Prognostic model of long-term advanced stage (IIIB-IV) EGFR mutated non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) survivors using real-life data.
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ABSTRACT: Background
There is a lack of useful diagnostic tools to identify EGFR mutated NSCLC patients with long-term survival. This study develops a prognostic model using real world data to assist clinicians to predict survival beyond 24 months.Methods
EGFR mutated stage IIIB and IV NSCLC patients diagnosed between January 2009 and December 2017 included in the Spanish Lung Cancer Group (SLCG) thoracic tumor registry. Long-term survival was defined as being alive 24 months after diagnosis. A multivariable prognostic model was carried out using binary logistic regression and internal validation through bootstrapping. A nomogram was developed to facilitate the interpretation and applicability of the model.Results
505 of the 961 EGFR mutated patients identified in the registry were included, with a median survival of 27.73 months. Factors associated with overall survival longer than 24 months were: being a woman (OR 1.78); absence of the exon 20 insertion mutation (OR 2.77); functional status (ECOG 0-1) (OR 4.92); absence of central nervous system metastases (OR 2.22), absence of liver metastases (OR 1.90) or adrenal involvement (OR 2.35) and low number of metastatic sites (OR 1.22). The model had a good internal validation with a calibration slope equal to 0.781 and discrimination (optimism corrected C-index 0.680).Conclusions
Survival greater than 24 months can be predicted from six pre-treatment clinicopathological variables. The model has a good discrimination ability. We hypothesized that this model could help the selection of the best treatment sequence in EGFR mutation NSCLC patients.
SUBMITTER: Gutierrez L
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8406921 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BackgroundData regarding real-life effectiveness of any treatment may improve clinical decision-making. The aim of this study was to evaluate real-life effectiveness of tyrosin-kinase inhibitors, bevacizumab and pemetrexed as first-line treatments in patients with advanced/metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).MethodsWe analyzed data of 2157 patients of the Czech TULUNG Registry of patients with advanced/metastatic NSCLC who received modern-era treatments between 2011 and 2018. Patients treated with gefitinib, erlotinib, afatinib, bevacizumab (+ maintenance), pemetrexed (+ maintenance) as first-line therapy were included in the study. A systematic literature search separately identified clinical trials suitable for calculation of comparator pooled OS and PFS for each regimen. For each subgroup, basic characteristics and survival data (Kaplan-Meier estimates) are shown. We propose the "index of real-life effectiveness" (IRE), a ratio of real-life OS/PFS and comparator pooled OS/PFS. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression identified factors were associated with longer OS (ie, IRE>1.1).ResultsSurvival analysis showed median OS of 23 months for erlotinib, 29.3 months for afatinib, 19.6 months for gefitinib, 12.2 months for pemetrexed, 17.5 months for pemetrexed maintenance, 15.8 months for bevacizumab and 15.8 months for bevacizumab maintenance. Calculated IREs for OS for the regimens were: erlotinib 1.013, afatinib 1.184, gefitinib 0.736, pemetrexed 1.188, pemetrexed maintenance 1.294, bevacizumab 1.178, and bevacizumab maintenance 1.189. Multivariate regression analysis showed that these factors were associated with longer OS: lower PS for afatinib; lower PS, absence of adverse events and female sex for bevacizumab; and lower PS and female sex for pemetrexed.ConclusionsThis study clearly demonstrated that real-life effectiveness of certain treatment regimens may strongly differ in various populations/health care systems, and comparison between TULUNG data and pooled survival data from trials showed higher real-life effectiveness for most of the studied first-line regimens. Lower ECOG PS, younger age, female sex and adverse events were associated with longer survival in most regimens.Key pointsSIGNIFICANT FINDINGS OF THE STUDY: Comparison between TULUNG data and pooled survival data from trials showed higher real-life effectiveness for most of the studied first-line regimens; for most regimens, lower ECOG PS, younger age, female sex and adverse events were associated with longer survival.What this study addsReal-life effectiveness of certain treatment regimens may strongly differ in various populations/health care systems.
