting was assessed. Relative benefit and number needed to treat were calculated for the main outcomes of wart clearance at the end of therapy, of at least 50% reduction in wart area, and of complete clearance at the end of treatment and no recurrence of warts during a follow-up period, as well as for adverse effect withdrawal or lack of efficacy withdrawal.ResultsThere were six trials, all with quality scores of 3 (out of 5) or greater. In five trials with HIV-negative patients complete clearance of warts at the end of treatment occurred in 51% of patients treated with imiquimod 2% or 5% cream and 6% of placebo treated patients. The number needed to treat was 2.2 (95% confidence interval 2.0 to 2.6). In four trials at least 50% wart area reduction occurred with 72% of patients treated with imiquimod 5% cream and 20% of placebo treated patients. The number needed to treat was 1.9 (1.7 to 2.2). In three trials complete clearance of warts at the end of treatment plus no recurrence occurred in 37% of patients treated with imiquimod 5% cream and 4% of those treated with placebo. The number needed to treat was 3.0 (2.5 to 3.8). Adverse event withdrawal was rare and no more likely with imiquimod than with placebo. Imiquimod was not effective in one trial in HIV-positive patients.ConclusionThe evidence base for imiquimod in treating genital warts is of high quality and the necessary size from which to draw useful conclusions. Imiquimod is effective in home application, though not in patients with HIV infection with the evidence presently available.

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Genital warts trends in Australian and overseas-born people in Australia: A cross-sectional trend analysis to measure progress towards control and elimination.

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