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Project description:IntroductionWith the approval of G12C inhibitors as the second line of treatment for KRAS G12C-mutated NSCLC, and the expanding research regarding targeting KRAS, it is key to understand the prognostic implication of KRAS G12C in the current first line of treatment. We compared overall survival (OS) of patients with stage IV KRAS G12C-mutated NSCLC to those with a KRAS non-G12C mutation in a first-line setting of (chemo)immunotherapy.MethodsThis nationwide population-based study used real-world data from The Netherlands Cancer Registry. We selected patients with stage IV KRAS-mutated lung adenocarcinoma diagnosed in 2019 to 2020 who received first-line (chemo-)immunotherapy. Primary outcome was OS.ResultsFrom 28,120 registered patients with lung cancer, 1185 were selected with a KRAS mutation, of which 494 had a KRAS G12C mutation. Median OS was 15.5 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 13.6-18.4) for KRAS G12C versus 14.0 months (95% CI:11.2-15.7) for KRAS non-G12C (p = 0.67). In multivariable analysis, KRAS subtype was not associated with OS (hazard ratio = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.82-1.10). For the subgroup with programmed death-ligand 1 at 0% to 49% who received chemoimmunotherapy, median OS was 13.3 months (95% CI: 10.5-15.2) for G12C and 9.8 months (95% CI: 8.6-11.3) for non-G12C (p = 0.48). For the subgroup with programmed death-ligand 1 more than or equal to 50% who received monoimmunotherapy, the median OS was 22.0 months (95% CI: 18.4-27.3) for G12C and 18.9 months (95% CI: 14.9-25.2) for non-G12C (p = 0.36).ConclusionsThere was no influence of KRAS subtype (G12C versus non-G12C) on OS in patients with KRAS-mutated stage IV NSCLC treated with first-line (chemo)immunotherapy.
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Project description:Background and objectivesEpidermal growth factor receptor-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) are standard-of-care first-line (1L) treatment for EGFR mutation-positive advanced/metastatic non-small cell lung cancer. In 2015, osimertinib, a third-generation EGFR-TKI, received US accelerated approval for second-line (2L) EGFR T790M-positive non-small cell lung cancer treatment. The objective of this US study was to characterize treatment patterns, attrition, and survival in EGFR mutation-positive non-small cell lung cancer, after 1L first-/second-generation EGFR-TKI treatment.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed 1029 patients diagnosed with stage IIIB/IV non-small cell lung cancer from 1 January, 2011 to 31 December, 2018 using the US electronic medical record CancerLinQ Discovery® database. Demographic/disease characteristics, EGFR mutations, treatments, and death dates were collected.ResultsFrom 1 January, 2011 to 31 December, 2014 (< 2015 cohort), 519 patients received 1L EGFR-TKIs and 510 between 1 January, 2015 and 31 December, 2018 (≥ 2015 cohort). Median follow-up from advanced diagnosis was 19.8 months (interquartile range: 9.9-33.4 months). Twenty-eight percent of patients (288/1029) died without receiving 2L, and 52% (539/1029) initiated 2L with 35% (186/539) receiving osimertinib; in the < 2015 and ≥ 2015 cohorts, the same proportion initiated 2L (52%; 272/519 vs 267/510, respectively). Median overall survival from advanced diagnosis for patients initially diagnosed with stage I-IIIA disease was 43.3 months (95% confidence interval 30.9-73.7), vs 26.4 months (95% confidence interval 24.4-28.1) for stage IIIB-IV; all-cause mortality hazard ratio: 1.56 (95% confidence interval 1.2-2.0; p = 0.001).ConclusionsWe identified disease stage, performance status, and central nervous system metastasis as survival predictors, highlighting the importance of optimal 1L treatment selection. Over a quarter of patients died before initiating 2L; half progressed after 1L and received 2L, of whom a third received 2L osimertinib.
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Project description:Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)-based next-generation sequencing (NGS) is a complementary and alternative test to tissue-based NGS. We performed NGS analysis of ctDNA samples collected from patients with EGFR-mutated non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who received osimertinib; the samples were collected after second-line treatment, before osimertinib treatment, one week and one month after osimertinib treatment, and at the time of resistance formation. We examinedthe correlation with osimertinib efficacy. From January to December 2018, 34 patients with EGFR-mutated NSCLC harboring EGFR T790M mutations were enrolled, and a total of 132 peripheral blood samples were collected. The fragment sizes of EGFR-mutated ctDNAs were significantly shorter than that of their corresponding normal fragments. Osimertinib treatment of patients with shorter EGFR-mutated ctDNA fragments resulted in shorter progression-free survival (PFS). The disappearance time of EGFR-mutated fragment fractions and clonal evolution patterns (new driver mutation group, additional mutation group vs. attenuation group) were each associated with the PFS achieved with osimertinib treatment; however,multivariate analysis revealed that only shorter EGFR-mutated ctDNA fragments were associated with the PFS resulting from osimertinib treatment. EGFR-mutated ctDNA fragment size, time of disappearance of these fragments, and clonal evolution pattern were related to the effects of osimertinib. In particular, short EGFR-mutated ctDNA fragmentation may be closely related to osimertinib efficacy prediction.
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Project description:PurposeWe aimed to evaluate whether the addition of pemetrexed is effective in improving progression-free survival (PFS) in epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-mutated patients with or without concomitant alterations.Materials and methodsThis multicenter clinical trial was conducted in China from June 15, 2018, to May 31, 2019. A total of 92 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients harboring EGFR-sensitive mutations were included and divided into concomitant and non-concomitant groups. Patients in each group were randomly treated with EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) monotherapy or EGFR-TKI combined with pemetrexed in a ratio of 1:1. PFS was recorded as the primary endpoint.ResultsThe overall median PFS of this cohort was 10.1 months. There were no significant differences in PFS between patients with and without concomitant and between patients received TKI monotherapy and TKI combined with pemetrexed (p=0.210 and p=0.085, respectively). Stratification analysis indicated that patients received TKI monotherapy had a significantly longer PFS in non-concomitant group than that in concomitant group (p=0.002). In concomitant group, patients received TKI combined with pemetrexed had a significantly longer PFS than patients received TKI monotherapy (p=0.013). Molecular dynamic analysis showed rapidly emerging EGFR T790M in patients received TKI monotherapy. EGFR mutation abundance decreased in patients received TKI combined chemotherapy, which supports better efficacy for a TKI combined chemotherapy as compared to TKI monotherapy. A good correlation between therapeutic efficacy and a change in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) status was found in 66% of patients, supporting the guiding role of ctDNA minimal residual disease (MRD) in NSCLC treatment.ConclusionEGFR-TKI monotherapy is applicable to EGFR-sensitive patients without concomitant alterations, while a TKI combined chemotherapy is applicable to EGFR-sensitive patients with concomitant alterations. CtDNA MRD may be a potential biomarker for predicting therapeutic efficacy.
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Project description:BackgroundWe evaluated treatment decisions and outcomes in a cohort of predominately Caucasian patients with EGFR mutation-positive (EGFR Mut+) non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC).MethodsREASON (NCT00997230) was a non-interventional study in German patients with stage IIIB/IV NSCLC. Secondary endpoints for EGFR Mut + NSCLC included progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), adverse event (AE) management, and pharmacoeconomic outcomes.ResultsAmong 334 patients with EGFR Mut + NSCLC, tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) were the most common first-line therapy (56.6%, 53.0% gefitinib). Among patients who received TKIs/gefitinib before first disease progression, PFS was longer compared with those who did not receive a TKI (median 10.1/10.0 vs. 7.0 months; HR 0.67/0.69; log-rank p = 0.012/p = 0.022). OS was longer for those patients who ever received a TKI/gefitinib during their complete therapy course compared with those who never received a TKI (median 18.4/18.1 vs. 13.6 months; HR 0.53/0.55; p = 0.003/p = 0.005). Total mean first-line treatment healthcare costs per person were higher for those receiving TKIs (€46,443) compared with those who received chemotherapy (€27,182). Mean outpatient and inpatient costs were highest with chemotherapy. Rash, diarrhea, and dry skin were the most commonly reported AEs for patients receiving gefitinib.ConclusionsIn REASON, TKI therapy was the most common first- and second-line treatment for EGFR Mut + NSCLC, associated with increased drug costs compared with chemotherapy. Patients who received gefitinib or a TKI ever during their complete therapy course had prolonged PFS and OS compared with patients who did not receive a TKI.Trial registrationThe trial was registered on October, 2009 with ClinicalTrials.gov : https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00997230?term=NCT00997230&rank=1.
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Project description:Osimertinib is the only Food and Drug Administration-approved third-generation epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) tyrosine-kinase inhibitor (TKI). A meta-analysis was performed to aggregate the mixed results of published clinical trials to assess the efficacy and safety of osimertinib. A systematic search of the PubMed, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library electronic databases was performed to identify eligible literature. The primary endpoints were overall response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), progression-free survival (PFS), and adverse events (AEs). A total of 3,086 advanced nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients from 11 studies have been identified. The aggregate efficacy parameters for treatment-naïve patients with EGFR-TKI-sensitizing mutations are as follows: ORR 79% (95% CI 75-84%), DCR 97% (95% CI 95-99%), 6-month PFS 83% (95% CI 80-87%), and 12-month PFS 64% (95% CI 59-69%). The aggregate efficacy parameters for advanced NSCLC harboring T790M mutations after earlier-generation EGFR-TKI therapy are as follows: ORR 58% (95% CI 46-71%), DCR 80% (95% CI 63-98%), 6-month PFS 63% (95% CI 58-69%), and 12-month PFS 32% (95% CI 17-47%). EGFR-TKI-naïve patients with EGFR-positive mutations tend to have longer median PFS than EGFR-TKI-pretreated counterparts (19.17 vs. 10.58 months). The most common AEs were diarrhea and rash, of which the pooled incidences were 44 and 42%, respectively. Generally, osimertinib is a favorable treatment option for previously treated T790M mutation-positive advanced NSCLC as well as a preferable therapy for untreated EGFR mutation-positive advanced NSCLC. Additionally, osimertinib is well tolerated by most patients.
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Project description:Patients with NSCLC in East Asia, including Japan, frequently contain EGFR mutations. In 2018, we published the latest full clinical practice guidelines on the basis of those provided by the Japanese Lung Cancer Society Guidelines Committee. The purpose of this study was to update those recommendations, especially for the treatment of metastatic or recurrent EGFR-mutated NSCLC. We conducted a literature search of systematic reviews of randomized controlled and nonrandomized trials published between 2018 and 2019 that multiple physicians had reviewed independently. On the basis of those studies and the advice from the Japanese Society of Lung Cancer Expert Panel, we developed updated guidelines according to the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation system. We also evaluated the benefits of overall and progression-free survival, end points, toxicities, and patients' reported outcomes. For patients with NSCLC harboring EGFR-activating mutations, the use of EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR TKIs), especially osimertinib, had the best recommendation as to first-line treatment. We also recommended the combination of EGFR TKI with other agents (platinum-based chemotherapy or antiangiogenic agents); however, it can lead to toxicity. In the presence of EGFR uncommon mutations, except for an exon 20 insertion, we also recommended the EGFR TKI treatment. However, we could not provide recommendations for the treatment of EGFR mutations with immune checkpoint inhibitors, including monotherapy, and its combination with cytotoxic chemotherapy, because of the limited evidence present in the literature. The 2020 Japanese Lung Cancer Society Guidelines can help community-based physicians to determine the most appropriate treatments and adequately provide medical care to their patients.
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